Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid have the chance to go top of the league standings in La Liga when they host Real Sociedad. While second-placed Real look to leap to the summit, Sociedad, placed eighth, have the chance to leap into the European football slots. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Real Madrid play two days before Barcelona, whom they trail by a point in the standings. In their current form, they will be expected to go top for at least 48 hours.
Los Blancos are coming off a 2-0 away win at Valencia and look to build on that here. At home, they hold a five-match unbeaten run, winning all, and also beat Sociedad in three of their last four league visits here.
Real Sociedad will have less time to rest as they are coming from a 1-0 away win against Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey. This marked their third straight win and 11th unbeaten outing in all competitions.
In the league they haven't tasted defeat in seven, like Real Madrid. Real Sociedad have also had an impressive run in attack, scoring in each of their last 12 matches.
However, they have only managed two clean sheets in their last 15 games. That will be a major concern as they head out to face one of the best attacking teams.
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Real Madrid v Real Sociedad Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.41 | 5.4 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.15 | 8 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.1 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.2 | 7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad match is: Real Madrid to win & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2026 between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.81% for a win of Real Madrid against Real Sociedad with odds of 1.41 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad is 15.4% with odds of 5.64 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid with odds of 8.3 at 888Starz.
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Real Sociedad Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 50.81% | 1.41 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.63% | 1.68 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 69.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 21.21% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Form
Real Madrid and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
10
|
46 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
Real Madrid and Real Sociedad Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
12 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
9 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
Real Madrid against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Substitutes
A. Lunin
DefenderD. Alaba
F. Garcia
R. Asencio
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
MidfielderJ. Cestero
C. Palacios
D. Ceballos
B. Diaz
F. Mastantuono
K. Mbappe
U. Marrero
DefenderD. Caleta-Car
A. Odriozola
A. Elustondo
MidfielderI. Basurco
B. Turrientes
J. Ochieng
ForwardD. Diaz Gandara
S. Gomez
O. Oskarsson
G. Guedes
J. Karrikaburu
Missing players
E. Militao
MidfielderJ. Bellingham
ForwardRodrygo
Endrick
I. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderB. Mendez
T. Kubo
L. Sucic
ForwardA. Barrenetxea
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(15 Goals)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Both teams scored in three of Real Madrid’s last five outings.
- Real Madrid have recorded eight wins in their last 10 home games.
- Real Sociedad scored in nine of their last 10 away games.
- In seven of these teams’ last 10 matches at the Bernabeu, both sides scored.
- Both teams scored in five of Real Sociedad’s last six away matches.
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Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction
These two sides are on seven unbeaten outings across all the competitions they are taking part in. As they put these runs on the line, one thing is for sure: they come into this game high in confidence. We are therefore more likely to see goals on both ends.
Their recent results as well as head-to-head records support this assumption. In the balance of play, however, Real Madrid looks strong, and being at home favors them too. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Real Sociedad is for Real Madrid to win & BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Real Sociedad
| Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.32 | 1.41 | +6.8% |
| Draw | 5.6 | 5.64 | +0.7% |
| Real Sociedad wins | 9.6 | 8.3 | -13.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.8% and is now 70.9% (-4.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
