Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Ita Emmanuel | in LaLiga Predictions
10th-place Rayo Vallecano have a chance to finally survive the fierce relegation battle in La Liga when they welcome third-place Villarreal to Campo de Futbol de Vallecas on Sunday. The Red Sashes are five points clear of the drop zone with two matches left, but a significant 25 points separates them from Villarreal in the standings. They have dropped points in three of their last four La Liga outings and lost their last two encounters against Villarreal, which is why we are favouring the away side in our prediction.
Despite sitting mid-table, Rayo Vallecano have found themselves dragged into the relegation battle in La Liga following a disappointing recent run in the Spanish top flight. They drew 1–1 with Valencia on Thursday, going winless in three of their last four league matches. This includes back-to-back stalemates in their last two outings at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Villarreal surrendered an early two-goal lead and lost 3–2 to Sevilla on Wednesday. However, that loss only ended the Yellow Submarine’s five-match unbeaten run in the Spanish top flight.
They have picked up results in their last three away matches (W1, D2) and won each of their last two matchups with Rayo Vallecano. With just a three-point cushion above fourth-place Atletico Madrid, Marcelino’s men will look to close in on a third-place finish with a win.
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Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.04 | 3.65 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.64 | 3.72 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.62 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.55 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal match is: Draw or Villarreal.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.88% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Villarreal with odds of 2.2 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal is 36.23% with odds of 3.74 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 3.76 at 888Starz.
Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 43.88% | 2.2 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.54% | 2.15 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano | 20.97% | 6 at LSbet |
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Form
Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
72 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 |
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - LaLiga
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - LaLiga
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
28 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
28 May 2023 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
Juanpe
D. Cardenas
DefenderJ. Vertrouwd
N. Mendy
A. Mumin
A. Espino
I. Balliu
MidfielderF. Perez
P. Diaz
G. Gumbau
ForwardR. Nteka
C. Martin
L. Junior
DefenderP. Navarro
L. Costa
A. Freeman
MidfielderT. Partey
D. Parejo
A. Gonzalez
G. Mikautadze
N. Pepe
A. Pedraza
G. Moreno
Missing players
A. Garcia
I. Palazon
D. Mendez
J. Foyth
R. Veiga
ForwardP. Cabanes
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
J. de Frutos
(10 Goals)
G. Mikautadze
(13 Goals)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
N. Pepe
(8 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal Key Points
- Rayo Vallecano have failed to win three of their last four La Liga matches.
- The Red Sashes have lost their last two La Liga matches against Villarreal.
- Villarreal have avoided defeat in five of their last six La Liga matches.
- The Yellow Submarine are unbeaten in their last three away matches.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction
Rayo Vallecano are set for another tough challenge against a significantly stronger Villarreal side. They have dropped points in their last two home matches and have struggled for results in recent outings overall.
Villarreal will look to bounce back while tightening their grip on a third-place finish, with Atletico Madrid still snapping at their heels. They have won each of their last two meetings with Rayo Vallecano and are unbeaten in their last three away matches. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal prediction: Draw or Villarreal.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Villarreal
| Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.35 | 2.2 | -6.4% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.74 | +1.1% |
| Villarreal wins | 2.85 | 3.76 | +31.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 45.5% (2.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
