Europe - Conference League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Conference League Predictions
Rayo Vallecano host Shkendija in this 2025-26 UEFA Conference League matchday one fixture on Thursday. The Red Sashes will look to turn a corner from their poor start to the season with a win against the North Macedonian champions. Here is our prediction for the match.
Since their impressive 3-1 away win over Girona in the opening weekend, Rayo Vallecano have yet to secure their second win in their next six La Liga matches. This underwhelming run includes a 1-0 home defeat to Sevilla at the weekend.
However, Iñigo Pérez's side ended their 24-year wait to reach the main phase of UEFA club competition following a 5-0 aggregate victory over Belarusian side Neman Grodno. They are unbeaten in seven of their last eight home fixtures since last season.
Shkendija have finally reached the main phase of UEFA club competition after multiple attempts in the qualifiers. The Ballists dropped to Europe's third tier following a 5-3 aggregate defeat to Ludogorets in Europa League qualification final round.
They defeated Sileks 2-0 in the domestic league last weekend to extend their unbeaten run to six matches (W5, D1) and strengthen their bid for a sixth league title. However, the North Macedonian champions haven't really impressed in Europe. They have lost three of their last four European club competition qualifiers, including both of their most recent away qualifiers.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rayo Vallecano v Shkendija Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 7.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.5 | 26 |
|
|
1.14 | 7.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.13 | 7.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.5 | 21 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Shkendija?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2025 between Rayo Vallecano and Shkendija in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.64% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Shkendija with odds of 1.14 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija is 30.2% with odds of 8.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Shkendija vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 26 at Betfred.
Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Shkendija Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 35.64% | 1.14 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.63% | 1.53 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano | 16.23% | 4.4 at Unibet |
Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija Form
Rayo Vallecano and Shkendija's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
|
21
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Rayo Vallecano and Shkendija Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 May 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
24 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
21 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
17 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
12 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
10 Sept 2025 - Macedonia Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
21 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
12 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
24 Aug 2025 - 1. MFL
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
8 Aug 2025 - 1. MFL
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
17 Sept 2025 - 1. MFL
10 Sept 2025 - Macedonia Cup
28 Aug 2025 - Europa League
16 Aug 2025 - 1. MFL
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
Rayo Vallecano against Shkendija Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Mumin
L. Felipe
MidfielderR. Nteka
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Shkendija
J. De Frutos
(5 Goals)
,
A. Garcia
(5 Goals)
L. Latifi
(1 Goals)
P. Chavarria
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Ratiu
(2 Assists)
,
U. Lopez
(2 Assists)
,
A. Garcia
(2 Assists)
,
I. Palazon
(2 Assists)
R. Webster
(1 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Key Points
- Four of Rayo Vallecano’s last five matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Rayo Vallecano's last five home matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Shkendija’s last four matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Shkendija's last two away matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija Prediction
Despite their recent dismal performances, Rayo Vallecano are bookmakers' favorite to win this match. The Red Sashes aced their final qualifying round by an impressive aggregate scoreline while Shkendija have struggled in Europe despite their upbeat showings of late.
Meanwhile, the two teams have largely been through low-scoring affairs. Most of their games have ended below the three-goal threshold. We are likely to have a similar result in this match. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Shkendija
| Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 1.14 | 1.13 | -0.9% |
| Draw | 7 | 7.5 | +7.1% |
| Shkendija wins | 21 | 21 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.7% and is now 88.5% (0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Shkendija game!
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Try your luck on this year's Conference League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
