Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Rayo Vallecano have dropped into the relegation region ahead of their home match against bottom side Real Oviedo. The two sides are separated by six points going into this encounter. Below we have a prediction for the match.
On Sunday, Rayo put up a valiant performance against Real Madrid but went on to lose 2-1. Madrid’s winning goal came deep into added time, and Rayo will be very disappointed.
They also saw two players sent off in the match as they suffered a 10th defeat of the league campaign. With 22 points, they are just one adrift of safety and are looking to rise from a run of four straight defeats.
While Rayo were battling away at Real Madrid, Real Oviedo posted a rare win at home against Girona. Ilyas Chaira’s lone strike was all they needed for a 1-0 win, their third league victory of the season.
Oviedo’s biggest problem remains a poor scoring run. They have netted 12 goals in 22 matches, leaving them as the poorest in attack in La Liga. The Carbayones aren’t the poorest away team, but no side has lost more league games on the road than Oviedo’s eight.
Fortunately, Real Oviedo’s opponents have struggled at home, winning just two of 10 matches.
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Rayo Vallecano v Real Oviedo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.82 | 3.55 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.46 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.46 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.45 | 4.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.67% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Real Oviedo with odds of 1.86 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo is 38.85% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 4.98 at 888Starz.
Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Real Oviedo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 45.67% | 1.86 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano | 20.76% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Form
Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
|
20
|
29 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 |
Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
15 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Cardenas
A. Molina
DefenderA. Espino
N. Mendy
I. Balliu
MidfielderP. Díaz
G. Gumbau
ForwardS. Camello
I. Akhomach
O. Trejo
A. Escandell
DefenderJ. Lopez
D. Carmo
D. Costas
L. Ahijado
MidfielderK. Sibo
L. Ilic
ForwardH. Hassan
T. Borbas
T. Fernandez
Missing players
D. Cardenas
DefenderP. Chavarria
MidfielderU. Lopez
P. Ciss
D. Mendez
E. Bailly
A. Alhassane Bonkano
ForwardO. Ejaria
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
J. De Frutos
(10 Goals)
F. Vinas
(9 Goals)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
T. Fernandez
(4 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo Key Points
- Each of these sides has drawn seven times in La Liga.
- Rayo Vallecano drew three of their last five home matches.
- Rayo Vallecano are winless in their last three matches.
- Three times in these teams’ last four meetings, they drew.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Prediction
This is a relegation battle loading, with none of the teams coming out as clear favorites, based on their recent performances. Rayo Vallecano’s La Liga experience could place them ahead of Real Oviedo, but they are coming off four straight defeats.
Oviedo might want to take advantage of that, but not with a run of one win in 16 matches. Half of Real Oviedo’s last 10 games ended in draws, and three of these teams’ last four meetings also saw spoils shared. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Real Oviedo is for the match to end in a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Real Oviedo
| Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 1.78 | 1.86 | +4.5% |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.6 | +6.5% |
| Real Oviedo wins | 6.32 | 4.98 | -21.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.2% and is now 53.8% (-2.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
