Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna are tied on 22 points in La Liga and will be facing off in a pivotal tie this Saturday. Favored by goal difference, 12th-placed Osasuna are one place above Rayo. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Rayo suffered their eighth league defeat last time out as they were thrashed 3-0 by Celta Vigo. That was their second straight defeat after an earlier 2-0 defeat at Alaves in the Copa Del Rey.
Los Franjirrojos will welcome this return to their home ground, where they are unbeaten in the last nine matches, winning five. Rayo also posted three straight home wins when hosting Osasuna.
Osasuna claimed a 2-0 win in these sides’ meeting in September and will be looking to complete a double here. However, their away form in this very fixture isn’t very encouraging.
They are coming off a 3-2 win against bottom side Real Oviedo, marking the second straight game in which they conceded more than once. The visitors have a good scoring run, though, having netted in all but one of their last five outings.
Failure to win in regular time in any of the last four away matches, however, points to their weak area. Gorritxoak are the weakest travelers in La Liga, having failed to win any of their 10 games so far, losing eight.
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Rayo Vallecano v Osasuna Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.39 | 3.1 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.13 | 3.52 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.02 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.05 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna match is: Rayo Vallecano wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.91% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Osasuna with odds of 2.48 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna is 40.05% with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 3.65 at Shangrila.
Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Osasuna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40.05% | 3.15 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.28% | 2.16 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.61% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Form
Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
|
17
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 |
Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
15 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Osasuna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Cardenas
DefenderJ. Vertrouwd
L. Felipe
MidfielderF. Perez
U. Lopez
G. Gumbau
ForwardO. Trejo
S. Camello
Alemao
R. Nteka
I. Akhomach
A. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Cruz
MidfielderA. Bretones
R. Moro
L. Torro
A. Osambela
M. Gomez
ForwardK. Barja
R. Garcia
I. Arguibide
Missing players
I. Balliu
A. Ratiu
N. Mendy
MidfielderD. Mendez
A. Catena
ForwardI. Benito
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
J. de Frutos
(10 Goals)
A. Budimir
(17 Goals)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
R. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna Key Points
- Rayo are coming off their second home win in La Liga.
- Osasuna are winless away from home in La Liga, losing eight of 10.
- Against Osasuna, Rayo Vallecano won all the last three matches they hosted.
- Rayo are unbeaten in their last nine matches at home in all competitions, winning five.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction
Rayo Vallecano haven't had a perfect run at home, but they come here unbeaten in their latest nine matches. Five of those ended in wins, and they’ll be confident of extending the same here. We are backing them for a win here also based on Osasuna’s performance on the road.
The visitors haven't won an away league game this season, losing eight times in their 10 attempts. This will therefore be another tough match for Alessio Lisci’s men. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Osasuna is that Rayo Vallecano wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Osasuna
| Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.21 | 2.48 | +12.2% |
| Draw | 3.22 | 3.15 | -2.2% |
| Osasuna wins | 3.96 | 3.65 | -7.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.1% and is now 31.7% (0.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
