QPR vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Joseph King | in Championship Predictions
The marathon that is the Championship season enters into matchday six as 12th-place Queens Park Rangers host second-placed Stoke City. Will the Hoops be able to get their third win on the board or will the Potters continue their strong start? Check out our match prediction.
QPR will be looking to continue on with the momentum that they’ve gained over the last few weeks. After managing just a single point from their first three games of the league season, QPR have won their last two outings on the bounce,
It was a strong response by the club after a humiliating 7-1 away loss to Coventry in matchday four. A 3-1 win over Charlton snapped the three-game losing streak which was followed up with a 3-1 away win over Wrexham last weekend.
As for Stoke, it’s been a fantastic start to the 2025-26 campaign as they come into this matchup trailing leaders Middlesbrough by just a single point.
Fans will be dreaming of an automatic promotion challenge and a return to the Premier League for the first time since 2017-18. They suffered their first defeat of the season just before the international break in a 1-0 home loss to West Brom.
The Potters were able to get back in the win column with a 1-0 home victory over Birmingham, snapping a two-match losing streak across all competitions.
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QPR v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.25 | 2.47 |
|
|
3.07 | 3.38 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.93 | 3.22 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.28 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between QPR and Stoke?
Our prediction for the QPR vs Stoke match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between QPR and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.03% for a win of QPR against Stoke with odds of 3.07 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between QPR vs Stoke is 28.39% with odds of 3.38 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs QPR with odds of 2.49 at Melbet.
QPR - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| QPR Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 42.58% | 2.49 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.81% | 2.41 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 59.38% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Stoke/Stoke | 18.51% | 4 at Bet365 |
QPR vs Stoke Form
QPR and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
58 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | -12 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
QPR and Stoke Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
QPR vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
14 Feb 2024 - Championship
28 Nov 2023 - Championship
QPR against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
B. Hamer
DefenderS. Cook
K. Morgan
MidfielderS. Field
P. Smyth
I. Hayden
K. Dembele
R. Kolli
M. Frey
J. Bonham
DefenderA. Phillips
E. Bocat
M. Talovierov
MidfielderT. Seko
B. Joon-ho
R. Bozenik
J. Donley
M. Cisse
Missing players
Z. Larkeche
Most goals and assists
QPR
Stoke
R. Kone
(10 Goals)
, 
R. Burrell
(10 Goals)
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
N. Madsen
(6 Assists)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
QPR - Stoke Key Points
- Stoke City rank fifth in big chances created (14) while QPR ranks 11th (9).
- The last time these two teams faced off at Loftus Road, the match finished 1-1.
- QPR have seen both teams score in all six games this season.
- Stoke’s two away matches this season saw a combined 7.65 expected goals and 13 clear cut scoring chances.
- Stoke have found the net in all five of six league matches.
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Our QPR vs Stoke Prediction
Both teams put forward positive responses to some early setbacks. QPR have reeled off back-to-back wins after a heavy defeat to Coventry while Stoke snapped their first losing streak of the campaign by grinding out a home win.
We believe both sides are therefore playing well enough to each get on the scoresheet. QPR, especially, are looking like they are going to be involved in a lot of high-scoring contests this season while Stoke’s away trips have both seen high xG numbers. 1-1 looks a likely final score. Our QPR vs Stoke City prediction: both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis QPR Stoke
| QPR vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR wins | 2.67 | 3.07 | +15.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.38 | +2.4% |
| Stoke wins | 2.65 | 2.49 | -6.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.7% and is now 40.2% (2.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
