QPR vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions
Derby brought a very interesting dynamic to this Matchday 44 Championship clash between QRP. The Rams can mathematically still make the promotion playoffs. But Derby are betting that they’ll win their remaining two games, while both Hull and Wrexham fumble their last two. Read our match prediction to see if they complete the double over QPR to keep that bet alive.
Despite losses here and there, Derby have been largely impressive in this final chapter. They did just lose their latest game to Norwich (2-1), but have won six of their last ten league games since February. That surge now sees them just four points off the promotion playoffs zone. Their bet is simple: beat QPR again and win Sheffield on the final day.
However, The Rams away form might just betray them, even against the struggling R’s. Derby have lost six of their last seven games, taking just three points off 21! Their saving grace might just be the fact that QPR are also stumbling.
The R’s are winless in their last four, and it’s only gotten worse as two draws with Preston (1-1) and Bristol City (0-0) were followed by two defeats to Millwall (2-0) and Swansea (2-1). QPR aren’t so hot at home too, as they’ve won just two of their last seven, while losing four.
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QPR v Derby County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.95 | 3.55 | 2.27 |
|
|
2.94 | 3.5 | 2.27 |
|
|
2.94 | 3.5 | 2.27 |
|
|
3 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
|
|
2.96 | 3.6 | 2.24 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between QPR and Derby County?
Our prediction for the QPR vs Derby County match is: Derby County wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between QPR and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.52% for a win of QPR against Derby County with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between QPR vs Derby County is 12.49% with odds of 3.65 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs QPR with odds of 2.31 at Tonybet.
QPR - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| QPR Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| QPR wins | 47.52% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.77% | 1.85 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 50.42% | |
| Half-time: Derby County / Full-time: QPR | 19.22% | 30 at LSbet |
QPR vs Derby County Form
QPR and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
|
15
|
58 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | -12 |
QPR and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
8 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
16 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
QPR vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
29 Nov 2021 - Championship
23 Jan 2021 - Championship
22 Apr 2019 - Championship
QPR against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
B. Hamer
DefenderEsquerdinha
K. Adamson
K. Saito
N. Madsen
I. Chair
R. Burrell
I. Alemayehu Mulugeta
R. Kolli
J. Vickers
DefenderI. Gordon
D. Batth
C. Forsyth
D. Ozoh
C. Allen
O. Eames
ForwardJ. Banel
L. Salvesen
Missing players
Z. Larkeche
ForwardK. Dembele
B. Clark
ForwardP. Agyemang
Most goals and assists
QPR
Derby County
R. Kone
(10 Goals)
, 
R. Burrell
(10 Goals)
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
N. Madsen
(6 Assists)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
QPR - Derby County Key Points
- Derby has won six of their last ten games, winning 18 points from a possible 30.
- Derby beat QPR in their only meeting this season (1-0), dominating with 4 to 1 big chances created and 12 to 6 shots taken.
- QRP have lost back-to-back games and are winless in their last four games.
- Derby have scored more goals than QRP (63 to 59), while conceding fewer goals (55 to 67).
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Our QPR vs Derby County Prediction
Fail to win this game, and their chances of making the promotion playoffs are as good as gone. We should see The Rams giving it their all from the first whistle, and considering that they’ve scored more and conceded fewer than QRP, Derby is the favourite to win.
Form-wise, Derby have also been the much better team compared to R's who are winless in their last four games. Hence, our QPR vs Derby County prediction is that Derby County wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis QPR Derby County
| QPR vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR wins | 2.85 | 3 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.65 | +4.3% |
| Derby County wins | 2.2 | 2.31 | +5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- QPR is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.1% and is now 33.3% (-1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
