QPR vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

QPR
09/12/2025 15:00
Birmingham

Prediction :

 

BTTS

1.75
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions

Tenth-placed QPR are in good form at present. They will hope for another three points when hosting Birmingham City who are two places above them but only on goal difference. Read our match prediction below.

A form guide for the last five league games has QPR in fifth position, six places ahead of their opponents. The weekend saw them defeat WBA 3-1 at home and that was their third win in their last four league fixtures.

Both clubs are only a couple of points adrift of the final promotion play-off position. QPR's win over WBA at the weekend was their second successive home league win but they'd lost the three played before them. Each of their last five home league games has seen both teams score.

Birmingham City would be in the play-off positions but for their poor away form. Only two out of ten on the road have been won with six defeats. Their most recent game saw them beaten 3-1 away at Southampton.

Three of their last four away league games have ended in defeat. They have conceded 15 away league goals this season and the last three on the road have all seen both teams score. We tip both QPR and Birmingham to score in this match.

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The Best Betting Odds for QPR v Birmingham Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.75 3.3 2.4
Stake
2.85 3.35 2.44
Melbet
2.79 3.32 2.42
BC Game
2.78 3.3 2.42
Tonybet
2.9 3.4 2.5
Check all QPR vs Birmingham odds

What is the prediction for the football match between QPR and Birmingham?

Our prediction for the QPR vs Birmingham match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/12/2025 between QPR and Birmingham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.26% for a win of QPR against Birmingham with odds of 2.9 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between QPR vs Birmingham is 24.87% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs QPR with odds of 2.5 at Tonybet.

QPR - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:

QPR Birmingham Prediction Probability Odds
QPR wins 38.26% 2.9 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 57.88% 1.98 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 68.75%
Half-time / Full-time : QPR/QPR 14.46% 4.5 at Bet365

QPR vs Birmingham Form

QPR and Birmingham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
QPR
QPR
39 27 11 6 10 -1
14
Birmingham
Birmingham
35 27 9 8 10 -1

QPR and Birmingham Last Matches

QPR
QPR Last matches
L D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
3 :  1
West Brom

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  1
QPR

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
QPR

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
3 :  2
Hull

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
0 :  0
QPR

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Southampton
D L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
3 :  1
West Brom

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
3 :  2
Hull

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Southampton

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  4
Ipswich Town

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Millwall

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

QPR
0 :  0
Oxford United
W W L D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  1
QPR

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
QPR

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
0 :  0
QPR

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
QPR

22 Oct 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
QPR

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  2
QPR
Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
W L W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Birmingham

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  1
Norwich

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Birmingham

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Millwall
D L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  1
Norwich

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Millwall

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Portsmouth

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  3
Hull

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  2
Sheffield Wednesday
D W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Birmingham

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Birmingham

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Birmingham

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  1
Birmingham

3 Oct 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Birmingham

QPR vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

QPR

50 %

Draw

25 %

Birmingham

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Birmingham

22 Sept 2023 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  0
QPR

28 Oct 2022 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  0
QPR

2 Jan 2022 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  2
QPR

QPR against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11

QPR

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
P. Nardi
27
A. Mbengue
3
J. Dunne
5
S. Cook
18
R. Norrington-Davies
11
P. Smyth
40
J. Varane
24
N. Madsen
14
K. Saito
22
R. Kone
16
R. Burrell
33
M. Ducksch
10
D. Gray
28
J. Stansfield
16
P. Roberts
8
S. Paik
24
T. Iwata
6
J. Robinson
4
C. Klarer
5
P. Neumann
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
25
J. Beadle

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Birmingham

Substitutes

QPR
QPR
Goalkeeper

B. Hamer

Defender

L. Morrison

Esquerdinha

K. Morgan

A. Mbengue 86'

Midfielder

K. Poku

K. Saito 79'

D. Bennie

I. Hayden

Forward

K. Dembele

P. Smyth 67'

M. Frey

Birmingham
Birmingham
Goalkeeper

R. Allsop

Defender

E. Cashin

J. Robinson 68'

A. Sampsted

Midfielder

K. Anderson

P. Neumann 82'

T. Doyle

B. Osayi-Samuel 46'

M. Leonard

L. Koumas

Forward

L. Dykes

J. Stansfield 68'

K. Furuhashi

M. Ducksch 46'

Missing players

QPR
QPR
Defender

Z. Larkeche

Midfielder

I. Chair

Birmingham
Birmingham
Defender

E. Laird

L. Buchanan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato QPR
CD Huachipato Birmingham
Top Goalscorer
Jamaica R. Burrell (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (8 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark N. Madsen (4 Assists)
Best assists
England P. Roberts (5 Assists)

QPR - Birmingham Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in three of QPR's last four league games.
  2. Between them these two clubs have scored 53 league goals but conceded 52.
  3. Both teams have scored in the last five QPR home league fixtures.
  4. Each of Birmingham's last five league games have seen both teams score and the last three away games.
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Our QPR vs Birmingham Prediction

Both QPR and Birmingham have a good chance of making it into the promotion play-off positions. They do need to be a bit more consistent and  cut down the number of goals they concede. City need to vastly improve their away league performances.

QPR are in good form with plenty of goals being scored but they still have a -4 goal difference. Birmingham also concede too many goals and struggle to keep clean sheets, especially when playing away matches. Our QPR v Birmingham prediction is both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

1.75
€100 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis QPR Birmingham

QPR vs Birmingham Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
QPR wins 2.8 2.9 +3.6%
Draw 3.15 3.4 +7.9%
Birmingham wins 2.55 2.5 -2.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • QPR is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 34.5% (-1.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

QPR vs Birmingham Prediction