Mexico - Liga MX
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
18th-place Pumas UNAM seek their first points of the season when they host third-placed CF Pachuca for matchday two of the 2025-26 Liga MX Apertura season. Read on for our prediction in this match between Los Universitarios and Los Tuzos.
After just squeezing into the postseason in the 2024-25 Clausura season with a 10th-place finish, Pumas UNAM would be sent home in the second play-in round.
The goal will be to secure automatic qualification via a top-six spot this time around, similar to how they did in the 2024-25 Apertura stage when they finished fourth. Unfortunately for Pumas, they haven’t gotten off to the best start.
They opened the campaign with a heavy 3-0 away loss at the hands of Santos last weekend, their third defeat in the last four competitive fixtures dating back to last season.
As for Pachuca, they finished the 2024-25 Clausura season in eighth place, eventually making it to the playoff proper where they were eliminated by Club America in the quarter-finals.
Pachuca took part in the FIFA Club World Cup last month but were sent home in the group stage after losing all three of their matches. They bounced back well in their return to domestic duties though, beating Monterrey 3-0 at home to start the season on a winning foot.
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The Best Betting Odds for Pumas UNAM v CF Pachuca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.45 | 2.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Pumas UNAM and CF Pachuca?
Our prediction for the Pumas UNAM vs CF Pachuca match is: Pumas double chance.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/07/2025 between Pumas UNAM and CF Pachuca in Liga MX :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.16% for a win of Pumas UNAM against CF Pachuca with odds of 3 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Pumas UNAM vs CF Pachuca is 27.9% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.95% chance ⭐ for a win of CF Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM with odds of 2.45 at Melbet.
Pumas UNAM vs CF Pachuca Form
Pumas UNAM and CF Pachuca's standings in the Liga MX
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
18
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
Pumas UNAM and CF Pachuca Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 May 2025 - Liga MX
28 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
20 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
17 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
13 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
10 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
17 Mar 2025 - Liga MX
5 Mar 2025 - Concachampions
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
5 May 2025 - Liga MX
28 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
20 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
6 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
3 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
27 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
8 May 2025 - Liga MX
16 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
6 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
17 Mar 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Liga MX
28 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
21 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
Pumas UNAM vs CF Pachuca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2025 - Liga MX
22 Jul 2024 - Liga MX
3 May 2024 - Liga MX
28 Jan 2024 - Liga MX
17 Jul 2023 - Liga MX
19 Mar 2023 - Liga MX
Pumas UNAM vs CF Pachuca last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
P. Vite
Most goals and assists
Pumas UNAM
CF Pachuca
G. Martinez
(8 Goals)
S. Rondon
(10 Goals)
P. Monroy
(3 Assists)
,
S. Trigos Nava
(3 Assists)
O. Idrissi
(4 Assists)
Pumas UNAM - CF Pachuca Key Points
- Pumas have lost only once in their last five home matches across all competitions.
- Pachuca have lost four of their last five games across all competitions.
- Pachuca lost 11 of 19 away fixtures in the combined 2024-25 season.
- Pumas kept a clean sheet in nine of their 18 home matches last season.
- The visitors conceded almost two goals per contest on the road last season (35 goals conceded in 19 trips).
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Our Pumas UNAM vs CF Pachuca Prediction
Pumas certainly didn’t look good last week in the defeat to Santos, but that should drive them to respond strongly in their home opener on Sunday. Additionally, with Pachuca having recorded a resounding win over Monterrey, it sets up a ‘buy low, sell high’ opportunity.
We’re backing Pumas to be better on their home turf than the odds would suggest, while also betting against Pachuca in maintaining the same type of performance on the road. The visitors struggled with their away form last season and could be in for a let-down spot. Our Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca prediction: Pumas double chance.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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