World - Club World Cup
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by Sridhar in Club World Cup Predictions
A place in the final of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup is up for grabs as the two European heavyweights Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid battle for supremacy. This is the second semi-final match of the competition to be played at the MetLife Stadium in New Jersey on Wednesday, and our prediction is of a high-scoring game with over three goals.
The winner of this contest will go on to meet the winner of Fluminense vs Chelsea in the final of this tournament. It would be a moment of crowning glory for PSG, who have already set the bar high with a maiden Champions League title this season. Luis Enrique’s side have been impeccable against European opposition Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich, so they would be itching for another statement win.
Madrid won’t be letting them have one so easily, especially as they look to give new boss Xabi Alonso a fitting start. There’s the small matter of a €1 million bonus announced for each of the Madrid players if they win the competition, so there would be enough push from the La Liga giants. Will the European heavyweights dish out a thrilling goal fest? Read further for our analysis and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.7 | 3.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Real Madrid match is: over 3 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/07/2025 between PSG and Real Madrid in Club World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.41% for a win of PSG against Real Madrid with odds of 2.17 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Real Madrid is 7.32% with odds of 3.8 at BC Game.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs PSG with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
PSG - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 50.41% | 2.17 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.94% | 1.52 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 28.33% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 22.19% | 3.5 at Vbet |
PSG vs Real Madrid Form
PSG and Real Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
31 May 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
31 May 2025 - Champions League
24 May 2025 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Apr 2025 - Champions League
22 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
27 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
PSG vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2022 - Champions League
15 Feb 2022 - Champions League
26 Nov 2019 - Champions League
18 Sep 2019 - Champions League
6 Mar 2018 - Champions League
14 Feb 2018 - Champions League
PSG - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
PSG defeated Bayern Munich 2-0 in their quarter-finals fixture, building on the 4-0 thrashing of Inter Miami in the first knockout match. These victories made it three wins in a row for the Parisians as the UEFA Champions League winners look to make their mark on the global stage.
The only blemish for PSG was in the group stages when they lost 1-0 to Botafogo. That didn't stop them from topping Group B with six points (W2, L1), finishing ahead of Botafogo and Atletico Madrid on head-to-head goal difference.
PSG scored 3+ goals in six of their last nine matches!
That’s a testimony to their growing attacking skills, while Madrid aren’t too far behind. They defeated Borussia Dortmund 3-2 in an entertaining quarter-finals fixture, following a 1-0 win over Juventus in the first knockout match.
The Spanish giants haven’t dominated teams but have done just enough, as was noted in a 1-1 draw against Al Hilal in the group stage. They are yet to lose in this competition after finishing the group games with two wins and one draw.
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PSG against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
PSG & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
PSG’s win in the quarter-final came with a heavy price attached to it, as both Willian Pacho and Lucas Hernandez are suspended for this match after being sent off. That could mean a change in the heart of defence with Lucas Beraldo likely to slot at the back in their 4-1-2-3 system.
Interestingly, Achraf Hakimi remains their best attacking outlet with two goals and an assist to his name. He also completed 91% of his 268 passes in the tournament, but it will be Vitinha (353 successful passes out of 371 - 95.2%) who’s mastering their midfield.
This is Mbappe’s first match against his former club PSG since joining Madrid!
He’s still unlikely to get a starting role as youngster Gonzalo Garcia continues to lead Madrid (four goals). Alonso could line up in the 4-2-3-1 formation to stifle PSG’s midfield, with Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Jr. providing the attacking passes for Garcia.
They will be forced to make a change at the back, though, as new signing Dean Huijsen’s red card in the quarter-finals makes him ineligible for this game. Eder Militao or Raul Asencio could replace him. Eduardo Camavinga has also returned to training and will be available for selection.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Real Madrid
O. Dembele
(2 Goals)
, 
A. Hakimi
(2 Goals)
, 
J. Neves
(2 Goals)
G. Garcia
(4 Goals)
F. Ruiz
(2 Assists)
, 
K. Kvaratskhelia
(2 Assists)
,
Vitinha
(2 Assists)
T. Alexander-Arnold
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Guler
(2 Assists)
PSG - Real Madrid Key Points
- In six of their last nine matches, PSG scored at least three goals.
- Madrid scored at least three goals in three of their last four matches, including against Dortmund in the quarter-finals.
- Three of PSG’s last six matches have returned at least four goals.
- Two of the last three fixtures between PSG and Madrid have returned over three goals.
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Our PSG vs Real Madrid Prediction
This has all the makings of a heavyweight clash as the two European teams meet for a place in the final. PSG have had a better tournament in the Club World Cup, excluding their narrow loss to Botafogo in the group stages. Real Madrid have been pushed hard by Juventus and Dortmund, although winning narrowly, while Al Hilal held them to a draw. The only common factor is goals, which are likely to repeat here.
Both teams are likely to go for goals again, and that promises a lot of action. Our PSG vs Real Madrid prediction is over 3 goals.
PSG vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
PSG wins the match
The last time these sides played was in 2022, when Real Madrid won 3-1. So much has changed since then with PSG coming here as the UEFA Champions League winners. They have been consistent in this tournament and are slightly ahead of Madrid in the favourites scale. Back PSG to win in normal time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Real Madrid
| PSG vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 2.3 | 2.05 | -10.9% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.6 | +9.1% |
| Real Madrid wins | 3.1 | 3.5 | +12.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 48.8% (5.3%)
Use the PSG vs. Real Madrid game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
Are you looking to use the match between PSG and Real Madrid in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Club World Cup and start to build those accas!
PSG vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The British-based entertainment platform DAZN has got exclusive international broadcasting rights for the tournament. They are set to air all 63 fixtures for free via their internal streaming platform and TV channels.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our FIFA Club World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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