PSG vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Parisian pride and Premier League power cross paths at the Parc des Princes in midweek, when Paris Saint-Germain play host to Newcastle United in the UEFA Champions League. Les Rougue et Bleu and the Magpies are sixth and seventh in the League Phase standings, respectively. Check out our match prediction below!
Both these sides enter the final Matchday of the League Phase on 13 points and inside the top eight. PSG returned to the top of Ligue 1 with a crucial victory away to Auxerre over the weekend, and a win on their home patch in this match will guarantee them direct entry into the UCL Round of 16.
Newcastle also hold their last 16 fate in their own hands, but they enter this match following a home loss to Aston Villa in the EPL and just one win in their last four games across all competitions. With as many as eight teams locked on 13 points, there is no margin for error for either of these sides - let’s get into the key stats!
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PSG v Newcastle Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 5 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.76 | 5 |
|
|
1.54 | 5 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.7 | 4.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Newcastle match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/01/2026 between PSG and Newcastle in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.9% for a win of PSG against Newcastle with odds of 1.6 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Newcastle is 29.33% with odds of 5.18 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs PSG with odds of 5.5 at LSbet.
PSG - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 43.9% | 1.6 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.66% | |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 20.82% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Newcastle Form
PSG and Newcastle's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 |
|
12
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 |
PSG and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
PSG vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
4 Oct 2023 - Champions League
PSG - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Matchday 7 in the Champions League produced several shock results, with one of the biggest being Paris Saint-Germain suffering a 2-1 loss to Sporting Lisbon after conceding a dramatic late goal.
The Parisiens have not been entirely convincing of late. They were held to a goalless draw by Bilbao on MD6 of the UCL, needed penalties to beat Marseille in the Super Cup and were dumped out of the Coupe de France by Paris FC a couple of weeks ago.
The hosts have won two and drawn one of their three home games in this competition, but they have scored two or more goals in five of their last six matches at this venue since the start of November.
PSG are the joint highest scoring team in the UCL League Phase this season (20 goals)!
Meanwhile, Newcastle United returned to the top eight in the League Phase last week when they secured a commanding 3-0 victory over Eredivisie high-flyers PSV at St. James’ Park.
That result followed a loss to Marseille and a goalless draw against Leverkusen on MD5 and MD6, respectively. It was also their only victory in their last four games in all competitions (D1 L2).
The Magpies' away record is another major concern, as they have only managed two wins in their last 10 games on the road (D2 L6) and failed to score in three of their last four outings in all competitions.
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PSG against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
M. James
L. Chevalier
DefenderI. Zabarnyi
Beraldo
L. Hernandez
MidfielderS. Mayulu
G. Ramos
D. Doue
I. Mbaye
A. Harris
A. Ramsdale
DefenderK. Trippier
A. Murphy
L. Shahar
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
J. Murphy
ForwardA. Gordon
W. Osula
H. Barnes
Y. Wissa
Missing players
F. Ruiz
L. Kang-in
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
F. Schar
ForwardJoelinton
PSG & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Ousmane Dembele has been in sensational form of late. The reigning Ballon d’Or winner has recorded five goal contributions in his last four league games and provided the assist for his side’s only goal against Sporting last week.
Desire Doue started in place of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia in Lisbon, but the Georgian international came off the bench to score in that match and is likely to return to the starting lineup for this one.
PSG has several players sidelined through injury at present, including Fabian Ruiz, Joao Neves, Quentin Ndjantou, Kang-In Lee, and backup shot-stopper Matvey Safonov.
Anthony Gordon has six goals and two assists in seven UCL games this season!
After scoring the team’s second goal in the victory over PSV, Gordon is now level with Alan Shearer for the most goals by a Newcastle United player in the Champions League.
Harvey Barnes moved to second in that list in that same match, now on five goals, while Yoanne Wissa got on the scoresheet on his first UCL start, and should get the nod again here ahead of Nick Woltemade.
Joelinton suffered a muscle strain over the weekend and is the latest addition to the Magpies' lengthy injury list, which features Jacob Murphy, Tino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Jamaal Lascelles and Emil Krafth. Bruno Guimaraes will have to pass a late fitness test.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Newcastle
K. Kvaratskhelia
(10 Goals)
A. Gordon
(10 Goals)
K. Kvaratskhelia
(7 Assists)
J. Murphy
(3 Assists)
,
K. Trippier
(3 Assists)
,
H. Barnes
(3 Assists)
PSG - Newcastle Key Points
- Five of PSG’s six UCL games have ended with both teams scoring.
- PSG have scored two or more goals in five of their last six home matches.
- Newcastle have scored two or more goals in five of their six UCL games.
- Newcastle have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away matches.
- Both teams scored in the last two matches between these sides in this competition.
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Our PSG vs Newcastle Prediction
PSG are the favourites in this clash and are the joint-leading scorers in the League Phase with 20 goals, but they have also conceded 10, which is the most of any team in the top eight in the standings.
Newcastle were sensational in their victory over PSV at home last week, but their away record across all competitions this season is very poor, and we feel they will struggle to keep out the reigning champions in this one. Our PSG vs Newcastle prediction is BTTS.
PSG vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions
PSG wins
PSG have only lost two of their last 18 UCL group-stage matches (W13 D3) and are unbeaten in their last four such games against English opposition (W3 D1). Additionally, Newcastle have only managed two wins in their last 10 games on the road (D2 L6).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Newcastle
| PSG vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.47 | 1.6 | +8.8% |
| Draw | 4.74 | 5.18 | +9.3% |
| Newcastle wins | 7.9 | 5.5 | -30.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 68.0% and is now 62.5% (-5.5%)
PSG vs Newcastle - FAQs
The Champions League match between PSG and Newcastle will take place on January 28 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between PSG and Newcastle will be played at the Parc des Princes in Paris.
The Champions League match between PSG and Newcastle will be broadcast live on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
