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PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - FIFA Club World Cup

World - FIFA Club World Cup

PSG
15/06/2025 12:00
Atletico Madrid

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar | in FIFA Club World Cup Predictions

In a blockbuster clash between two European giants, PSG and Atletico Madrid start their 2025 FIFA Club World Cup campaign in this Group B fixture. This match will be played at the Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena on Sunday, and our prediction is for Les Parisiens and Rojiblancos to dish out a high-scoring affair with over 2.5 goals our pick. Brazilian club Botafogo and MLS side Seattle Sounders FC complete the group from which two teams will advance to the knockout stages.

The concluded season has been exceptional for Luis Enrique and PSG, who won all four competitive trophies, including the coveted Champions League. The French club would be keen to stamp their authority on the Club World Cup stage too and a win over Atletico Madrid would be a statement. The Spanish side are also playing in their debut Club World Cup campaign and have already defeated PSG on the European scene once this season.

Is it time for PSG to exact revenge, or will Atletico once again prove to be their nemesis? Read further for our recommendations.

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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Atletico Madrid Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.9 3.8 3.75
Betfred
1.91 3.75 4
William Hill
1.85 3.6 3.9
Betway
1.95 3.6 3.6
Ladbrokes
2.1 3.5 3.3
Check all PSG vs Atletico Madrid odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Atletico Madrid?

Our prediction for the PSG vs Atletico Madrid match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/06/2025 between PSG and Atletico Madrid in FIFA Club World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.62% for a win of PSG against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.15 at Betfair.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Atletico Madrid is 15.62% with odds of 3.85 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs PSG with odds of 4.1 at Unibet.

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Form

PSG and Atletico Madrid Last Matches

PSG
PSG Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

31 May 2025 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  0
Inter Milan

24 May 2025 - French Cup

PSG
3 :  0
Reims

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Auxerre

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc
1 :  4
PSG

7 May 2025 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  1
Arsenal

3 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
PSG
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

31 May 2025 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  0
Inter Milan

24 May 2025 - French Cup

PSG
3 :  0
Reims

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Auxerre

7 May 2025 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  1
Arsenal

25 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Nice

19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Le Havre
W L D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc
1 :  4
PSG

3 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
PSG

29 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

22 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
PSG

15 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

1 Apr 2025 - French Cup

USL Dunkerque
2 :  4
PSG
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
W D W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  4
Atletico Madrid

18 May 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Betis

15 May 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

10 May 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

3 May 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  0
Atletico Madrid

24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 May 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Betis

10 May 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  2
Valladolid

2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona
D W L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  4
Atletico Madrid

15 May 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

3 May 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  0
Atletico Madrid

19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Las Palmas
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

50 %

Draw

0 %

Atletico Madrid

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

30 Jul 2018 - International Champions Cup

PSG
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid
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PSG - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis

The highlight of PSG’s season has been a 5-0 win over Inter Milan in the final of the UEFA Champions League. While that has given them a first-ever continental trophy, it also made it five wins in a row for the Parisians.

They have, in fact, won all four major trophies available to them in the 2024/25 season, making them one of the favourites here. That would make it a memorable debut campaign in the FIFA World Cup.

PSG scored 17 goals in their last five matches.

Atletico aren’t far behind in terms of goals, having scored exactly four goals in three of their recent four matches. That has given them a strong ending to a disappointing league campaign, winning all those three matches while losing the other.

The Spanish side finished well behind Barcelona and Real Madrid in the league campaign, while their attempts at silverware in the Copa del Rey and Champions League have been equally flat. That said, they did deal PSG a 2-1 defeat in Paris in the Champions League and would be gunning for an encore.

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PSG vs Atletico Madrid last Lineups

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Donnarumma
2
A. Hakimi
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
25
N. Mendes
87
J. Neves
17
Vitinha
8
F. Ruiz
14
D. Doue
10
O. Dembélé
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
19
J. Alvarez
7
A. Griezmann
12
S. Lino
6
Koke
5
R. De Paul
14
M. Llorente
3
C. Azpilicueta
15
C. Lenglet
20
A. Witsel
16
N. Molina
1
J. Musso

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Atletico Madrid

PSG & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis

PSG will be without Ousmane Dembele with the French forward picking up a quad injury in France’s Nations League match against Spain. It's a tough blow considering the 28-year-old is the current frontrunner for the Ballon d'Or after racking up 33 goals and 13 assists in 49 appearances.

Bradley Barcola also had an injury turning up for the French national team but is expected to join the PSG camp. Enrique is likely to stick to his 4-3-3 combination with no major absentees elsewhere. Dembele’s absence could open the door for Goncalo Ramos or Barcola.

Desire Doue has two goals and three assists in his last two matches for PSG.

The youngster sparkled on the continental stage in the Champions League final and could once again be key for PSG. As for Atletico, there are no notable absences. Jan Oblak featured for Slovenia last week and has linked up with the Atletico squad.

Atletico manager Diego Simeone will be thinking about Argentine players in his squad, with as many as five featuring for their national side. Alexander Sorloth also featured for Norway and may have to settle for a berth on the bench.

The Spaniards usually play in a 4-4-2 formation, but Simeone is flexible enough to use 5-3-2, something which he used against PSG in the Champions League earlier this season. Either way, it would be Antoine Griezmann and Julian Alvarez who will lead the line.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
France O. Dembélé (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Best assists
Spain F. Ruiz (1 Assists)
Best assists

PSG - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. In ten of PSG’s last 12 matches, there have been over 2.5 goals.
  2. That includes their last six matches in a row.
  3. PSG have scored at least three goals in their last four fixtures.
  4. Three of Atletico’s last four matches have produced at least four goals.
  5. PSG averaged 2.62 goals scored per match in their 58 competitive fixtures in the just concluded 2024/25 season.
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Our PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

This is easily one of the standout clashes of the tournament, between two European giants. PSG are the newly crowned UEFA Champions League winners and perhaps in the best of their form, scoring goals for fun. Atletico Madrid may not have had a great season but ended the season with six wins out of the last nine matches. That included scoring four goals in three of their last four matches. This match has all the signs of being a high-scorer, and our PSG vs Atletico Madrid prediction is over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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PSG vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions

PSG to win and both teams to score

Odds 3.5

Both teams are in cracking scoring form, which makes goals from both teams a good pick. To top it with a PSG win, looking at how they ended the season on a high, is a reasonably good choice. Atletico can’t be easily ruled out, especially as they won 2-1 in the Champions League competition earlier in the season. That gives PSG enough motivation to avenge the defeat with a win here.

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PSG vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions

The PSG vs Atletico Madrid FIFA Club World Cup Group B match is scheduled for an 8 pm BST kick-off on Sunday.
The PSG vs Atletico Madrid FIFA Club World Cup will be played at the neutral venue of Rose Bowl in Pasadena. The Rose Bowl Stadium has a capacity of 89,702 and is best known as the host of the annual Rose Bowl Game for which it is named.

The British-based entertainment platform DAZN has got exclusive international broadcasting rights for the tournament. They are set to air all 63 fixtures for free via their internal streaming platform and TV channels.

You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our FIFA Club World Cup Livescore page!

Very different! The 2025 edition is set to be played in the United States from June 14 to July 13, 2025. This is the first time that the tournament is being played under an expanded format with 32 teams. That includes the winners of the four previous continental championships.
The 32 teams are divided into eight groups of four teams each. The top two sides will reach the knockout stages with the round of 16 to be played in a single game knockout basis. All in all, there will be 63 matches set to be played in the tournament.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
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