England - Championship
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by Daniel Ngulu in Championship Predictions
Watford ended their winless run last time out while Portsmouth will close September without a win. The two sides will face off in the Championship at the start of October in a battle for three points. We have a prediction for this match to be hosted by Portsmouth.
Two of Portsmouth’s three matches in September were away matches, and they don’t really do well in those. Coming to play a fourth home game of the season gives them the chance to go for a second win.
The hosts lost their latest two matches. A 2-1 defeat at Ipswich Town left them 17th in the standings, just three points above the drop zone.
Watford have had a similar season as Portsmouth, and the two come here tied on eight points. The Hornets come into this game having claimed a 2-1 home win against Hull City.
That was an improvement from two straight defeats against Millwall and Blackburn Rovers and ended a run of four winless outings. In their eight matches so far this season, Watford have only managed two wins.
There isn’t much to seek in the form of inspiration from this fixture either. The visitors have suffered defeat in each of their last five visits here. The latest of them was last season, 13 years after they had last played at Fratton Park.
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The Best Betting Odds for Portsmouth v Watford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Watford?
Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Watford match is: under 2.5 goals and a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2025 between Portsmouth and Watford in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.41% for a win of Portsmouth against Watford with odds of 2.52 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Watford is 25.83% with odds of 3.4 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Portsmouth with odds of 3.32 at Melbet.
Portsmouth - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Portsmouth Watford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 40.41% | 2.52 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 64.92% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 1.86 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Watford / Full-time: Portsmouth | 15.34% | 29 at Bet365 |
Portsmouth vs Watford Form
Portsmouth and Watford's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
|
13
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
Portsmouth and Watford Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
14 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
14 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
22 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
Portsmouth vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
Portsmouth against Watford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
N. Schmid
DefenderC. Shaughnessy
MidfielderJ. Murphy
ForwardC. Lang
T. Waddingham
P. Dwomoh
G. Chakvetadze
Most goals and assists
Portsmouth
Watford
A. Segecic
(3 Goals)
J. Ngakia
(2 Goals)
, 
I. Louza
(2 Goals)
,
N. Irankunda
(2 Goals)
, 
L. Kjerrumgaard
(2 Goals)
, 
K. Baah
(2 Goals)
J. Swift
(2 Assists)
I. Louza
(2 Assists)
, 
R. Vata
(2 Assists)
Portsmouth - Watford Key Points
- Both Portsmouth and Watford have two draws in their seven league games.
- In their last five matches, Portsmouth won once and drew twice.
- Watford are coming off one win and two draws in the last five matches.
- Watford scored an average of one goal per game in their last seven.
- Portsmouth conceded on average one goal per game.
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Our Portsmouth vs Watford Prediction
Portsmouth and Watford are both coming off tough runs in September and will be looking for more stable days in October. That starts with this match, and they have a lot to improve on. For starters, the scoring form for the two teams hasn’t been great.
We could, therefore, go for a low-scoring bet. Also, for both teams we haven't had many winning outings; they’ve actually lost more than they've won. This match, each side will look at as a chance to bounce back, but we see shared spoils. Our prediction for Portsmouth v Watford is for under 2.5 goals and a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portsmouth Watford
| Portsmouth vs Watford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 2.1 | 2.3 | +9.5% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
| Watford wins | 3.3 | 3 | -9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Portsmouth is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 43.5% (-4.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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