Portsmouth vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
Two of the meanest defences in this year’s EFL Championship will be on display as Portsmouth host Stoke for a matchday 12 fixture on Saturday. This match at Fratton Park between the 17th-placed Pompey and the sixth-placed Potters comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
After 11 rounds, Portsmouth’s 13 points put them five points above the relegation zone, although outside the play-off places by the same margin. Stoke’s 18 points put them in that sixth place, behind third-placed Millwall by two points.
Portsmouth lost 2-1 at home against leaders Coventry in their last match, failing to extend a three-game unbeaten run (W1, D2). They have lost consecutive matches only once in this league campaign, so hopes will be high of an immediate bounce back.
That defeat also made it an indifferent run of games at this venue this season, with Portsmouth winning only two of six home league fixtures (W2, D1, L3).
Stoke were beaten 2-0 away at Millwall last match, with the result ending a four-game unbeaten sequence (W1, D3). The Potters are still in the playoff race, thanks to their start where they won three in a row.
It’s their away form that needs instant improvement, as Stoke have drawn and lost two games each across their last four league trips.
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Portsmouth v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.17 | 2.54 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.2 | 2.54 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.18 | 2.56 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.05 | 2.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Stoke match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2025 between Portsmouth and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.04% for a win of Portsmouth against Stoke with odds of 3.1 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Stoke is 25.8% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Portsmouth with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
Portsmouth - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Portsmouth Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 42.17% | 2.7 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.69% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Stoke/Stoke | 15.76% | 4.25 at LSbet |
Portsmouth vs Stoke Form
Portsmouth and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
|
18
|
55 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 |
Portsmouth and Stoke Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
Portsmouth vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
Portsmouth against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
B. Killip
DefenderJ. Knight
Z. Swanson
I. Bowat
MidfielderF. Bianchini
L. Le Roux
T. Devlin
M. Kosznovszky
J. Murphy
J. Bonham
DefenderS. Agina
B. Gibson
MidfielderT. Rigo
T. Seko
S. Nzonzi
R. Bozenik
M. Cisse
J. Donley
Most goals and assists
Portsmouth
Stoke
A. Segecic
(10 Goals)
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
Portsmouth - Stoke Key Points
- Stoke average a league-low 1.82 goals per match in this Championship campaign.
- Portsmouth’s matches average 2.00 goals per game in this league campaign and only two sides average fewer.
- Six of Portsmouth’s last nine league games produced under 2.5 goals.
- Stoke’s last eight matches have seen two or fewer goals scored.
- That includes their last four away league games, each seeing fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Portsmouth vs Stoke Prediction
Portsmouth have won only one of their recent seven league fixtures, while the strain of a lengthy injury list is telling. They haven’t been consistent, and part of the blame lies with their faltering forward line that landed just ten goals, with only three teams scoring fewer ahead of this round. That said, the Pompey have let in only 12 goals, which pales in comparison to Stoke’s eight goals, which is the joint-second-best defensive record before this matchday.
This match could be tight on goals, and our Portsmouth vs Stoke prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portsmouth Stoke
| Portsmouth vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 2.88 | 3.1 | +7.6% |
| Draw | 2.99 | 3.3 | +10.4% |
| Stoke wins | 2.56 | 2.7 | +5.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.1% and is now 37.0% (-2.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
