Portsmouth vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Ian John | in Championship Predictions
A south coast derby for the ages is in prospect on Sunday as Portsmouth host Southampton in a game that will be fiercely competitive. Pompey are very much involved in the relegation battle and desperately need the points against the visiting Saints, who are currently in mid-table, but not too far off the Championship playoff spots. Who will our match prediction back here, if anybody?
A closer examination of the current Championship table reveals Portsmouth lie one spot outside of the relegation zone in 21st spot, with 29 points from 26 games played. They are a point ahead of Blackburn who are in the drop zone. Southampton though are 15th in the table, with 28 games played and 36 points secured.
2026 began dismally for Portsmouth as they went down to a 5-0 thrashing away to Bristol City on New Year's Day and were then beaten 4-1 at home by Premier League leaders Arsenal. However, Pompey rallied in their most recent two games, earning a 1-0 win away to Sheffield Wednesday and then in midweek, battled their way to a 1-1 draw away to Watford.
Southampton's recent form has also been a mixed bag. A 0-0 draw at home to Millwall on New Year's Day was followed by a 4-0 thrashing at Middlesbrough in the league. In the FA Cup, Saints beat Doncaster Rovers 3-2 away from home and in the two home league games following, they were beaten 2-1 by Hull but beat Sheffield Unietd 1-0 in midweek.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Portsmouth v Southampton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.56 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.33 | 3.32 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.5 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.45 | 2.08 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Southampton match is: A draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2026 between Portsmouth and Southampton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.63% for a win of Portsmouth against Southampton with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Southampton is 24.09% with odds of 3.56 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Portsmouth with odds of 2.2 at LSbet.
Portsmouth - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Portsmouth Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 43.63% | 3.45 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.57% | 1.91 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Portsmouth | 21.17% | 8 at LSbet |
Portsmouth vs Southampton Form
Portsmouth and Southampton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
|
18
|
55 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 |
Portsmouth and Southampton Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
Portsmouth vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
24 Sept 2019 - Carabao Cup
Portsmouth against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Bursik
DefenderJ. Williams
J. Farrell
R. Poole
MidfielderL. Le Roux
K. Anderson
M. Pack
J. Swift
ForwardM. Kirk
A. McCarthy
DefenderN. Wood
E. Jelert
MidfielderT. Fellows
S. Charles
R. Manning
ForwardR. Stewart
C. Archer
J. Robinson
Missing players
M. Kosznovszky
ForwardF. Umeh Chibueze
M. Roerslev
Most goals and assists
Portsmouth
Southampton
A. Segecic
(10 Goals)
F. Azaz
(11 Goals)
, 
A. Armstrong
(11 Goals)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
L. Scienza
(9 Assists)
Portsmouth - Southampton Key Points
- Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last two Championship matches (W1, D1)
- Southampton have not won any of their last five away games in the Championship.
- Portsmouth have drawn three of their last six league games.
- Three of the last four games between the two teams have finished as a draw.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Portsmouth vs Southampton Prediction
Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs. Southampton Championship match is: A draw.
South coast derbies between these two fierce rivals are always feisty and this game will be no different. Neither team comes into this game with any great run of form behind them and there are relatively few points separating them in the league. As such, this should be a very close contest and with the history of these games seeing draws common in most recent times, the draw is the result to back here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portsmouth Southampton
| Portsmouth vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 3.85 | 3.45 | -10.4% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.56 | +1.7% |
| Southampton wins | 1.9 | 2.2 | +15.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Portsmouth is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.0% and is now 29.0% (3.0%)
£30 Matched Bet Welcome Offer
Sign up with Betway and cash in on a £30 matched free bet if your first accumulator loses! In addition, you'll also get a £30 Uber Eats voucher as well as 100 free spins. To qualify, your first accumulator bet must have at least three legs and have a total of 3.00 odds or higher. Should this lose, you'll receive a matched bet up to £30. Only new players in the UK who are at least 18 years old are eligible for this sign up offer.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
