Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Portsmouth
22/11/2025 10:00
Millwall

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions

Portsmouth host Millwall and both clubs could really do with a victory. Pompey are 20th in the Championship with the visitors sixth in the table. Can the home side end a run of six league games without a win? Read our match prediction below.

Those six league fixtures have seen Portsmouth earn just two points. Their last Championship match produced a 3-2 loss at Hull City after leading 1-0. It ended a run of three successive league games in which they had failed to score.

Form at Fratton Park has produced a couple of wins but four defeats. Only six goals have been scored in eight league games but only nine conceded. Three of Pompey's last four at home have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.

Millwall are in the final promotion play-off position. Only two points have been earned from their last three league games. Most recently, they came from behind to get a 1-1 draw at home to Preston North End.

On the road, Millwall were unbeaten in their first six games of the new Championship season. Three games were won with the same number drawn, but then they lost 4-0 at in-form Birmingham. Only nine away league goals have been scored.

We tip under 2.5 goals in this match.

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Portsmouth v Millwall Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.38 3.2 3.05
Melbet
2.34 3.26 3.12
Betwinner
2.41 3.1 3.03
Bet365
2.2 3.25 3.25
Roobet
2.3 3.2 3.15
Check all Portsmouth vs Millwall odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Millwall?

Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Millwall match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Portsmouth and Millwall in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.64% for a win of Portsmouth against Millwall with odds of 2.41 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Millwall is 39.37% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Portsmouth with odds of 3.25 at Bet365.

Portsmouth - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:

Portsmouth Millwall Prediction Probability Odds
Millwall wins 42.99% 3.25 at Bet365
Under 2.5 58.93% 1.98 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 54.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall 17.47% 7.25 at LSbet

Portsmouth vs Millwall Form

Portsmouth and Millwall's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Millwall
83 46 24 11 11 +15
18 Portsmouth
55 46 14 13 19 -15

Portsmouth and Millwall Last Matches

Portsmouth
Portsmouth Last matches
D L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  2
Portsmouth

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Wrexham

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Portsmouth

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Stoke

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Coventry City

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Portsmouth
L D W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Wrexham

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Stoke

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Coventry City

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Watford

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Sheffield Wednesday
D D L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  2
Portsmouth

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Portsmouth

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Portsmouth

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  1
Portsmouth

14 Sept 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Portsmouth

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Portsmouth
Millwall
Millwall Last matches
W W W D L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
Preston North End

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Millwall

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  2
Millwall

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Leicester

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  0
Stoke

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Millwall
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
Preston North End

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Leicester

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  0
Stoke

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  0
West Brom

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  4
Coventry City

22 Sept 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Watford
D D D W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Millwall

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  2
Millwall

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Millwall

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Millwall

16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Millwall

13 Sept 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  1
Millwall

Portsmouth vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Portsmouth

0 %

Draw

0 %

Millwall

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Portsmouth

28 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall

Portsmouth against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11

Portsmouth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Schmid
22
Z. Swanson
4
J. Knight
5
R. Poole
24
T. Devlin
21
A. Dozzell
18
M. Kosznovszky
11
F. Bianchini
10
A. Segecic
23
J. Murphy
9
C. Bishop
9
M. Ivanovic
14
A. Doughty
17
M. Langstaff
7
T. Ballo
24
C. De Norre
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
3
Z. Sturge
6
C. Taylor
4
T. Crama
2
D. McNamara
15
M. Crocombe

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Millwall

Substitutes

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Goalkeeper

J. Bursik

Defender

H. Matthews

J. Williams

Z. Swanson 69'

Midfielder

M. Pack

A. Dozzell 80'

Y. Min-hyeok

J. Swift

Forward

C. Lang

A. Segecic 62'

M. Kirk

C. Chaplin

F. Bianchini 80'

Millwall
Millwall
Goalkeeper

S. Benda

Defender

W. Harding

D. McNamara 62'

K. Grant

J. Bryan

Z. Sturge 38'

Midfielder

R. Bangura-Williams

L. Cundle

M. Langstaff 63'

C. Neghli

T. Ballo 81'

D. Kelly

D. Mazou-Sacko 55'

Forward

A. Emakhu

A. Doughty 62'

Missing players

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Millwall
Millwall
Goalkeeper

L. Jensen

Midfielder

M. Luongo

B. Baker

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Portsmouth
CD Huachipato Millwall
Top Goalscorer
Croatia A. Segecic (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England F. Azeez (11 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (6 Assists)
Best assists
England F. Azeez (8 Assists)

Portsmouth - Millwall Key Points

  1. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Portsmouth's last four home league games.
  2. Six of the last eight games between these two clubs have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  3. Eight home league games for Portsmouth this season have only seen 15 goals scored, six by Pompey.
  4. Millwall have only scored nine away league goals this season.
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Our Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction

Portsmouth are four points clear of the relegation zone but bottom in a form guide for the last five games. Just one point has been earned and now they take on Millwall who hold the final promotion play-off position.

The visitors have also been struggling in recent games though with no wins in their last three league fixtures. This looks like being a tight match between two clubs both desperate for a win. Our Portsmouth v Millwall prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portsmouth Millwall

Portsmouth vs Millwall Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Portsmouth wins 2.55 2.41 -5.5%
Draw 3.2 3.3 +3.1%
Millwall wins 2.75 3.25 +18.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Millwall is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 18.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 30.8% (-5.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction