Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
The 2025-26 EFL Championship leaders Middlesbrough will be keen to get back to their winning ways as they visit a struggling Portsmouth on Saturday for a matchday nine fixture. This match at Fratton Park between the 17th-placed Pompey and the first-placed Boro comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With nine points (W2, D3, L3), Portsmouth start this round only three points above the relegation zone. Middlesbrough’s 18 points (W5, D3) keep them two points ahead of their nearest challengers, Coventry City.
A 2-2 home draw against Watford helped Portsmouth end a two-game losing run but extended their wait for a win. The Pompey are without a league win in four matches (D2, L2), keeping them closer to the relegation zone.
Even at home, they have lost two of the four league matches played here this season (W1, D1, L2), although they scored in three of those matches.
Middlesbrough were held to a 0-0 home draw by Stoke last time, extending their stay at the top of the points tally. That said, three draws from their last four league games (W1, D3) have shaved the lead and keep them vulnerable ahead of this trip.
Two of those draws have come in their last two league trips, as Middlesbrough look to get back to winning ways.
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Portsmouth v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.35 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.5 | 2.36 |
|
|
2.96 | 3.38 | 2.31 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.34 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.4 | 2.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.26% for a win of Portsmouth against Middlesbrough with odds of 3.05 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough is 40.82% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth with odds of 2.57 at Shangrila.
Portsmouth - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Portsmouth Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40.82% | 3.5 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.16% | 2.32 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time: Portsmouth / Full-time: Draw | 16.77% | 15 at Bet365 |
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Form
Portsmouth and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 |
|
18
|
55 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 |
Portsmouth and Middlesbrough Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
19 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
19 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
Portsmouth against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
B. Killip
DefenderZ. Swanson
H. Matthews
MidfielderL. Le Roux
M. Kosznovszky
A. Segecic
T. Devlin
F. Bianchini
ForwardH. Blair
J. Mclaughlin
DefenderA. Bangura
MidfielderS. Nypan
R. Kante
A. Browne
D. Burgzorg
D. Strelec
M. Whittaker
S. Silvera
Missing players
D. Lenihan
Most goals and assists
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
A. Segecic
(10 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(14 Goals)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
M. Whittaker
(6 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(6 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(6 Assists)
Portsmouth - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Portsmouth scored in three of their four home league matches this season.
- Portsmouth’s last two league matches ended with goals from both teams.
- The last four league matches between these teams ended with goals from both teams.
- Middlesbrough saw both teams score goals in three of their last four Championship matches.
- In their last three away league games, Middlesbrough saw both teams score goals.
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Our Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Middlesbrough are the team to beat in the Championship, setting up pace for the other teams, but three draws in their last four rounds shaved off their lead at the top. Portsmouth are well down the points table and are only marginally above the relegation zone. They can still look to keep Middlesbrough on the back foot and find at least a goal this weekend.
The visitors could be stretched here, and that’s why our Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portsmouth Middlesbrough
| Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 2.9 | 3.05 | +5.2% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.45 | 2.57 | +4.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 28.6% (-0.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Portsmouth vs. Middlesbrough game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
