Porto vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Liga Portugal Predictions
FC Porto will be switching lanes back to the Primeira Liga after a tough outing in Europe. The league leaders host the second-from-bottom side Tondela, both seeking returns to winning ways. Read on to find our match prediction.
FC Porto’s European sojourn is over following a 1-0 loss away to Nottingham Forest. The Portuguese giants had to play a man down from the eighth minute and trailed from the 12th in that Europa League quarter-final game.
They hold a five-point lead in the league and will want to pour all their focus there. The Dragons have a good chance to extend their lead, as third-placed Benfica and second-placed Sporting face off this weekend.
Tondela will hope to be the ones to inflict on Porto their second league defeat this season. While they badly need that, the visitors carry a very poor run against Porto.
They are not just winless in 15 meetings with Porto, but they lost all of them. Tondela’s 2-0 defeat in the reverse fixture was the fourth time on six that they failed to score against Porto.
They arrive for this match winless in their last five outings (3D, 2L), and they failed to score in three of the last four. Their 2-2 draw with Gil Vicente last time out was the fourth time in 10 matches that they scored twice.
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Porto v Tondela Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.18 | 6.8 | 16 |
|
|
1.15 | 7.3 | 20 |
|
|
1.15 | 7.3 | 20 |
|
|
1.15 | 6.25 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.4 | 17 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Tondela?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Tondela match is: Porto to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2026 between Porto and Tondela in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 71.44% for a win of Porto against Tondela with odds of 1.2 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Tondela is 20.95% with odds of 7.3 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Tondela vs Porto with odds of 21 at Shangrila.
Porto - Tondela Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Tondela Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 71.44% | 1.2 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.98% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 40.51% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
Porto vs Tondela Form
Porto and Tondela's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
88 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 |
|
17
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 |
Porto and Tondela Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Tondela Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Jul 2022 - Portugal Super Cup
22 May 2022 - Taca de Portugal
13 Mar 2022 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2021 - Liga Portugal
10 Apr 2021 - Liga Portugal
Porto against Tondela Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
C. Ramos
DefenderT. Silva
F. Moura
MidfielderG. Veiga
P. Rosario
S. Fofana
T. Moffi
B. Sainz
W. Gomes
L. Canizares
DefenderN. Maviram
Bebeto
J. Afonso
M. Aiko
H. Felix
Helder Tavares
S. Sithole
A. Van Der Heide
Missing players
A. Oliveira
ForwardL. De Jong
S. Aghehowa
A. Miranda
X. Huarte
Most goals and assists
Porto
Tondela
S. Aghehowa
(13 Goals)
P. Pereira dos Santos
(6 Goals)
G. Veiga
(8 Assists)
M. Aiko
(2 Assists)
Porto - Tondela Key Points
- Porto are unbeaten in 14 home matches.
- Tondela are winless in nine of the last 10 matches.
- Tondela failed to score in three of their last four matches.
- Porto kept four clean sheets in their last six meetings with Tondela.
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Our Porto vs Tondela Prediction
Porto have won each of their last nine matches at home when hosting Tondela and will definitely come into this as favorites. In the reverse meeting, the Dragons won 2-0 for their fourth clean sheet in six meetings with Tondela.
The visitors, with just three wins in 13 away league games and scoring 10 goals, will feel the heat here. This doesn’t look like their ideal game to hunt for points in the survival battle. Our prediction for FC Porto v Tondela is for Porto to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Tondela
| Porto vs Tondela | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.18 | 1.2 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 6.75 | 7.3 | +8.1% |
| Tondela wins | 18 | 21 | +16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 83.3% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
