Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
FC Porto will be looking to extend their fine start to the season when they welcome Casa Pia to Estadio do Dragao. Heading into this round three encounter, Porto are on six points and Casa Pia have three. Let’s have a look at the match prediction below.
A dismal showing at the Club World Cup had many ruling out Porto for the season. However, the Portuguese giants are enjoying a solid start to the campaign and will go into this match really confident.
The hosts are off two opening wins, both with clean sheets, after beating Vitoria SC 3-0 and Gil Vicente 2-0. The Dragons now head into this match on five straight wins in the league.
Casa Pia had a tough opponent to start off their season and, as expected, fell to a 2-0 loss to champions Sporting Lisbon. They then recovered with a win by a similar margin against AFS.
Another difficult outing comes their way in the shape of Porto. Casa Pia have faced off with Porto seven times before. They are winless in those meetings and have only managed one draw.
The fact that they will be playing away from home means the bad streak could continue. They have straight losses in their three away matches at Porto, conceding at least twice in each.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Casa Pia Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 6 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 6 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.19 | 6.5 | 14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Casa Pia Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon match is: Porto to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2025 between Porto and Casa Pia Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.94% for a win of Porto against Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.23 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon is 24.57% with odds of 6.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto with odds of 15 at Bet365.
Porto - Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 60.94% | 1.23 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.55% | 1.73 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 45% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 30.86% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon Form
Porto and Casa Pia Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
|
14
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 |
Porto and Casa Pia Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
31 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
14 May 2023 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal
Porto against Casa Pia Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
M. Fernandes
ForwardS. Aghehowa
Y. Oukili
ForwardK. Silva
C. Mendes
Most goals and assists
Porto
Casa Pia Lisbon
S. Aghehowa
(5 Goals)
J. Livolant
(3 Goals)
A. Costa
(4 Assists)
J. Livolant
(3 Assists)
Porto - Casa Pia Lisbon Key Points
- Porto have posted five straight wins in league matches.
- Four of Porto’s last five league games had over 2.5 goals.
- Two of these teams’ three meetings at Porto had over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Casa Pia’s last nine away league matches ended in defeat.
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Our Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction
FC Porto have the upper hand, and playing at home adds to their advantage. It isn’t like this opponent has troubled them a lot in recent meetings; all signs point to a good outing for the hosts. Casa Pia have already fallen to one of the top sides this season, and they will be candidates for a second defeat in the third round.
Porto’s run of five straight wins in the league is bound to extend. Our prediction for FC Porto v Casa Pia is for Porto to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Casa Pia Lisbon
| Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.25 | 1.17 | -6.4% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 6 | +4.3% |
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 15 | 15 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 85.5% (5.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Porto vs. Casa Pia Lisbon game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Porto and Casa Pia Lisbon? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
