Porto vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Clubs Friendlies

Friendlies - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
25/07/2026 14:00
Aston Villa

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Football Predictions

Aston Villa continue to warm-up for the new English Premier League season with this trip to Porto for a friendly. Porto have a strong home record with few goals being conceded and our prediction here is less than 2.5 goals.

It's an important time for the Villans as they will want to avoid making a slow start to the season as was the case in 2025. Despite struggling to score goals and win games, Unai Emery turned their season around and they finished fourth in the table and also won the Europa League.

The past few weeks have seen plenty of transfer movement at Villa Park. Morgan Rogers and Youri Tielemans are among four squad members who have left the club. In have come Johan Manzambi, Joao Gomes, Modou Keba Cisse and most recently, Alejandro Garnacho on loan from Chelsea.

Tuesday saw Villa beat Walsall 5-0 with 23 players being used. 

Porto won the Primeira League last season by six points from Sporting. They were unbeaten at home in the league, winning 14 of their 17 matches. Wednesday saw them lose a friendly 1-0 at Gil Vicente.

Four new players have been signed by them during the summer with the same number leaving.

Both clubs will be without their players who have been on World Cup duty. 

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Porto v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
2.04 3.84 3.15
Melbet
2.04 3.84 3.15
Betwinner
2.04 3.84 3.15
22bet
2.03 3.84 3.18
Bet365
1.95 3.7 3
Check all Porto vs Aston Villa odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Aston Villa?

Our prediction for the Porto vs Aston Villa match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/07/2026 between Porto and Aston Villa in Clubs Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.42% for a win of Porto against Aston Villa with odds of 2.15 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Aston Villa is 27.66% with odds of 4 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Porto with odds of 3.2 at LSbet.

Porto vs Aston Villa Form

Porto and Aston Villa Last Matches

Porto
Porto Last matches
D W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gil Vicente
1 :  0
Porto

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Santa Clara

10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
3 :  1
Porto

2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
FC Alverca SAD

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  2
Porto

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon
D D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Santa Clara

2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
FC Alverca SAD

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Tondela

9 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Famalicao
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gil Vicente
1 :  0
Porto

10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
3 :  1
Porto

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  2
Porto

16 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Porto

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Porto

22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  2
Porto
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Walsall
0 :  5
Aston Villa

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Aston Villa

20 May 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
0 :  3
Aston Villa

15 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

10 May 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Aston Villa

7 May 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

7 May 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest

3 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham

19 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland

16 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bologna

22 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
West Ham
L L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Walsall
0 :  5
Aston Villa

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Aston Villa

20 May 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
0 :  3
Aston Villa

10 May 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Aston Villa

30 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

25 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Aston Villa
Porto vs Aston Villa Prediction

Porto - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Porto only conceded six home league goals last season.
  2. Porto's one friendly this season saw just one goal scored.
  3. Six of Porto's last eight games have seen under 2..5 goals scored.
  4. The last five Porto home games have all seen less than 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Porto vs Aston Villa Prediction

Pre-season is a bit awkward for clubs this year with key players only just home from the World Cup. That means two weakened line-ups will be fielded for this pre-season friendly. Aston Villa used 23 players during their 5-0 win at Walsall in midweek, but this will be a lot tougher.

Porto made a losing start to the season with a defeat at Gil Vicente. They have a strong defence and their final three home league games of the season all had less than three goals scored. Our Porto v Aston Villa prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.