Port Vale vs Bristol City Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

England - FA Cup

Port Vale
14/02/2026 10:00
Bristol City

Prediction :

 

Bristol City wins

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in FA Cup Predictions

The fourth round of the FA Cup sees Port Vale and Bristol City battle it out at Vale Park. This marks the first meeting between these two sides in this competition. Here's the match prediction. 

Port Vale are enduring a rough patch in England's third-tier competition. The team is anchored at the bottom of the table and are 11 points adrift of safety.

Their recent league game was a 2-2 home draw against Burton before a 4-0 defeat against Stockport County in the EFL Trophy.

The Valiants now shift their focus to the FA Cup. There are no complaints to be heard as their performances have met expectations. Their first match was a 5-1 home thrashing of Maldon & Tiptree. This was followed later by two consecutive against Bristol Rovers and, most recently, Fleetwood.

Bristol City, on the other hand, are one of two teams in the EFL Championship pushing for a promotion playoff spot. Having accumulated 26 points, they find themselves one point behind the desired spot. 

Their recent match was a league game. Facing Hull City on the road, they won 3-2. This result was consolation for their prior 5-0 humiliation at the hands of Derby County. 

As far as the FA Cup is concerned, the Robins began their campaign in the third round. They beat Watford 5-1 at home with Emil Riis bagging a hat-trick.

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Port Vale v Bristol City Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.1 3.6 1.86
Melbet
4.37 3.68 1.77
Betwinner
4.22 3.64 1.8
Bet365
4.33 3.75 1.71
Roobet
4.3 3.7 1.78
Check all Port Vale vs Bristol City odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Port Vale and Bristol City?

Our prediction for the Port Vale vs Bristol City match is: Bristol City wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2026 between Port Vale and Bristol City in FA Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.31% for a win of Port Vale against Bristol City with odds of 4.5 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Port Vale vs Bristol City is 17.14% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Bristol City vs Port Vale with odds of 1.86 at Stake.

Port Vale - Bristol City Prediction and Best Odds:

Port Vale Bristol City Prediction Probability Odds
Bristol City wins 44.55% 1.86 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 57.09% 1.93 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 54.76%
Half-time / Full-time: Bristol City/Bristol City 17.1% 2.75 at Bet365

Port Vale vs Bristol City Form

Port Vale and Bristol City Last Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale Last matches
L L W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy

Port Vale
0 :  4
Stockport County FC

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Port Vale
2 :  2
Burton Albion

3 Feb 2026 - League One

Port Vale
0 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

31 Jan 2026 - League One

Leyton Orient London
0 :  1
Port Vale

24 Jan 2026 - League One

Port Vale
1 :  3
Exeter City

17 Jan 2026 - League One

Mansfield Town
3 :  0
Port Vale
W W L L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy

Port Vale
0 :  4
Stockport County FC

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Port Vale
2 :  2
Burton Albion

3 Feb 2026 - League One

Port Vale
0 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

24 Jan 2026 - League One

Port Vale
1 :  3
Exeter City

9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Port Vale
1 :  0
Fleetwood Town

1 Jan 2026 - League One

Port Vale
5 :  1
Blackpool
D L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - League One

Leyton Orient London
0 :  1
Port Vale

17 Jan 2026 - League One

Mansfield Town
3 :  0
Port Vale

13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy

Bolton
0 :  1
Port Vale

29 Dec 2025 - League One

Bradford City FC
1 :  0
Port Vale

26 Dec 2025 - League One

Huddersfield Town
5 :  0
Port Vale

13 Dec 2025 - League One

Luton Town
2 :  2
Port Vale
Bristol City
Bristol City Last matches
W D L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
2 :  3
Bristol City

30 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  5
Derby County

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Bristol City

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  0
Bristol City

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Bristol City
5 :  1
Watford
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  5
Derby County

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Bristol City
5 :  1
Watford

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  2
Preston North End

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
5 :  0
Portsmouth

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Middlesbrough
L W L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
2 :  3
Bristol City

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Bristol City

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  0
Bristol City

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Bristol City

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  2
Bristol City

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  0
Bristol City

Players list

Port Vale
Port Vale
Goalkeeper

J. Gauci

Defender

C. Humphreys

J. Lawrence-Gabriel

L. Gordon

T. Magloire

Midfielder

O. Hernandez

G. Ward

B. Garrity

G. Hall

Forward

R. Walters

M. Sherif

Bristol City
Bristol City
Goalkeeper

R. Vitek

Defender

R. McCrorie

N. Eile

R. Dickie

N. Borges

Midfielder

A. Randell

S. Morsy

J. Knight

T. Horvat

S. Twine

Forward

D. Burgzorg

Substitutes

Port Vale
Port Vale
Goalkeeper

B. Amos

Defender

B. Heneghan

C. Hall

Midfielder

G. Byers

R. Croasdale

E. Archer

Forward

E. Lake

Bristol City
Bristol City
Goalkeeper

L. Thomas

Defender

S. Naylor

G. Tanner

Midfielder

D. Ezendu

M. Sykes

G. Earthy

Forward

E. Riis

S. Armstrong

S. Bell

Missing players

Port Vale
Port Vale
Bristol City
Bristol City
Goalkeeper

R. Vitek

Defender

N. Eile

L. McNally

Midfielder

M. Sykes

J. Williams

M. Bird

Port Vale - Bristol City Key Points

  1. Port Vale are winless in their last four home matches across all competitions. Three of those matches resulted in defeat.
  2. Bristol City are unbeaten in their last nine matches against Port Vale.
  3. Port Vale have lost four of their last six matches across all competitions.
  4. Bristol City have won their last three matches against Port Vale.
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Our Port Vale vs Bristol City Prediction

Port Vale are battling with inconsistency, and nothing much can be expected from a side that has triumphed once in six games across all competitions. It becomes even worse considering that they've gone four home matches without a win against Bristol City. Three of those matches resulted in defeat. 

Bristol City have a strong record against their opponents in this impending encounter. The visitors are unbeaten in their last nine matches in this fixture, with eight wins and a solitary draw. That said, expect the visiting team to win. Our Port Vale vs Bristol City prediction: Bristol City wins.

Prediction :

 

Bristol City wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Port Vale Bristol City

Port Vale vs Bristol City Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Port Vale wins 3.5 4.5 +28.6%
Draw 3.5 3.75 +7.1%
Bristol City wins 2.1 1.86 -11.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Bristol City is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 53.8% (6.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Port Vale vs Bristol City Prediction