Poland vs Ukraine Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

Poland
31/05/2026 11:30
Ukraine

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

Poland and Ukraine will look to tide over the disappointment of missing out on the FIFA World Cup, as they meet in an international friendly on Sunday in Wroclaw. This match between the Eagles and the ‘Blue and Yellow’ is likely to see both teams give their all, which is why our prediction is both teams to score.

The Poles failed to qualify for the World Cup after losing to Sweden 3-2 in the final of the playoffs. Ukraine went out a round before, losing 3-1 to Sweden in the semi-finals of the same play-off bracket.

The defeat to Sweden was an exception for Poland and perhaps came at a wrong time. It ended their seven-game unbeaten sequence (W5, D2), and the Eagles will now look to revive that momentum with the upcoming UEFA Nations League in sight. Playing at home could perhaps kickstart that surge, as Poland have six wins from their last seven home matches (D1).

Ukraine responded to the disappointment of the loss to Sweden with a 1-0 win over Albania in a friendly in March. Continuing that momentum could be key as the ‘Blue and Yellow’ have won consecutive matches only once since March 2025. Three defeats in their last six away matches (W2, D1) won’t boost their confidence as they search for a way to kickstart their resurgence.

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Poland v Ukraine Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.04 3.25 3.3
Melbet
1.97 3.48 3.86
Betwinner
1.9 3.56 4.08
Bet365
1.9 3.3 3.6
Roobet
1.86 3.55 4.1
Check all Poland vs Ukraine odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Poland and Ukraine?

Our prediction for the Poland vs Ukraine match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/05/2026 between Poland and Ukraine in International Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.02% for a win of Poland against Ukraine with odds of 2.04 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Poland vs Ukraine is 16.28% with odds of 3.56 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Ukraine vs Poland with odds of 4.14 at 888Starz.

Poland - Ukraine Prediction and Best Odds:

Poland Ukraine Prediction Probability Odds
Poland wins 63.02% 2.04 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 54.71% 2.13 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 56.25%
Half-time / Full-time : Poland/Poland 28.47% 3.1 at Bet365

Poland vs Ukraine Form

Poland and Ukraine Last Matches

Poland
Poland Last matches
W W D W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  1
Albania

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Malta
2 :  3
Poland

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  1
Netherlands

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
0 :  2
Poland

9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Poland
1 :  0
New Zealand
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  1
Albania

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  1
Netherlands

9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Poland
1 :  0
New Zealand

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Poland
3 :  1
Finland

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  0
Moldova

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  0
Malta
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Malta
2 :  3
Poland

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
0 :  2
Poland

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
1 :  1
Poland

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  1
Poland
Ukraine
Ukraine Last matches
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ukraine
1 :  0
Albania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  1
Azerbaijan

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ukraine
1 :  0
Albania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  1
Azerbaijan

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
0 :  2
France

20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
3 :  1
Belgium
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  1
Ukraine

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  2
Ukraine

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Canada
4 :  2
Ukraine

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Ukraine

Poland vs Ukraine Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Poland

100 %

Draw

0 %

Ukraine

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
3 :  1
Ukraine

11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  0
Ukraine
Poland vs Ukraine Prediction

Players list

Poland
Poland
Goalkeeper

M. Bulka

Defender

P. Wisniewski

T. Kedziora

J. Kiwior

Midfielder

O. Pietuszewski

N. Zalewski

A. Pyrka

P. Zielinski

S. Szymanski

J. Piotrowski

Forward

R. Lewandowski

Ukraine
Ukraine
Goalkeeper

A. Trubin

Defender

O. Romanchuk

M. Matvienko

V. Mykolenko

Midfielder

G. Sudakov

E. Sarapii

O. Ocheretko

Y. Nazaryna

A. Yarmolenko

Forward

V. Tsygankov

R. Yaremchuk

Substitutes

Poland
Poland
Goalkeeper

M. Kochalski

K. Grabara

Defender

K. Potulski

J. Kiwior 74'

O. Wojcik

P. Wisniewski 46'

J. Bednarek

Midfielder

K. Kozlowski

F. Rozga

N. Zalewski 59'

N. Wojtuszek

A. Pyrka 59'

B. Kapustka

P. Zielinski 46'

B. Slisz

J. Piotrowski 87'

Forward

J. Kaminski

O. Pietuszewski 46'

M. Zukowski

R. Lewandowski 46'

K. Czubak

K. Swiderski

S. Szymanski 46'

Ukraine
Ukraine
Goalkeeper

R. Neshcheret

G. Yermakov

Defender

T. Mykhavko

V. Bondar

O. Romanchuk 46'

Midfielder

V. Brazhko

O. Nazarenko

G. Sudakov 56'

H. Synchuk

V. Tsygankov 75'

A. Bondarenko

Y. Nazaryna 82'

M. Shaparenko

A. Yarmolenko 56'

D. Ignatenko

Forward

M. Ponomarenko

R. Yaremchuk 57'

A. Dovbyk

Missing players

Poland
Poland
Ukraine
Ukraine
Forward

V. Vanat

Poland - Ukraine Key Points

  1. Seven of Poland’s last nine matches have seen both teams score.
  2. Eleven of Poland’s last 15 home games returned BTTS.
  3. Eight of Ukraine’s last ten designated away games have seen both teams score goals.
  4. Ten of Ukraine’s last 15 matches have seen both teams score goals.
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Our Poland vs Ukraine Prediction

These are two teams that are among the highest-ranked ones absent on the FIFA World Cup stage. Poland (rank: 35) and Ukraine (rank: 32) have little time to ponder over that disappointment. The upcoming UEFA Nations League commitments will be top of the agenda, as both teams look to restart. Poland’s home form is impressive, but Ukraine could be a tricky team on the road.

Poland’s recent matches have been full of goals, and that trend could continue, so our Poland vs Ukraine prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Poland Ukraine

Poland vs Ukraine Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Poland wins 1.9 2.04 +7.4%
Draw 3.4 3.56 +4.7%
Ukraine wins 3.85 4.14 +7.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Poland is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 7.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 49.0% (-3.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.