England - Carabao Cup
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by Kennedy Kechula in Carabao Cup Predictions
Plymouth Argyle are targeting their first win of the season when they host QPR in the EFL Cup first round. This is the second time the two are meeting in the Cup in the last five seasons. We have a prediction for this match below.
Plymouth have had a disappointing start to the season, losing both of their League One fixtures. Tom Cleverley’s men were hammered at home by Barnsley 3-1 on matchday one and then fell 2-0 away to Bolton over the weekend.
They have now lost three in a row, if you include the 2-0 loss to Bristol City to wrap up preseason. The Pilgrims have made the second round of the Carabao Cup in the last two seasons. Plymouth eliminated QPR 3-2 when they met in the first round of this tournament five seasons ago.
QPR won 1-0 at Home Park back in January in the Championship, which is when they last faced off with Plymouth. Rangers haven’t lost in this fixture since that five-goal thriller in the Cup, and they will arrive for the latest fixture confident of victory.
Julien Stephan’s men are also looking to claim their first win of the campaign. Fortunately for the visitors, they haven’t had a rough start like their soon-to-be hosts.
QPR drew 1-1 at home against Preston over the weekend. The result, however, carries on from their struggles in pre-season, as now they haven’t won in four outings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Plymouth v QPR Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Plymouth and QPR?
Our prediction for the Plymouth vs QPR match is: QPR wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between Plymouth and QPR in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.05% for a win of Plymouth against QPR with odds of 2.8 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Plymouth vs QPR is 15.86% with odds of 3.92 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.09% chance ⭐ for a win of QPR vs Plymouth with odds of 4.26 at Melbet.
Plymouth - QPR Prediction and Best Odds:
| Plymouth QPR Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| QPR wins | 51.09% | 4.26 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.12% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: QPR/QPR | 22.72% | 7 at Bet365 |
Plymouth vs QPR Form
Plymouth and QPR Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League One
2 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League One
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
9 Apr 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
9 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
Plymouth vs QPR Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
9 Apr 2024 - Championship
Players list
L. Ashby-Hammond
DefenderV. Palsson
M. Sorinola
MidfielderX. Amaechi
C. Watts
M. Boateng
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
A. Benarous
ForwardJ. Paterson
A. Pepple
B. Mumba
P. Nardi
DefenderK. Brunson
A. Wilkie
T. Smith
MidfielderA. Trujillo
H. Vale
D. Bennie
T. Tarbotton
ForwardC. Dillon
R. Kolli
L. Talla
Substitutes
Z. Baker
J. Flower
DefenderM. Sorinola
J. Mwaro
MidfielderS. Campbell
B. Mumba
C. Watts
X. Amaechi
A. Pepple
M. Salamon
DefenderN. Mccann
J. Leahy
MidfielderT. Tarbotton
L. Talla
A. Tuck
ForwardK. Brunson
A. Trujillo
C. Dillon
Most goals and assists
Plymouth
QPR
C. Watts
(1 Goals)
Plymouth - QPR Key Points
- Plymouth have lost both of their matches this season.
- QPR haven’t lost to Plymouth in four consecutive meetings.
- Four of Plymouth’s last seven home games have ended in defeat.
- Plymouth have conceded five goals in their two fixtures this season.
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Our Plymouth vs QPR Prediction
Both Plymouth and QPR have started the season unimpressively and are looking for their first wins. QPR, however, have fared slightly better than their hosts as they at least haven’t lost. Plymouth have been extremely poor losing both of their games, conceding five goals and scoring just once.
Extending this run into pre-season means that the hosts have lost three in a row with seven goals allowed. Taking into consideration that Plymouth haven’t won against QPR in four meetings, we chose to settle on an away victory. Our prediction for Plymouth Argyle v QPR is that QPR wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Plymouth QPR
| Plymouth vs QPR | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth wins | 2.8 | 1.8 | -35.7% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.9 | +11.4% |
| QPR wins | 2.38 | 4.1 | +72.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- QPR is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 72.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 24.4% (-17.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Plymouth vs. QPR game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Plymouth and QPR? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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