Plymouth vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Plymouth
15/03/2025 11:00
Derby County

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Joseph King | in Championship Predictions

A true relegation six-pointer is in store for Saturday in the Championship as bottom-placed Plymouth Argyle do battle with 22nd-place Derby County for matchday 38. This match could have a significant outcome on which team goes down and which team survives the drop. Read on for our prediction!

After just barely skirting relegation in the 2023/24 season, Plymouth are once again involved in a fight for their Championship lives.

However, a surprise 2-1 away win over Portsmouth on Wednesday has breathed new life into the Pilgrims survival chances and earned them their first away league win of the season. The victory also snapped a six-match winless run across all competitions which included losses in the prior three straight appearances.

Heading into the weekend’s fixtures, Miron Muslic’s side are sitting three points from safety. They have a lot of work to do if they are to start to carve away at their staggering -36 goal differential.

Their opponents, Derby, are experiencing a very similar situation at the moment. While they are one point behind 21st-placed Cardiff, the Rams have strung together back-to-back wins for only the second time all season.

A 2-1 home win over Blackburn last weekend was followed up with a 2-0 home victory over Coventry on Tuesday to revitalize their hopes of avoiding relegation.

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Plymouth vs Derby County Form

Plymouth and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
19 Derby County
50 46 13 11 22 -8
23 Plymouth
46 46 11 13 22 -37

Plymouth and Derby County Last Matches

Plymouth
Plymouth Last matches
D D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Plymouth

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  3
Sheffield Wednesday

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Hull
2 :  0
Plymouth

1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Plymouth

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  1
Cardiff

19 Feb 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Plymouth
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  3
Sheffield Wednesday

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  1
Cardiff

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
5 :  1
Millwall

9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Plymouth
1 :  0
Liverpool

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  1
West Brom

22 Jan 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  5
Burnley
D L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Plymouth

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Hull
2 :  0
Plymouth

1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Plymouth

19 Feb 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Plymouth

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  0
Plymouth

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  2
Plymouth
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
D L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Coventry City

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Blackburn

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United
L L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Coventry City

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Blackburn

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sunderland
L D L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County

14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Derby County

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Derby County

Plymouth vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Plymouth

0 %

Draw

100 %

Derby County

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Plymouth

Plymouth against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11

Plymouth

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

21
C. Hazard
40
M. Talovierov
25
N. Katic
6
K. Szucs
2
B. Mumba
18
D. Gyabi
4
J. Houghton
17
T. Puchacz
9
R. Hardie
11
C. Wright
15
M. Bundu
18
M. Harness
10
J. Yates
20
C. Elder
16
L. Thompson
28
H. Armstrong
32
E. Adams
2
K. Wilson
3
C. Forsyth
25
M. Clarke
12
N. Phillips
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Derby County

Substitutes

Plymouth
Plymouth
Goalkeeper

D. Grimshaw

Defender

N. Ogbeta

T. Puchacz 72'

V. Palsson

J. Edwards

B. Mumba 72'

Midfielder

R. Al Hajj

K. Szucs 84'

C. Roberts

M. Boateng

D. Gyabi 72'

Forward

F. Issaka

M. Obafemi

C. Wright 63'

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

R. Nyambe

S. Langas

K. Wilson 74'

J. Rooney

Midfielder

K. Goudmijn

J. Hendrick

Forward

C. Agbawodikeizu

K. Jackson

L. Thompson 61'

T. Barkhuizen

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Plymouth
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
Scotland R. Hardie (10 Goals) , 
Sierra Leone M. Bundu (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (10 Goals)
Best assists
Sierra Leone M. Bundu (4 Assists)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists) , 
England J. Yates (4 Assists) , 
Scotland C. Forsyth (4 Assists)

Plymouth - Derby County Key Points

  1. Plymouth have scored 30 goals at home in the league compared to just eight on the road.
  2. Both teams have scored in 13 of Plymouth’s 18 home Championship matches, tied for the second most in the division.
  3. Derby have seen both teams score in 11 of their 18 home league fixtures.
  4. The reverse fixture finished 1-1 back in matchday 15.
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Our Plymouth vs Derby County Prediction

Plymouth are a completely different team on the attacking side when playing at Home Park this season. An incredible 78% of their league goals have come at this ground. Combined with their league-worst defense that has allowed 72 goals, the result has often led to high-scoring encounters at this ground.

Derby will be hoping the momentum they’ve picked up in the last two games will help to offset their terrible away results. The visitors should be able to find the net but will likely concede at least one as well. Our Plymouth vs Derby prediction: both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Plymouth vs Derby County Prediction