Plymouth vs Cardiff Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Ian John | in League One Predictions
Saturday lunchtime sees Plymouth Argyle host leaders Cardiff City at Home Park Stadium. The Pilgrims have enjoyed better recent form, much to the delight of their Green Army. However, the Bluebirds are unbeaten in their last 12 league game, winning eight, drawing four. Our prediction for what should be a close match is outlined below.
Heading into this game, Plymouth's improved form of late has seen them climb away from the relegation zone into the relative safety of 12th in the table with 43 points from 32 games. Cardiff remain at the top of the table with 69 points from their 32 games, four clear of Lincoln in second.
Coming into the game Plymouth's recent form has seen them improve their league standing, although most recently their form has been mixed. They were beaten 2-1 at Stockport and then lost 4-1 at home to Lincoln. But since then, they beat Blackpool 4-0 away and in midweek earned a 3-1 win away at Leyton Orient.
Cardiff's recent unbeaten run extended to 12 games in midweek. They have won all of their last three game sin convincing fashion, a 3-0 win away to Rotherham, followed by a 3-1 win at home over Luton Town and then in midweek they earned a superb 4-1 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Plymouth v Cardiff Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.23 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.58 | 2.28 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.58 | 2.28 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.55 | 2.22 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Plymouth and Cardiff?
Our prediction for the Plymouth vs Cardiff match is: A draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Plymouth and Cardiff in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27% for a win of Plymouth against Cardiff with odds of 3 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Plymouth vs Cardiff is 32.76% with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Cardiff vs Plymouth with odds of 2.28 at Melbet.
Plymouth - Cardiff Prediction and Best Odds:
| Plymouth Cardiff Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 40.24% | 2.28 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.79% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Cardiff/Cardiff | 15.03% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Plymouth vs Cardiff Form
Plymouth and Cardiff's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
91 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | +40 |
|
8
|
73 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | +12 |
Plymouth and Cardiff Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - League One
14 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
4 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - League One
14 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
1 Jan 2026 - League One
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - League One
14 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - League One
14 Feb 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
4 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
10 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
Plymouth vs Cardiff Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
Players list
C. Hazard
DefenderJ. Edwards
A. Mitchell
W. Harding
M. Ross
MidfielderC. Watts
M. Boateng
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
R. Curtis
ForwardA. Pepple
L. Tolaj
N. Trott
DefenderG. Osho
J. Bagan
C. Chambers
P. Ng
MidfielderA. Robertson
J. Colwill
C. Willock
ForwardO. Tanner
O. Kellyman
D. Turnbull
Substitutes
L. Ashby-Hammond
DefenderM. Sorinola
J. Pleguezuelo
J. MacKenzie
MidfielderB. Ibrahim
O. Dale
X. Amaechi
C. Scanlon
D. Lawlor
R. Kpakio
R. Colwill
C. Ashford
R. Wintle
ForwardC. Robinson
Most goals and assists
Plymouth
Cardiff
L. Tolaj
(18 Goals)
Y. Salech
(14 Goals)
Plymouth - Cardiff Key Points
- Plymouth have lost just three of their last 14 league games (D3, W8).
- Cardiff are unbeaten in their last 12 League One matches (W8, D4).
- Plymouth have drawn two of their last five at home.
- Two of the last five matches between the two teams have finished as draws.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Plymouth vs Cardiff Prediction
Our prediction for the Plymouth Argyle vs. Cardiff City League One match is: A draw.
Both these teams have hit a rich vein of form of late,. Plymouth started the season appallingly, but have improved markedly of late, whereas Cardiff are unbeaten in 12, winning eight. Argyle's home form isn't partcularly impressive which tends to make a home win unlikely, but with both sides not losing many games of late, this makes the draw a very good value option to back in this case.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Plymouth Cardiff
| Plymouth vs Cardiff | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth wins | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.6 | +1.4% |
| Cardiff wins | 2.14 | 2.28 | +6.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cardiff is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.7% and is now 43.9% (-2.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Plymouth vs. Cardiff game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Plymouth and Cardiff when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on League One!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
