Plymouth vs Bolton Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
Good Friday in League One sees a huge six-pointer taking place at Home Park as Plymouth Argyle hosts Bolton Wanderers. The Pilgrims are in a fine run of form and face a Trotters side, finding wins hard to come by in recent weeks. Are we backing the Greens or Wanderers in our prediction for the match?
A look at the league table suggests an even contest is likely. Bolton Wanderers are currently third in the table with 66 points from 39 games, 11 points behind Cardiff in second and six clear of Stevenage outside the playoffs. However, they are also just seven clear of Plymouth in ninth who have 59 points from their 39 games. They are two points outside the playoffs.
However, recent form tells a different story compared to the table. Plymouth have not lost any of their last five games winning four. A run beginning with a 2-1 home win over Doncaster, followed by a 3-0 win at Wigan and a 2-2 draw at Reading. They then landed back-to-back home wins, 1-0 against Stevenage and 3-1 against Huddersfield at the weekend.
In contrast, Bolton have won just one of their last four games in the league. A 3-2 home win over Wycombe Wanderers. Since then, they drew 1-1 away to Rotherham, drew 0-0 at home to Doncaster Rovers but at the weekend lost 1-0 away to Port Vale.
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Plymouth v Bolton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.34 | 3.65 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.72 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.64 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.65 | 2.76 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Plymouth and Bolton?
Our prediction for the Plymouth vs Bolton match is: Plymouth wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2026 between Plymouth and Bolton in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.5% for a win of Plymouth against Bolton with odds of 2.35 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Plymouth vs Bolton is 30.37% with odds of 3.75 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolton vs Plymouth with odds of 2.87 at Shangrila.
Plymouth - Bolton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Plymouth Bolton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 35.13% | 2.87 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 52.55% | 2.3 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time : Plymouth / Full-time : Bolton | 12.23% | 27 at LSbet |
Plymouth vs Bolton Form
Plymouth and Bolton's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
75 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | +18 |
|
8
|
73 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | +12 |
Plymouth and Bolton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
10 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - League One
10 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
24 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy
17 Feb 2026 - League One
14 Feb 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
17 Feb 2026 - League One
14 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
Plymouth vs Bolton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Aug 2025 - League One
Players list
C. Hazard
DefenderJ. Edwards
M. Ross
A. Mitchell
J. MacKenzie
MidfielderM. Boateng
H. Kane
R. Curtis
O. Dale
ForwardO. Oseni
A. Pepple
J. Bonham
DefenderG. Johnston
E. Toal
J. Osei-Tutu
MidfielderR. Rodrigues
M. Conway
J. Sheehan
ForwardT. Gale
J. Kenny
S. Dalby
J. McAtee
Substitutes
L. Ashby-Hammond
DefenderB. Galloway
W. Harding
MidfielderC. Watts
X. Amaechi
ForwardL. Tolaj
J. Paterson
D. Harrington
DefenderM. Burstow
C. Forino
C. Christie
MidfielderR. Apter
I. Cissoko
T. Ritchie
Most goals and assists
Plymouth
Bolton
L. Tolaj
(18 Goals)
M. Burstow
(12 Goals)
Plymouth - Bolton Key Points
- Plymouth have won seven of their last nine League One games (D1, L1).
- Bolton have won just two of their last eight League One matches (D5, L1).
- Plymouth have won all their last four games at home.
- Bolton have not won, or scored, in any of their last three games against Plymouth (L2, D1).
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Our Plymouth vs Bolton Prediction
Our prediction for the Plymouth Argyle vs. Bolton Wanderers League One match is: Plymouth wins.
A look at the league table and you'd likely back Bolton to win this game, but the recent form from both these teams suggests something different. Bolton have been tough to beat all season, losing just seven games, but they are finding wins a struggle. Plymouth though are looking the strongest they have all season and at home with four wins in a row, they are the team to back to win here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Plymouth Bolton
| Plymouth vs Bolton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth wins | 2.55 | 2.35 | -7.8% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.75 | +4.2% |
| Bolton wins | 2.5 | 2.87 | +14.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bolton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 34.8% (-5.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
