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17 May 2023 - 09:00 

- QF

WTA - WTA Rome

WTA 126 Spain
Paula Badosa
VS
WTA 10 Latvia
Jelena Ostapenko

Prediction :

Paula Badosa wins the match

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Paula Badosa vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Rome

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

20th seed Jelena Ostapenko faces unseeded Paula Badosa in the Italian Open last eight. The winner of this match will face either top seeded Iga Swiatek or seventh seed Elena Rybakina. Ostapenko will need to get  her first win on clay against Badosa to reach the last four. Their only previous meeting on this surface was three years ago at Roland Garros. Badosa won that in straight sets and overall leads Ostapenko 2-1 in previous meetings. The Latvian began this tournament ranked 20th in the world but is up a place in the live rankings. Beating Badosa will take her up to 17th place. Form on clay this year hasn't been great and this is her first quarter final. Two of her three matches in Rome have gone to a final set but two sets have been won to love.

Paula Badosa was ranked 35th at the start of this Italian Open. Her run to the last eight has seen the Spaniard rise 28th and a win here will take her to 26th. A seeding at Roland Garros is inevitable now and it's mainly down to her form on clay. This is her third quarter final of the year in clay court tournaments. The others came in Charlestson and Stuttgart. Badosa has already beaten the fourth seed Ons Jabeur and Marta Kostyuk who was seeded 32nd. The win over Jabeur made it three successive tournaments in which she'd beaten a top ten ranked player. Coco Gauff and Daria Kasatkina have also been beaten. Round four saw the 25-year-old taken to a final set by unseeded Karolina Muchova. The Spaniard remains in fine form though and can get the win over Ostapenko.

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The Best Betting Odds for Paula Badosa v Jelena Ostapenko Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.57 2.38
NetBet
1.57 2.35
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Who will win the Paula Badosa vs Jelena Ostapenko Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Paula Badosa vs Jelena Ostapenko game on 5/17/23 of the current WTA Rome season:

  • Paula Badosa has a % chance to win against Jelena Ostapenko according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.57.
  • Jelena Ostapenko has a % probability of winning facing Paula Badosa ⭐ with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.

Paula Badosa vs Jelena Ostapenko Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Paula Badosa has a  % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Paula Badosa %
Jelena Ostapenko %

Paula Badosa vs Jelena Ostapenko Form

Paula Badosa and Jelena Ostapenko Last Matches

Paula Badosa Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

16 May 2023 - WTA Rome

Paula Badosa
2 :  1
Karolina Muchova

14 May 2023 - WTA Rome

Paula Badosa
2 :  0
Marta Kostyuk

12 May 2023 - WTA Rome

Ons Jabeur
0 :  2
Paula Badosa

10 May 2023 - WTA Rome

Paula Badosa
2 :  1
Anna-Lena Friedsam

1 May 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Paula Badosa
0 :  2
Maria Sakkari

29 Apr 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Paula Badosa
Jelena Ostapenko Last matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

15 May 2023 - WTA Rome

Jelena Ostapenko
2 :  1
Daria Kasatkina

14 May 2023 - WTA Rome

Barbora Krejcikova
0 :  2
Jelena Ostapenko

12 May 2023 - WTA Rome

Sorana Cirstea
1 :  2
Jelena Ostapenko

29 Apr 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  0
Jelena Ostapenko

27 Apr 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Linda Fruhvirtova
0 :  2
Jelena Ostapenko

19 Apr 2023 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Ons Jabeur
2 :  1
Jelena Ostapenko

Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko Key Points

  1. Badosa has had three recent wins on clay against top ten ranked players.
  2. Badosa is in her third clay court quarter final of the year.
  3. The Spaniard has won ten of her 13 matches on clay in 2023.
  4. Badosa's three clay court losses have all been to top ten ranked players.
  5. Ostapenko has never beaten Badosa on clay.
Up to $200 to bet on Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko! 

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Our Paula Badosa vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction

Paula Badosa has been in excellent form on clay this year. No one ranked lower than ninth has beaten the Spaniard on this surface in 2023. Two of those losses came against players ranked in the top three (Pegula and Sabalenka). Her only match against Ostapenko on clay was won in straight sets. Our Paula Badosa v Jelena Ostapenko prediction is a win for Badosa.

Prediction :

Paula Badosa wins the match

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Paula Badosa vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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