Italy - Coppa Italia
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
It’s a battle of two struggling sides in the top two divisions of Italy as Parma take on Spezia in the second round of the 2025-26 Coppa Italia competition on Wednesday. This match at Ennio Tardini between the Crusaders and the Eagles comes with our prediction of Parma winning and under 2.5 goals. The winner of this tie goes on to face Bologna in the round of 16.
Serie A’s Parma are looking to reach the round of 16 of this competition for the fifth time in the last seven campaigns, while Spezia are looking to end a run of two consecutive exits in the first two rounds.
Parma drew 0-0 away at Cremonese in Serie A at the weekend to make it just two points in this campaign (D2, L2). They are in the relegation zone, and this match presents a chance to get some confidence boosts.
The hosts won 2-0 against Pescara in the Coppa Italia first-round fixture, while Spezia had to go through penalties to defeat Sampdoria in their first-round game.
Spezia lost 3-1 to Juve Stabia at home last weekend, and they also have just two points in their league campaign (D2, L2), the Serie B season. They also find themselves in the bottom three of that division and would love a win here to get back on track.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Parma v Spezia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 3.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.3 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.5 | 4.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Spezia?
Our prediction for the Parma vs Spezia match is: Parma win and under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2025 between Parma and Spezia in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.73% for a win of Parma against Spezia with odds of 1.81 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Spezia is 33.06% with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Spezia vs Parma with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Parma - Spezia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Parma Spezia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 44.73% | 1.81 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 65.58% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 38.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Parma | 25.09% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Parma vs Spezia Form
Parma and Spezia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Serie B
14 Sept 2025 - Serie B
30 Aug 2025 - Serie B
24 Aug 2025 - Serie B
18 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Serie B
30 Aug 2025 - Serie B
24 Aug 2025 - Serie B
18 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie B
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 May 2025 - Serie B
21 May 2025 - Serie B
4 May 2025 - Serie B
Parma vs Spezia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Apr 2024 - Serie B
2 Dec 2023 - Serie B
27 Feb 2021 - Serie A
25 Oct 2020 - Serie A
18 May 2018 - Serie B
Players list
Z. Suzuki
DefenderE. Del Prato
Troilo
N. Ndiaye
S. Britschgi
M. Lovik
MidfielderN. Estevez
C. Ordonez
O. Sorensen
ForwardM. Pellegrino
A. Benedyczak
M. Sarr
DefenderF. Jack
M. Onofri
A. Cistana
L. Vignali
G. Aurelio
MidfielderV. Vlahovic
A. Nagy
C. Comotto
F. Cassata
ForwardG. Artistico
Substitutes
F. Rinaldi
E. Corvi
DefenderA. Circati
E. Valeri
R. D'Intino
N. Trabucchi
MidfielderE. Plicco
A. Bernabe
G. Oristanio
M. Keita
ForwardA. Cardinali
M. Djuric
P. Cutrone
P. Almqvist
T. Begic
D. Mikolajewski
L. Loria
D. Mascardi
DefenderP. Hristov
A. Candela
A. Mateju
P. Beruatto
MidfielderS. Esposito
R. Kouda
E. Lorenzelli
ForwardG. Di Serio
E. Soleri
G. Lapadula
Missing players
L. Valenti
MidfielderJ. Ondrejka
Hernani
ForwardM. Frigan
S. Zurkowski
Most goals and assists
Parma
Spezia
A. Bernabe
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Pellegrino
(2 Goals)
G. Lapadula
(3 Goals)
A. Benedyczak
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Britschgi
(2 Assists)
G. Di Serio
(2 Assists)
Parma - Spezia Key Points
- Parma saw under 2.5 goals scored in each of their five competitive games this season.
- Parma’s last three Coppa Italia matches saw fewer than three goals, including their 2-0 win in first round this year.
- Four of Spezia’s five competitive matches this season produced two or fewer goals during regular time.
- Parma won three of their last four Coppa Italia matches.
- Spezia lost their recent two fixtures against Parma.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Parma vs Spezia Prediction
It’s an intriguing game for both Parma and Spezia, who take time off from their league struggles. Parma are in the Serie A relegation zone, while Spezia are in the Serie B relegation zone coming into this midweek fixture. While Coppa Italia progress won’t make or break their season, a win here will boost their confidence. Both teams have been struggling for goals, though, and that could continue here.
Goals could be scarce, but on the result front too, Parma could edge the scale a bit. Our Parma vs Spezia prediction is Parma win and under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Spezia
| Parma vs Spezia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 1.62 | 1.76 | +8.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.3 | -8.3% |
| Spezia wins | 5.5 | 5 | -9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Parma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 56.8% (-4.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
