Parma vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Parma and Cagliari start us off in the 27th round of the Italian Serie A this Friday. The two sides are three points apart and separated by one place. Hosts Parma arrive for the match in 12th spot and Cagliari in 13th, and below is our prediction for the match.
Parma have momentum to ride coming into this game. I Crociati have registered three straight wins ahead of this game, most recently beating AC Milan 1-0.
That result dented Milan’s title chase but elevated Parma to eight points above the bottom three. Now they are targeting a first win in six meetings with Cagliari.
While Parma looks to bounce back, Cagliari will be banking on their recent form in this fixture. They have posted four wins in the last five meetings with Parma.
The only time they failed to win in the run was a 0-0 draw back in Serie B. Here, Cagliari will be seeking a league double against Parma, having won 2-0 in the reverse fixture.
They've, however, been poor in recent matches, failing to score in three straight. In the most recent, they drew 0-0 with Lazio, having lost the earlier two to Lecce and AS Roma with identical 2-0 scorelines.
On the road, Cagliari have only managed two wins in the last 10 matches and lost five.
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Parma v Cagliari Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.31 | 3 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.35 | 2.95 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.28 | 2.96 | 3.62 |
|
|
2.35 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.34 | 2.88 | 3.45 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Cagliari?
Our prediction for the Parma vs Cagliari match is: over 2.5 goals and a Parma win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/02/2026 between Parma and Cagliari in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.97% for a win of Parma against Cagliari with odds of 2.39 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Cagliari is 20.34% with odds of 3.06 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Parma with odds of 3.71 at 888Starz.
Parma - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:
| Parma Cagliari Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari wins | 41.69% | 3.71 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.56% | 2.44 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Cagliari | 18.95% | 7.75 at LSbet |
Parma vs Cagliari Form
Parma and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 |
Parma and Cagliari Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
16 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
16 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
Parma vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Sept 2024 - Serie A
3 Jun 2023 - Serie B
30 May 2023 - Serie B
22 Apr 2023 - Serie B
Parma against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
F. Rinaldi
Z. Suzuki
DefenderF. Carboni
M. Mena Martinez
A. Circati
MidfielderB. Cremaschi
G. Oristanio
J. Ondrejka
O. Sorensen
N. Estevez
N. Elphege
H. Caviglia
G. Ciocci
A. Sherri
DefenderR. Idrissi
G. Zappa
MidfielderO. Raterink
I. Sulev
M. Folorunsho
R. Malfitano
ForwardL. Pavoletti
A. Albarracin
P. Mendy
Y. Junior Trepy
Missing players
N. Ndiaye
ForwardM. Frigan
Y. Mina
MidfielderL. Mazzitelli
ForwardM. Felici
Most goals and assists
Parma
Cagliari
M. Pellegrino
(9 Goals)
S. Esposito
(7 Goals)
H. Caviglia
(4 Assists)
S. Esposito
(5 Assists)
Parma - Cagliari Key Points
- 14 goals were scored in Parma’s last five matches.
- Cagliari are winless in their last three matches, losing twice.
- Three of the last five meetings between these sides had over 2.5 goals.
- Parma are coming off three straight wins, one of them having three goals.
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Our Parma vs Cagliari Prediction
This fixture rarely goes without goals, and we expect the next one to follow the script. With both sides looking at it as a winnable encounter, three or more goals can be a good bet here. The last eight meetings between the two sides had both scoring.
Parma haven't won a lot against Cagliari in recent meetings, but here they come as the form team. They have three straight wins and will be confident of ending a poor run against Cagliari. Our prediction for Parma v Cagliari is for over 2.5 goals and a Parma win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Cagliari
| Parma vs Cagliari | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 2.68 | 2.39 | -10.8% |
| Draw | 3.11 | 3.06 | -1.6% |
| Cagliari wins | 3.11 | 3.71 | +19.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cagliari is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 19.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.2% and is now 27.0% (-5.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
