Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Matchday 10 in the Italian Serie will see Parma and Bologna square off in the Emilian derby. This match finds hosts Parma 15th while their visitors are sixth. Both teams are seeking to return to winning ways, and below is our prediction.
Alessandro Circati’s late goal in midweek wasn’t enough to spur Parma against AS Roma. They lost 2-1 and hope to rise again at home, the venue for their only league win thus far.
In their six home matches this season, Parma have only suffered one loss—against Lecce. They’ve, however, failed to score in two straight home matches.
Bologna have been on a good run lately but were slowed down in the last two league matches, which ended in draws. They’ll particularly be kicking themselves after their lackluster 0-0 draw with Torino last time out.
Bologna had 71% of the ball but created zero big chances while only managing two shots on target in 11 attempted. Earlier, they had squandered a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 with struggling Fiorentina.
There’s surely a lot to do here, but the visitors, with a seven-game unbeaten run, will have a head start. With two wins in their last three away matches, Bologna will be confident of bouncing back.
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The Best Betting Odds for Parma v Bologna Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 3 | 1.95 |
|
|
4 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
|
|
4 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.33 | 3 | 2 |
|
|
4.7 | 2.95 | 1.93 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Bologna?
Our prediction for the Parma vs Bologna match is: Bologna wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between Parma and Bologna in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.58% for a win of Parma against Bologna with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Bologna is 41.97% with odds of 3.1 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Bologna vs Parma with odds of 2.1 at Betfred.
Parma - Bologna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Parma Bologna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.97% | 3.1 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 56.79% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 46.67% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.14% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Parma vs Bologna Form
Parma and Bologna's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
|
16
|
7 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 |
Parma and Bologna Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
Parma vs Bologna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
7 Feb 2021 - Serie A
28 Sept 2020 - Serie A
12 Jul 2020 - Serie A
24 Nov 2019 - Serie A
Parma against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Valeri
MidfielderJ. Ondrejka
G. Oristanio
ForwardM. Frigan
K. Bonifazi
ForwardC. Immobile
Most goals and assists
Parma
Bologna
M. Pellegrino
(2 Goals)
R. Orsolini
(6 Goals)
A. Benedyczak
(2 Assists)
T. Dallinga
(3 Assists)
, 
E. Holm
(3 Assists)
,
N. Cambiaghi
(3 Assists)
Parma - Bologna Key Points
- Bologna are unbeaten in their last seven outings.
- Parma failed to score in their last two home matches.
- Parma are winless in the last four games, losing twice.
- In these teams’ last 10 meetings, Bologna lost only once.
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Our Parma vs Bologna Prediction
Bologna lost their last meeting against Parma, but that hasn’t been a regular occurrence in this fixture. It was actually their only defeat in the last 10 encounters, and Bologna will step up here as clear favorites.
They haven't lost any of their last seven matches, though in recent times they’ve had to deal with frustrating draws. In two of their last three away games, Bologna posted wins, while Parma is winless in the last four. Our prediction for Parma v Bologna is that Bologna wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Bologna
| Parma vs Bologna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 3.75 | 4.75 | +26.7% |
| Draw | 3 | 3 | 0% |
| Bologna wins | 2.15 | 1.95 | -9.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 33.3% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Parma vs. Bologna game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Parma and Bologna when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Serie A!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
