Parma vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Parma
08/11/2025 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

AC Milan wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Parma will welcome Milan to Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday, as both sides go hunting for three Serie A points. Sitting third, Milan could go top with a win here, while Parma look to avoid dropping into the bottom three. We have a prediction for the match below.

Parma are enduring their second-poorest start to the Serie A after their 3-1 defeat to Bologna last time out. That loss left them on just seven points from their opening 10 matches, only one point and two places above the drop zone.

I Crociati have only scored five times this season, making theirs the weakest attack, while on the other hand conceding 1.2 goals per game. Perhaps the fact that five of their seven points came at home would be a bit inspiring.

That might not work well against a Milan side that is unbeaten in the four away matches in Serie A. Furthermore, Milan are well rested, having had no midweek European activity.

The visitors are coming off an important win, a 1-0 defeat of fellow title chasers AS Roma. That win placed Milan within a point of league leaders Napoli.

While they face one of the weakest scorers in the league, Milan stand among the best defensive sides, after conceding seven goals. Having beaten Parma seven times in their last 10 meetings, Milan will be confident of extending this run.

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Parma v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
5.8 4 1.62
Melbet
7 4.04 1.51
Betwinner
7 4.08 1.5
Bet365
6.5 4 1.5
BC Game
6.2 3.9 1.56
Check all Parma vs AC Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Parma vs AC Milan match is: AC Milan wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2025 between Parma and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.03% for a win of Parma against AC Milan with odds of 7.46 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs AC Milan is 41.64% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.33% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Parma with odds of 1.62 at Stake.

Parma - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Parma AC Milan Prediction Probability Odds
AC Milan wins 43.33% 1.62 at Stake
Under 2.5 50.22% 1.88 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 62.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan 20.26% 4.1 at LSbet

Parma vs AC Milan Form

Parma and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 +18
13 Parma
45 38 11 12 15 -18

Parma and AC Milan Last Matches

Parma
Parma Last matches
W L D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Bologna

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Como 1907

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

29 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Torino FC
D D W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Bologna

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Como 1907

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

29 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Torino FC

24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

Parma
2 :  2
Spezia

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Atalanta
L L L D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  0
Parma

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  0
Parma

24 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Parma

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Heidenheim
2 :  1
Parma
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W D W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

24 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

24 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna
D L W W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

20 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

Parma vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Parma

17 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Parma

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
AC Milan

10 Apr 2021 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
AC Milan

13 Dec 2020 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Parma

15 Jul 2020 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Parma

1 Dec 2019 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
AC Milan

Parma against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Parma

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

31
Z. Suzuki
15
E. Del Prato
3
A. Ndiaye
5
L. Valenti
14
M. Lovik
10
A. Bernabe
16
M. Keita
22
O. Sorensen
27
S. Britschgi
63
P. Cutrone
9
M. Pellegrino
10
R. Leao
18
C. Nkunku
2
P. Estupinan
4
S. Ricci
14
L. Modric
19
Y. Fofana
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
5
K. De Winter
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

F. Rinaldi

E. Corvi

Defender

E. Valeri

M. Lovik 68'

Troilo

A. Ndiaye 46'

N. Trabucchi

Midfielder

B. Cremaschi

P. Cutrone 90'

Hernani

A. Bernabe 81'

E. Tigani

A. Konate

E. Plicco

Forward

A. Benedyczak

T. Begic

M. Djuric

A. Cardinali

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

P. Terracciano

Defender

Z. Athekame

K. De Winter 87'

D. Bartesaghi

P. Estupinan 71'

D. Odogu

F. Tomori

Midfielder

R. Loftus-Cheek

C. Nkunku 60'

A. Jashari

Forward

C. Pulisic

S. Ricci 71'

Missing players

Parma
Parma
Midfielder

N. Estevez

G. Oristanio

C. Ordonez

Forward

M. Frigan

AC Milan
AC Milan
Midfielder

A. Rabiot

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Parma
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Leao (9 Goals)
Best assists
Italy H. Caviglia (4 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (4 Assists)
USA C. Pulisic (4 Assists)
Italy S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Parma - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Milan have seven wins in their last 10 matches against Parma.
  2. Parma only won once in 10 meetings with AC Milan.
  3. Milan are unbeaten in their last 10 matches, winning seven.
  4. Parma are winless in their last five matches, losing three.
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Our Parma vs AC Milan Prediction

For a squad the size of AC Milan’s, this is a season they should prevail, as they aren’t playing in Europe. In matches like this one, the visitors should easily collect points, and they are favorites in that respect.

Parma haven't had a great record in this fixture, plus they are struggling this season. They haven't won any of their last five matches, losing three, while Milan is on a 10-game unbeaten run. Our prediction for Parma v AC Milan is that AC Milan wins.

Prediction :

 

AC Milan wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma AC Milan

Parma vs AC Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Parma wins 5.19 7.46 +43.7%
Draw 4.38 4.4 +0.5%
AC Milan wins 1.68 1.62 -3.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AC Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 61.7% (2.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Parma vs AC Milan Prediction