Paris FC vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Ligue 1 Predictions
With eight games to go, Paris FC and Le Havre aren’t sure yet of their survival in Ligue 1. Both will be looking to make a big leap when they face off in the 27th round of matches this Sunday. Paris, sitting 13th, hosts 14th-placed Le Havre. Read on for our prediction of the match.
One point separates the two sides, with Paris’ 28 placing them nine points above the bottom three. Looking to avoid going back down after just a season, Les Parisiens will be targeting their seventh win in Ligue 1.
There have been some positives in their recent matches, going undefeated in four, though that run has only returned one win. In their latest two games, they were solid, in a 0-0 draw with Strasbourg.
Le Havre’s recent run hasn’t been very impressive, though they will be satisfied with their 0-0 draw at home against Lyon. That was a positive to take after earlier recording three straight defeats while conceding five times.
Like their hosts, Le Club Doyen are also on six wins in the season, though they’ve lost 11 times, one more than Paris. As Le Havre eye some improvement here, it will not be lost on them that they haven't really done well against Paris in recent meetings.
The two sides have drawn in each of their latest four meetings and Le Havre won just once in 10 meetings.
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Paris FC v Le Havre Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.19 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.12 | 4.06 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.02 | 3.86 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.05 | 3.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Paris FC and Le Havre?
Our prediction for the Paris FC vs Le Havre match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2026 between Paris FC and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.14% for a win of Paris FC against Le Havre with odds of 2.25 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paris FC vs Le Havre is 42.57% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Paris FC with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
Paris FC - Le Havre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paris FC Le Havre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 42.57% | 3.35 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 66.15% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.62% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Paris FC vs Le Havre Form
Paris FC and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
|
14
|
35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
Paris FC and Le Havre Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Feb 2023 - Ligue 2
30 Dec 2022 - Ligue 2
17 Jan 2022 - Ligue 2
7 Aug 2021 - Ligue 2
Paris FC against Le Havre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
O. Nkambadio
DefenderT. De Smet
Otavio
Kolo
MidfielderM. Cafaro
M. Lopez
ForwardW. Geubbels
A. Gory
L. Koleosho
L. Mpasi
DefenderT. Pembele
F. Doucoure
MidfielderG. Kyeremeh
D. Mosengo
Y. Kechta
R. Khadra
N. Obougou
A. Samatta
Missing players
R. Riou
DefenderH. Traore
S. Alakouch
T. Ollila
MidfielderV. Marchetti
S. Chergui
I. Kebbal
ForwardP. Hamel
G. Lloris
S. Zagadou
MidfielderA. Toure
Y. Zouaoui
Most goals and assists
Paris FC
Le Havre
I. Kebbal
(9 Goals)
I. Soumare
(8 Goals)
I. Kebbal
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Lopez
(4 Assists)
I. Soumare
(5 Assists)
Paris FC - Le Havre Key Points
- Six of Paris’ last nine outings ended in draws.
- Le Havre are winless in their last four matches.
- Paris FC managed just one win in their last five games.
- All of the last four meetings between these sides produced draws.
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Our Paris FC vs Le Havre Prediction
Our prediction for Paris FC v Le Havre is for a draw. There’s really not much to separate these two sides ahead of their Sunday clash. Sitting only a point apart, there’s also not enough to pick out between them.
They have played out four straight draws in their latest meetings across the top two French tiers of football. As both are some distance away from the drop zone, we expect a cautious approach, to at least protect the point they start the game with. Another share of the spoils will not be a surprising result here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paris FC Le Havre
| Paris FC vs Le Havre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC wins | 2.06 | 2.25 | +9.2% |
| Draw | 3.19 | 3.35 | +5.0% |
| Le Havre wins | 4.62 | 4.1 | -11.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 29.9% (-1.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Paris FC vs. Le Havre game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
