PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
PAOK FC welcomes Celta Vigo this week for the first leg match in the two teams’ UEFA Europa League knockout playoff tie for the round of 16. The two teams, who are meeting for the second time in the UEL this season, finished the league phase separated by just one point. Read on to find our preview and a prediction for this encounter.
Celta, who host the return leg in a week’s time, finished the first round in 16th place, ahead of PAOK, who were 17th. The Sky Blues won the first meeting with the Double-Headed Eagles 3-1 at home back in October. It was the two teams’ first-ever encounter.
Despite this advantage, bookmakers do not fancy Celta coming away with the win here. This stand is supported by the fact that PAOK have scored in eight of their last nine home matches. They have also kept clean sheets in four of the last six games they hosted.
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PAOK Thessaloniki v Celta Vigo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.24 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.24 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.56 | 3.25 | 2.82 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PAOK Thessaloniki and Celta Vigo?
Our prediction for the PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2026 between PAOK Thessaloniki and Celta Vigo in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.91% for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki against Celta Vigo with odds of 2.62 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo is 37.58% with odds of 3.36 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Celta Vigo vs PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 2.97 at 888Starz.
PAOK Thessaloniki - Celta Vigo Prediction and Best Odds:
| PAOK Thessaloniki Celta Vigo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.58% | 3.36 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.58% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.02% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo Form
PAOK Thessaloniki and Celta Vigo Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Superleague
11 Feb 2026 - Greece Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Superleague
4 Feb 2026 - Greece Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Superleague
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Superleague
11 Feb 2026 - Greece Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Superleague
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Superleague
6 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Superleague
4 Feb 2026 - Greece Cup
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
14 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Superleague
14 Dec 2025 - Superleague
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
PAOK Thessaloniki - Celta Vigo: Form Analysis
PAOK struggled during the league phase, only managing three victories. They, however, were not an easy target for opponents as they lost twice while drawing another three fixtures. Razvan Lucescu’s men earned 12 points from eight matches and ended the round having not lost at home.
The Greek outfit has been in great form and arrives having lost just one of its last 13 fixtures. PAOK, who have won 10 times in this stretch, have stuttered recently, drawing twice in three outings. A 0-0 draw with AEK Athens denied the Black and Whites the opportunity to move into the top spot in the Greek Super League.
PAOK scored 17 and conceded 14 in their last eight UEL matches.
Celta Vigo arrive in Thessaloniki looking to draw first blood in this tie and, at the same time, end a five-game winless run. The Spanish outfit has lost twice in this run. Celta, who drew 2-2 away to Espanyol in La Liga over the weekend, had won four consecutive matches before this slow run.
Claudio Giraldez’s men picked up 13 points in the league phase thanks to four wins and one draw. Celta managed just one win in their four away matches during the first round. This was a dominant 3-0 success against Dinamo Zagreb.
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PAOK Thessaloniki against Celta Vigo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Monastirlis
J. Pavlenka
DefenderT. Kedziora
G. Michailidis
J. Sanchez
B. Rahman
A. Bianco
K. Thymianis
ForwardD. Berdos
A. Mythou
D. Chatsidis
I. Villar
DefenderM. Ristic
C. Dominguez
J. Rueda
Y. Lago
M. Fernandez
MidfielderJ. El-Abdellaoui
H. Alvarez
M. Vecino
F. Jutgla
P. Duran
F. Lopez
Missing players
A. Nunez
MidfielderH. Sotelo
PAOK Thessaloniki & Celta Vigo Squad Analysis
PAOK are dealing with a long list of absentees and will be disadvantaged here. Six players have already been ruled out, while three are doubtful. Having Giannis Konstantelias and Georgios Giakoumakis unavailable is a big blow for the Greek side, as the two have scored a combined eight Europa League goals.
With the two missing, Andrija Zivkovic will most likely lead the line. The 29-year-old has scored three goals in Europe. French midfielder Soualiho Meite, scorer of three EL goals, is dealing with a thigh injury and has been listed doubtful for this fixture.
PAOK could be without up to nine players for this match.
Celta do not have any major injury concerns, as only Alvaro Nunez is unavailable for this trip. The Spanish side was among the top-scoring teams in the league phase. Seven different players found the back of the net during the round, with Pablo Duran leading the way with three goals.
Veteran forward Iago Aspas and Willot Swedberg have each scored twice in the competition and were on target in the win at home over PAOK. Aspas has nine goal contributions across all competitions this term while Swedberg has five goals and an assist. They will be men to watch in this encounter.
Most goals and assists
PAOK Thessaloniki
Celta Vigo
G. Giakoumakis
(4 Goals)
W. Swedberg
(5 Goals)
A. Zivkovic
(4 Assists)
I. Aspas
(3 Assists)
PAOK Thessaloniki - Celta Vigo Key Points
- PAOK have conceded 14 goals in eight EL matches.
- Both teams scored in the first meeting between these two teams.
- Three of Celta’s four away matches in the EL have seen them concede.
- Celta and PAOK have each scored at least 15 goals in the EL this season.
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Our PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo Prediction
Our prediction for PAOK v Celta Vigo is for BTTS. Celta and PAOK finished with almost identical records in the league phase. As both teams will be out to earn an advantage going into the second leg, we expect an attack-oriented approach from either side.
PAOK scored the second-highest number of goals during the previous stage (17), while Celta managed 15 goals. The two teams, however, were not as strong in defence as they were in attack and averaged more than a goal conceded per game.
PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo Alternative Predictions
PAOK to win
In our second prediction, we are settling for PAOK to win. Though they are going to miss key players in this match, the hosts arrive for this match in far better form than their visitors. PAOK have also not lost at home this term across all competitions, winning 16 times.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PAOK Thessaloniki Celta Vigo
| PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 2.33 | 2.62 | +12.4% |
| Draw | 3.57 | 3.36 | -5.9% |
| Celta Vigo wins | 3.26 | 2.97 | -8.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.0% and is now 29.8% (1.8%)
PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo - FAQs
This match will be played on Thursday, 19 February.
This match will be played at PAOK’s Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki, Greece.
Antenna and Cosmote TV will air this game for fans in Greece, while those in Spain will view the match on Telefonica. Sportytrader will have the match updates for this and other Europa League matches.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
