Panathinaikos Athens vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Conference League Predictions
The first match in the round of 16 of the UEFA Conference League will come from the Athens Olympic Stadium, where Panathinaikos will play host to Fiorentina on Thursday evening. The winner of this match between Trifylli and La Viola will move on to face one of Celje or Lugano in the quarter-final of the competition. Check out our match prediction below!
This is the first time that these two sides are set to face off in a competitive match. Panathinaikos are featuring in their inaugural Conference League campaign this season, while Fiorentina are playing their third consecutive season in the competition. The Serie A side has made it to the final in each of the last two seasons but suffered heartbreak on both occasions, losing to West Ham United (2022-23) and Olympiacos (2023-24).
The visitors are the favourites in this contest, but the hosts have not tasted defeat at this venue since the back end of October last year. Let’s take a look at the key stats.
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Panathinaikos Athens vs Fiorentina Form
Panathinaikos Athens and Fiorentina Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Superleague
23 Feb 2025 - Superleague
20 Feb 2025 - Conference League
16 Feb 2025 - Superleague
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
9 Feb 2025 - Superleague
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Superleague
20 Feb 2025 - Conference League
16 Feb 2025 - Superleague
1 Feb 2025 - Superleague
19 Jan 2025 - Superleague
15 Jan 2025 - Greece Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Superleague
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
9 Feb 2025 - Superleague
5 Feb 2025 - Greece Cup
26 Jan 2025 - Superleague
12 Jan 2025 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
13 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
Panathinaikos Athens - Fiorentina: Form Analysis
Following their elimination from the Europa League qualifiers against Ajax, Panathinaikos looked likely to struggle in this competition as they failed to win any of their first three games (W0 D1 L2).
However, they recovered in fine style, notching up three wins on the bounce to claim 13th place and went on to beat Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 on aggregate in the playoff round of the competition.
The Greens have been particularly good at home in the Conference League, winning three of their four matches at this venue (W3 D0 L1), while maintaining clean sheets in each of those victories.
Panathinaikos are unbeaten in their last 13 home games across all competitions!
Meanwhile, Fiorentina secured their last 16 spot with an impressive record of four wins, one draw and one defeat in their six League Phase games, which was good enough for third place.
Their only defeat in the competition was away to APOEL on matchday three, but they did score a total of 18 goals in the group stage - the second-most of any team in the tournament.
Despite only winning one of their three Conference League away games (W1 D1 L1), La Viola scored in each of those matches but also conceded a total of five goals in that period.
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Panathinaikos Athens against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
K. Lilo
Y. Lodygin
DefenderE. Fikaj
G. Vagiannidis
P. Max
MidfielderD. Mancini
A. Bregu
A. Gnezda Cerin
A. Jeremejeff
F. Ioannidis
A. Ntampizas
T. Martinelli
D. De Gea
DefenderM. Pongracic
F. Parisi
L. Baroncelli
MidfielderN. Zaniolo
J. Harder
D. Cataldi
M. Caprini
A. Gudmundsson
Panathinaikos Athens & Fiorentina Squad Analysis
Tete has been crucial to Panathinaikos’s Conference League campaign in recent times, scoring three goals in his last three matches in the competition, including the winner in the playoffs.
Fotis Ioannidis has also netted three times in the competition and will almost certainly be the focal point of the attack, while Facundo Pellistri is unlikely to return from his hamstring issue in time for kickoff.
Moise Kean could return to the squad for Fiorentina in this match!
The former Juventus forward was in excellent form before sustaining a head injury against Venezia last month, having scored 15 goals and two assists in 24 Serie A matches and one in three games in this competition.
Kean’s return could also prove to be crucial here after Jonathan Ikone - La Viola’s top scorer in the competition - was loaned out to Como during the January transfer window.
Most goals and assists
Panathinaikos Athens - Fiorentina Key Points
- Panathinaikos have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home games.
- Panathinaikos scored in all four of their home matches in this competition.
- Fiorentina scored in all six of their Conference League matches.
- Fiorentina have failed to keep a clean sheet on the road in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in five of Fiorentina’s last six away games in all competitions.
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Our Panathinaikos Athens vs Fiorentina Prediction
Panathinaikos’s major strengths in this competition have been their home form and their ability to maintain clean sheets, having done so in four of their last five games while conceding just once.
However, the hosts face a much tougher task this time around going up against a Fiorentina attack that smashed in a whopping 18 goals in their six League Phase games and have yet to be shut out in the competition. Our Panathinaikos vs Fiorentina prediction is both teams to score.
Panathinaikos Athens vs Fiorentina Alternative Predictions
Fiorentina wins the match
Fiorentina have only lost one match in this competition and finished the League Phase in third place with the second-highest goal tally of any team in the Conference League.
Panathinaikos Athens vs Fiorentina - FAQs
The Conference League match between Panathinaikos and Fiorentina will be played on March 6 at 17:45 GMT.
The Conference League match between Panathinaikos and Fiorentina will take place at Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis in Athens.
The Conference League match between Panathinaikos and Fiorentina will be broadcast live on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Conference League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.