Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens Prediction & Betting Tips - Superleague

Predictions Odds Live

Greece - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
30/11/2025 14:00
AEK Athens

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Football Predictions

Panathinaikos are one of four teams in the Greek Super League yet to lose at home.  They are sixth in the table and their unbeaten home record is under threat as Panathinaikos host third-placed AEK Athens. Read our match prediction below.

The home side are three points adrift of the Championship group and seven points behind AEK but do have a game in hand. Home form has seen them win three games and draw the other two. 

They have won their three home league games, including a victory over PAOK who are second in the table. Four of their five home league matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them. Midweek saw them beat Sturm Graz 2-1 at home in the Europa League.

AEK are three points behind leaders Olympiacos. Eight of their 11 league games have been won this season with only two losses. Their 11 games have only seen 19 goals scored. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in all but one of their league fixtures this season.

On the road, AEK have won three out of five Super League games with one defeat. They won 1-0 at Fiorentina in the Conference League on Thursday. That made it seven games in a row with under 2.5 goals scored.

We tip that stat to come up again here.

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Panathinaikos Athens v AEK Athens Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.5 2.95 2.7
Melbet
2.68 2.98 2.78
Betwinner
2.68 2.98 2.78
Bet365
2.65 2.95 2.75
Roobet
2.46 2.94 2.94
Check all Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Panathinaikos Athens and AEK Athens?

Our prediction for the Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2025 between Panathinaikos Athens and AEK Athens in Superleague :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.86% for a win of Panathinaikos Athens against AEK Athens with odds of 2.68 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens is 12.9% with odds of 3.15 at Betobet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.24% chance ⭐ for a win of AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Athens with odds of 3.15 at Betobet.

Panathinaikos Athens - AEK Athens Prediction and Best Odds:

Panathinaikos Athens AEK Athens Prediction Probability Odds
Panathinaikos Athens wins 46.86% 2.68 at Melbet
Under 2.5 58.07% 2.2 at LSbet
Both Team To Score: No 55.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Panathinaikos Athens 23.04% 6 at Bet365

Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens Form

Panathinaikos Athens and AEK Athens's standings in the Superleague

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 AEK Athens
60 26 18 6 2 +32
4 Panathinaikos Athens
49 26 14 7 5 +18

Panathinaikos Athens and AEK Athens Last Matches

Panathinaikos Athens
Panathinaikos Athens Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Panathinaikos Athens
2 :  1
Sturm Graz

23 Nov 2025 - Superleague

Panserraikos FC
0 :  3
Panathinaikos Athens

9 Nov 2025 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
2 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Malmo
0 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

1 Nov 2025 - Superleague

Volos NPS
1 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

29 Oct 2025 - Greece Cup

Atromitos Athinon
1 :  2
Panathinaikos Athens
D L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Panathinaikos Athens
2 :  1
Sturm Graz

9 Nov 2025 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
2 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

26 Oct 2025 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
2 :  0
Asteras Tripolis

5 Oct 2025 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  0
Atromitos Athinon

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  2
Go Ahead Eagles

21 Sept 2025 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  1
Olympiacos
D L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Superleague

Panserraikos FC
0 :  3
Panathinaikos Athens

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Malmo
0 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

1 Nov 2025 - Superleague

Volos NPS
1 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

29 Oct 2025 - Greece Cup

Atromitos Athinon
1 :  2
Panathinaikos Athens

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
3 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

19 Oct 2025 - Superleague

Aris Thessaloniki
1 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens
AEK Athens
AEK Athens Last matches
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
0 :  1
AEK Athens

23 Nov 2025 - Superleague

AEK Athens
1 :  0
Aris Thessaloniki

9 Nov 2025 - Superleague

OFI Crete
0 :  1
AEK Athens

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

AEK Athens
1 :  1
Shamrock Rovers

2 Nov 2025 - Superleague

AEK Athens
1 :  0
Panaitolikos Agrinio

29 Oct 2025 - Greece Cup

GS Ilioupoli
0 :  1
AEK Athens
W L W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Superleague

AEK Athens
1 :  0
Aris Thessaloniki

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

AEK Athens
1 :  1
Shamrock Rovers

2 Nov 2025 - Superleague

AEK Athens
1 :  0
Panaitolikos Agrinio

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

AEK Athens
6 :  0
Aberdeen

19 Oct 2025 - Superleague

AEK Athens
0 :  2
PAOK Thessaloniki

28 Sept 2025 - Superleague

AEK Athens
1 :  0
Volos NPS
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
0 :  1
AEK Athens

9 Nov 2025 - Superleague

OFI Crete
0 :  1
AEK Athens

29 Oct 2025 - Greece Cup

GS Ilioupoli
0 :  1
AEK Athens

26 Oct 2025 - Superleague

Olympiacos
2 :  0
AEK Athens

5 Oct 2025 - Superleague

AE Kifisia FC
2 :  3
AEK Athens

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

NK Celje
3 :  1
AEK Athens

Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Panathinaikos Athens

67 %

Draw

0 %

AEK Athens

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - Superleague

AEK Athens
1 :  2
Panathinaikos Athens

6 Apr 2025 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  1
AEK Athens

19 Jan 2025 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  0
AEK Athens

29 Sept 2024 - Superleague

AEK Athens
2 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

24 Apr 2024 - Superleague

AEK Athens
3 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

3 Apr 2024 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
2 :  1
AEK Athens

Panathinaikos Athens against AEK Athens Lineups: Starting 11

Panathinaikos Athens

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

69
B. Dragowski
21
T. Jedvaj
14
E. Palmer-Brown
5
A. Touba
2
D. Calabria
6
M. Siopis
4
P. Chirivella
9
A. Zaroury
10
Tete
11
T. Bakasetas
19
K. Swiderski
9
L. Jovic
10
Joao Mario
8
M. Gacinovic
17
D. Kaloskamis
13
O. Pineda
20
P. Mantalos
3
S. Pilios
44
F. Relvas
2
H. Moukoudi
12
L. Rota
1
T. Strakosha

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

AEK Athens

Substitutes

Panathinaikos Athens
Panathinaikos Athens
Goalkeeper

K. Kotsaris

Defender

E. Fikaj

S. Ingason

F. Mladenovic

Midfielder

D. Mancini

A. Gnezda Cerin

D. Calabria 62'

G. Nikas

Forward

C. Dessers

P. Chirivella 86'

G. Kotsiras

M. Siopis 75'

G. Bokos

M. Pantovic

K. Swiderski 62'

F. Djuricic

T. Bakasetas 62'

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
Goalkeeper

A. Angelopoulos

A. Brignoli

Defender

C. Kosidis

J. Penrice

S. Pilios 46'

K. Chrysopoulos

D. Vida

M. Odubajo

Midfielder

R. Ljubicic

M. Grujic

M. Gacinovic 90'

R. Marin

P. Mantalos 46'

R. Pereyra

Joao Mario 81'

Forward

A. Koita

D. Kaloskamis 62'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Panathinaikos Athens
CD Huachipato AEK Athens
Top Goalscorer
Greece A. Tetteh (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Serbia L. Jovic (17 Goals)
Best assists
Greece A. Tetteh (6 Assists)
Best assists
Romania R. Marin (6 Assists)

Panathinaikos Athens - AEK Athens Key Points

  1. 10 of AEK's 11 league games this season have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the five home league games played by Panathinaikos this season.
  3. The last seven games AEK have played in all competitions have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  4. 11 AEK Super League games this season have only seen 19 goals scored in them.
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Our Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens Prediction

Panathinaikos will be going all out to close the gap that exists between them and AEK. Their home form is impressive with the last three league games being won, including beating PAOK. Midweek saw them get a good win in Europe.

AEK also won in Europe on Thursday but it was a third straight 1-0 victory. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 10 of their 11 league games this season and in each of their last seven in all competitions. Our Panathinaikos v AEK Athens prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Panathinaikos Athens AEK Athens

Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Panathinaikos Athens wins 2.26 2.68 +18.6%
Draw 3.15 3.15 0%
AEK Athens wins 3.17 3.15 -0.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Panathinaikos Athens is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 18.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 44.2% and is now 37.3% (-6.9%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Panathinaikos Athens vs AEK Athens Prediction