Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Palmeiras are seeking a win after consecutive draws in their last two Brasileirão Betano games. Now they face a 10th-place São Paulo side that has won its past two games, scoring four goals. With both teams in fine attacking form ahead of their clash atNubank Parque, our Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match prediction is both teams to score.
Sao Paulo secured its second straight win in five games, after a 2-0 victory over Atletico-MG. Earlier, it had played a 2-1 win over RB Bragantino, bringing its total goal tally to six goals in five games. Palmeiras, or Verdão as faithful call them, has had a better time in front of goal, scoring seven in its past five games.
The home team’s recent 0-0 tie against Botafogo followed a 1-1 draw against Mirassol. And with Sao Paulo’s defence conceding five goals in its past five games, they should bring that tally to eight or more.
With the last five games showing little between both sides, each team will test the other's backline. Already, two of their past four H2H meetings also ended with goals for both sides, so we expect a similar result when both sides play on Saturday.
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Palmeiras v SAO Paulo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.46 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.54 | 8.50 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.16 | 7.50 |
|
|
1.60 | 3.80 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.36 | 7.40 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and SAO Paulo?
Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Palmeiras and SAO Paulo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.6% for a win of Palmeiras against SAO Paulo with odds of 1.6 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo is 30.06% with odds of 4.54 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.34% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Palmeiras with odds of 8.5 at 1xbet.
Palmeiras - SAO Paulo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Palmeiras SAO Paulo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 61.6% | 1.60 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 61.26% | 1.90 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras | 32.18% | 4.25 at Roobet |
Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Form
Palmeiras and SAO Paulo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
69 | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 |
|
9
|
43 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
Palmeiras and SAO Paulo Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
24 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Mar 2025 - Paulista Serie A1
Palmeiras against SAO Paulo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
B. Bertinato
M. Lomba
DefenderKhellven
A. Santana Marcolino
L. Benedetti
MidfielderE. Martinez
L. Ferreira dos Santos
L. Pacheco da Costa
M. Bilong
E. Bele
Heittor
F. Anderson
Rafael
DefenderIago
Isac
R. Arboleda
L. Ramon
MidfielderP. Ferreira da Silva
Marcos Antonio
D. Abelha
G. Santana
P. dos Santos
J. Calleri
Artur
Missing players
A. Franco
ForwardLucas Moura
R. Francisco
Most goals and assists
Palmeiras
SAO Paulo
J. Lopez
(9 Goals)
, 
Mauricio
(9 Goals)
J. Calleri
(10 Goals)
A. Pereira
(11 Assists)
D. Bobadilla
(3 Assists)
,
Wendell
(3 Assists)
Palmeiras - SAO Paulo Key Points
- São Paulo's recent 2-0 victory over Atletico-MG was its second straight win in five games.
- Verdão has scored seven goals in its last five games.
- Tricolor Paulista has scored six in its last five games.
- São Paulo’s backline has conceded five goals in five games, allowing one goal per match.
- Palmeiras has conceded four in five games, just one fewer than São Paulo.
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Our Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Prediction
Both teams head into this fixture with their past five games showing very similar goal-scoring and defensive form. While Verdão will be looking for a win, Tricolor Paulista will be looking for a third consecutive victory.
Thus, each side will be hungry for goals when they meet at the Nubank Parque. São Paulo have scored seven goals in five games, but have also allowed five, marking both 1+ goals scored and conceded per game. With Palmeiras scoring six of their own while allowing four, BTTS is our best bet here. Hence, our Palmeiras vs São Paulo prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras SAO Paulo
| Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 1.68 | 1.60 | -4.8% |
| Draw | 3.87 | 4.54 | +17.3% |
| SAO Paulo wins | 5.09 | 8.50 | +67.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Palmeiras is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 62.5% (3.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
