Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
12/09/2026 17:30
SAO Paulo

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions

Palmeiras are seeking a win after consecutive draws in their last two Brasileirão Betano games. Now they face a 10th-place São Paulo side that has won its past two games, scoring four goals. With both teams in fine attacking form ahead of their clash atNubank Parque, our Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match prediction is both teams to score.

Sao Paulo secured its second straight win in five games, after a 2-0 victory over Atletico-MG. Earlier, it had played a 2-1 win over RB Bragantino, bringing its total goal tally to six goals in five games. Palmeiras, or Verdão as faithful call them, has had a better time in front of goal, scoring seven in its past five games.

The home team’s recent 0-0 tie against Botafogo followed a 1-1 draw against Mirassol. And with Sao Paulo’s defence conceding five goals in its past five games, they should bring that tally to eight or more.

With the last five games showing little between both sides, each team will test the other's backline. Already, two of their past four H2H meetings also ended with goals for both sides, so we expect a similar result when both sides play on Saturday.

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Palmeiras v SAO Paulo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.64 3.75 5
1xbet
1.7 3.83 5.2
Melbet
1.68 3.78 5.1
Betwinner
1.68 3.82 5.05
22bet
1.68 3.76 5.15
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What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and SAO Paulo?

Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Palmeiras and SAO Paulo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.44% for a win of Palmeiras against SAO Paulo with odds of 1.72 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo is 30.05% with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 8.51% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Palmeiras with odds of 5.4 at Betsson.

Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Form

Palmeiras and SAO Paulo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Palmeiras
53 26 15 8 3 +24
10 SAO Paulo
33 25 9 6 10 +3

Palmeiras and SAO Paulo Last Matches

Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
W W D D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Palmeiras

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  1
Palmeiras

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Vasco Da Gama
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Vasco Da Gama

12 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  1
Cerro Porteno

9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Internacional

2 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Fortaleza
L L W D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Palmeiras

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  1
Palmeiras

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  1
Palmeiras

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Palmeiras

5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Fortaleza
3 :  2
Palmeiras
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
D W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Boca Juniors
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Bragantino

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

18 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
3 :  1
Club Bolivar

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Coritiba
W L D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Bragantino

18 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
3 :  1
Club Bolivar

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Coritiba

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  2
Atletico Paranense

26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
CA Boston River
L D L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Boca Juniors
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

11 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Club Bolivar
1 :  1
SAO Paulo

8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  1
SAO Paulo

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Palmeiras

100 %

Draw

0 %

SAO Paulo

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Palmeiras

1 Mar 2026 - Paulista Serie A1

Palmeiras
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

24 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1

Palmeiras
3 :  1
SAO Paulo

5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  3
Palmeiras

11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

10 Mar 2025 - Paulista Serie A1

Palmeiras
1 :  0
SAO Paulo
Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Prediction

Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo last Lineups

Palmeiras

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
C. Miguel
2
A. Barboza
15
G. Gomez
26
Murilo
4
A. Giay
30
L. Evangelista
17
M. Freitas
22
J. Piquerez
42
J. Lopez
11
J. Arias
9
V. Roque
9
J. Calleri
10
Luciano
37
Artur
12
Iago
8
Marcos Antonio
29
P. Maia
19
L. Ramon
35
Sabino
5
R. Arboleda
22
D. Duarte
23
Rafael

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

SAO Paulo

Substitutes

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Goalkeeper

B. Bertinato

M. Lomba

Defender

Khellven

B. Fuchs

A. Santana Marcolino

Midfielder

Mauricio

L. Pacheco da Costa

L. Ferreira dos Santos

E. Martinez

Forward

E. Bele

Heittor

F. Anderson

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Goalkeeper

C. Coronel

Defender

R. Toloi

Wendell

Midfielder

Newton

D. Ferreira

Cauly

D. Abelha

Forward

Joao Victor

A. Silva

Ferreira

G. Santana

P. dos Santos

Missing players

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Defender

A. Santana Marcolino

Forward

V. Roque

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Defender

R. Toloi

L. Ramon

A. Franco

Midfielder

Marcos Antonio

P. Maia

Forward

L. Moura

R. Francisco

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Palmeiras
CD Huachipato SAO Paulo
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Lopez (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Luciano (8 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil A. Pereira (11 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Wendell (3 Assists)

Palmeiras and SAO Paulo Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
58%
Wins
36%
12%
Losses
40%
31%
Draws
24%
2.54
Average goals per match
2.36
1.73
Goals scored per match
1.24
0.81
Goals conceded per match
1.12
46%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
54%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
38%
No goals conceded
20%
62%
BTTS
60%

Palmeiras - SAO Paulo Key Points

  1. São Paulo's recent 2-0 victory over Atletico-MG was its second straight win in five games.
  2. Verdão has scored seven goals in its last five games.
  3. Tricolor Paulista has scored six in its last five games.
  4. São Paulo’s backline has conceded five goals in five games, allowing one goal per match.
  5. Palmeiras has conceded four in five games, just one fewer than São Paulo.
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Our Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo Prediction

Both teams head into this fixture with their past five games showing very similar goal-scoring and defensive form. While Verdão will be looking for a win, Tricolor Paulista will be looking for a third consecutive victory. 

Thus, each side will be hungry for goals when they meet at the Nubank Parque. São Paulo have scored seven goals in five games, but have also allowed five, marking both 1+ goals scored and conceded per game. With Palmeiras scoring six of their own while allowing four, BTTS is our best bet here. Hence, our Palmeiras vs São Paulo prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.