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Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
26/07/2025 20:00
Gremio

Prediction :

 

Palmeiras wins the match

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

Palmeiras will continue with their title push this Sunday, when they welcome Gremio for a matchday 17 Serie A encounter. Placed third, bookie predictions pick Palmeiras as favorites in this match.

Palmeiras have done well since returning from the Club World Cup, collecting seven out of a possible nine points. The latest of them was a 2-1 away win at Fluminense, coming from a goal down.

Two-time league winners in the last three seasons, Palmeiras will feel this is a chance to add to their tally. Verdao have lost just once in the last 10 meetings with Gremio. They currently trail leaders Cruzeiro by five points.

Palmeiras, however, haven't really been consistent at home, and that should throw an incentive Gremio’s way. The visitors will not only seek to break Palmeiras’ dominance in this encounter, but they are also looking to do better at this venue.

Gremio suffered defeat in their last four away matches against Palmeiras. They haven't had a great season to inspire a comfortable win away to the title contenders, with Gremio currently on four wins but five defeats in their 14 league matches.

In their last six away matches, Gremio registered a draw, a win, and four losses. Their confidence will be further affected by the fact they’re coming from Copa Sudamericana elimination.

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The Best Betting Odds for Palmeiras v Gremio Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 5 8.5
Betfred
1.3 4.33 9
William Hill
1.36 4.5 9
Betway
1.36 4.5 9
Unibet
1.35 4.9 8.5
Check all Palmeiras vs Gremio odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Gremio?

Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Gremio match is: Palmeiras wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/07/2025 between Palmeiras and Gremio in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.59% for a win of Palmeiras against Gremio with odds of 1.38 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Gremio is 31.12% with odds of 5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs Palmeiras with odds of 9.8 at Melbet.

Palmeiras vs Gremio Form

Palmeiras and Gremio's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
29 14 9 2 3 6
14
Gremio
Gremio
17 14 4 5 5 -6

Palmeiras and Gremio Last Matches

Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
D W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Palmeiras

20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
3 :  2
Atletico MG

16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  1
Mirassol

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Botafogo

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Miami
2 :  2
Palmeiras
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
3 :  2
Atletico MG

16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  1
Mirassol

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Botafogo

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
2 :  0
AL Ahly SC

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Porto
W W W L D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Palmeiras

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Miami
2 :  2
Palmeiras

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Palmeiras

18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
1 :  2
Palmeiras

7 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  2
Palmeiras

4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  1
Palmeiras
Gremio
Gremio Last matches
D W L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Gremio
1 :  1
Alianza Lima

19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  1
Gremio

16 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Lima
2 :  0
Gremio

13 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
4 :  1
Gremio

8 Jul 2025 - Recopa Gaucha

Gremio
2 :  0
Sao Jose

12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  1
Corinthians
D W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Gremio
1 :  1
Alianza Lima

8 Jul 2025 - Recopa Gaucha

Gremio
2 :  0
Sao Jose

12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  1
Corinthians

29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Gremio
1 :  0
Sportivo Luqueno

25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  0
Bahia

20 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Gremio
0 :  0
CS Alagoano AL
D L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  1
Gremio

16 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Lima
2 :  0
Gremio

13 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
4 :  1
Gremio

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
0 :  2
Gremio

17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Gremio

7 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico Grau
0 :  0
Gremio

Palmeiras vs Gremio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Palmeiras

67 %

Draw

17 %

Gremio

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

8 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Gremio

4 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
2 :  2
Palmeiras

21 Sep 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  0
Palmeiras

10 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Gremio

31 Oct 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  3
Palmeiras

7 Jul 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  0
Gremio
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Palmeiras vs Gremio last Lineups

Palmeiras

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

21
Weverton
4
A. Giay
15
G. Gomez
13
Micael
6
Vanderlan
30
L. Evangelista
5
A. Moreno
17
F. Torres
18
Mauricio
7
F. Anderson
9
V. Roque
99
C. Olivera
20
M. Villasanti
22
M. Braithwaite
65
R. Freitas
47
A. Franco da Rocha
4
W. Kannemann
3
W. Leonardo
17
Dodi
23
Marlon
53
G. Martins de Souza Santos
1
T. Volpi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Gremio

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Palmeiras
CD Huachipato Gremio
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Mauricio (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark M. Braithwaite (5 Goals)
Best assists
Colombia R. Rios (5 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina C. Pavon (3 Assists)

Palmeiras and Gremio Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Gremio
Gremio
70%
Victories
30%
10%
Draw
30%
20%
Defeats
40%
1.7
Total goals per match
2.3
1.1
Goals scored per match
0.9
0.6
Goals conceded per match
1.4
30%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
Under 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%
50%
No goals conceded
20%

Palmeiras - Gremio Key Points

  1. Gremio won once and lost four of their last six away league games.
  2. Gremio are winless across all competitions in the last four games.
  3. Palmeiras have six wins in the last 10 matches against Gremio.
  4. Gremio have managed just one win in 10 against Palmeiras.
  5. Palmeiras are unbeaten in the last three league matches.
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Our Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction

The momentum is with Palmeiras as these two rivals head into this fixture. For Gremio so far, it has been an underwhelming season. They’ve lost more than they’ve won in the Serie A, and here they face a side they haven’t done so well against.

The visitors carry four losses in six away matches to a Palmeiras side unbeaten in the last three matches. The hosts have been stable since returning from the Club World Cup and will have the mental edge. Our prediction for Palmeiras v Gremio is that Palmeiras wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Palmeiras wins the match

 
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Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction
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