Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
League-chasing Palmeiras welcome relegation-threatened Corinthians this weekend in the Brazilian Serie A. Heading into round 30, Palmeiras sit second in the table, having won almost double the amount of points their 16th-placed visitors have. Unbeaten in 11 games, our prediction backs Palmeiras to prevail here.
Palmeiras could end the weekend top of the table with victory against their eternal rivals. Verdão are a point off the pace and play on the same day as league leaders Flamengo.
Abel Ferreira's men have racked up 60 points after winning 17 of their 29 matches and sharing the spoils in a further nine games. They defeated Bahia 1-0 earlier in the week after returning from the international break.
Corinthians are fighting for their lives at the opposite end of the table. This is a must-win game for them, as victory in the derby could likely spark a season turnaround.
Coringão are on 32 points and sit just a point above the relegation zone. They have won eight times with another 13 fixtures ending in defeat.
The visitors arrive for the weekend without a win in eight games and only avoided defeat once in this period. A 2-1 loss at fellow strugglers Internacional after the international break saw the end of Fernando Diniz's tenure as head coach. Corinthians have lost their last four matches.
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Palmeiras v Corinthians Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.63 | 3.7 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.74 | 5.93 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.86 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.86 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.86 | 6.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Corinthians?
Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Corinthians match is: Palmeiras wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2026 between Palmeiras and Corinthians in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.05% for a win of Palmeiras against Corinthians with odds of 1.66 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Corinthians is 27.21% with odds of 3.86 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Corinthians vs Palmeiras with odds of 6.3 at Melbet.
Palmeiras vs Corinthians Form
Palmeiras and Corinthians's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
60 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | +27 |
|
16
|
32 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -4 |
Palmeiras and Corinthians Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
13 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras vs Corinthians Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
30 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
12 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras vs Corinthians last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Lomba
DefenderA. Giay
B. Fuchs
MidfielderL. Ferreira dos Santos
L. Pacheco
J. Arias
R. Sosa
E. Martinez
Mauricio
J. Piquerez
ForwardFabiano
F. Anderson
Kaue
DefenderF. Angileri
Iago Machado
P. Milans
MidfielderAndre
J. Lingard
M. Pereira
Allan
Charles
ForwardVitinho
P. Raul
G. Negao
Missing players
Jefte
Z. Labyad
R. Garro
ForwardKaio Cesar
Most goals and assists
Palmeiras
Corinthians
J. Lopez
(9 Goals)
Andre
(4 Goals)
A. Pereira
(11 Assists)
R. Garro
(6 Assists)
Palmeiras and Corinthians Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras - Corinthians Key Points
- Corinthians have lost eight of their last 10 games.
- Palmeiras haven't lost in 11 outings, winning seven times.
- Corinthians have kept one clean sheet in their last 10 fixtures.
- No team has scored against Palmeiras in the last four league rounds.
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Our Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction
Our prediction for Palmeiras v Corinthians is that Palmeiras wins. These two teams are fighting on opposite ends of the Brazilian Serie A table. Palmeiras are firmly in the title race, while their arch rivals are battling to stay clear of the drop zone.
Coupling this must-win scenario for both teams with the historic rivalry between them, all we can expect is an entertaining clash. Palmeiras are our choice to win, as they are in good form. The hosts haven't lost in 11 outings, while their visitors arrive here without a win in eight outings. Also, Palmeiras haven't lost this season to Corinthians, who recently made a coaching change.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
