Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Champions League Predictions
Villarreal’s search for a first win of the league phase of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League sees them travel to Cyprus to take on Pafos FC on matchday four. This match on Wednesday in Limassol between the 29th-placed Cypriots and the 31st-placed Yellow Submarine comes with our prediction of BTTS.
It has been a tough league phase for Pafos after making it through the qualifiers. That said, they still start this round above their illustrated visitors, who have greater pedigree on the European stage. Pafos can pack a punch at home, but will they be able to get it past Villarreal?
The Spanish visitors need a win themselves, not least because they have had a tougher initiation than their hosts. Playing three heavyweights on the first three matchdays didn’t work out, but this match could be Villarreal’s chance to kickstart their push towards playoffs. Can the visitors grab that with both hands? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Pafos FC v Villarreal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
|
|
7 | 4.6 | 1.44 |
|
|
6 | 4.5 | 1.44 |
|
|
7 | 4.5 | 1.44 |
|
|
6.75 | 4.7 | 1.44 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Pafos FC and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Pafos FC vs Villarreal match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/11/2025 between Pafos FC and Villarreal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.83% for a win of Pafos FC against Villarreal with odds of 7 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Pafos FC vs Villarreal is 13.89% with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Pafos FC with odds of 1.46 at Bwin.
Pafos FC vs Villarreal Form
Pafos FC and Villarreal's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
29
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 |
|
31
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Pafos FC and Villarreal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Cypriot First Division
30 Oct 2025 - Super Cup
27 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division
5 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Cypriot First Division
30 Oct 2025 - Super Cup
17 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
24 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division
21 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Cypriot First Division
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
Pafos FC - Villarreal: Form Analysis
Pafos have two points from their three matches in the league phase (D2, L1). Those points came from 0-0 draws on matchdays one and three, both away against Olympiacos and Kairat Almaty. Sandwiched between them is a 5-1 loss to Bayern Munich at this venue.
Recent form is a ray of hope, as Pafos have six wins from their last nine competitive matches (W6, D1, L2), which included that defeat to Bayern. On either side of that loss, Pafos won four matches at home and will hope to derail Villarreal.
Pafos kept five clean sheets in their last eight European games.
Villarreal have a single point from their three league phase matches (D1, L2), which came in a 2-2 home draw against Juventus on matchday two. On either side of that draw, Villarreal were beaten 1-0 away at Tottenham on matchday one and 2-0 at home by Manchester City on matchday three.
A 4-0 home win over Rayo Vallecano at the weekend gives Villarreal the right form coming into this match. They have won their last two games in La Liga but face a challenge to translate that onto the European stage.
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Pafos FC & Villarreal Squad Analysis
Pafos will be without Joao Correia, who was suspended for this game after being sent off against Kairat. Pedrao is also out of the contest, while Ivan Sunjic missed their last two games and could be set for a spell on the sidelines.
The hosts could be lining up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, something they adopted in four of their last five matches in this competition, including qualifiers. Midfielders Vlad Dragomir and Domingos Quina could be key to their fortunes, having scored four goals each in all competitions this season.
Quina has four goals in his last six matches.
Villarreal will be without Logan Costa, Pau Cabanes, and Willy Kambwala due to injuries. Juan Foyth could be back in contention for the visitors, while Ayoze Perez could make a comeback by getting named on the bench.
The visitors have usually lined up in a 4-4-2 formation with Gerard Moreno as one of the two forwards. The veteran striker has scored a goal in his last two starts and could be looking to play another stellar role here.
Most goals and assists
Pafos FC
Villarreal
V. Dragomir
(4 Goals)
, 
D. Quina
(4 Goals)
T. Buchanan
(4 Goals)
N. Pepe
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Moleiro
(2 Assists)
, 
G. Mikautadze
(2 Assists)
,
S. Cardona
(2 Assists)
Pafos FC and Villarreal Stats in Champions League
Pafos FC - Villarreal Key Points
- Pafos scored in each of their last eight home matches in UEFA competitions.
- Three of Pafos’ last four home games in UEFA competitions saw both teams score.
- In three of their last five home matches in all competitions, Pafos saw both teams score goals.
- Two of Villarreal’s last three away matches in all competitions saw both teams score.
- Villarreal failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last nine away matches in UEFA competitions.
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Our Pafos FC vs Villarreal Prediction
Pafos have shown discipline in keeping teams at bay, but Villarreal could be a difficult team to face. They haven’t shown their wares yet in this competition, failing to score on their two away matches and dropping to a 5-1 loss to Bayern Munich here. Villarreal had a tough initiation to the tournament, facing three heavyweights in Tottenham, Juventus, and Manchester City. This could be their chance of reviving their campaign before facing Borussia Dortmund on the next matchday.
This could be an interesting game with action likely from both teams. Our Pafos FC vs Villarreal prediction is BTTS.
Pafos FC vs Villarreal - Other Interesting Predictions
Villarreal Wins and BTTS
Win free tickets to Pafos FC vs. Villarreal at Bet365!
With the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 season starts, bet365 offers free tickets for their users, including Pafos FC vs. Villarreal match!
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Pafos FC vs Villarreal match : Frequently asked questions
The Pafos FC vs Villarreal UEFA Champions League match is set to be shown on TNT Sports in the UK. In Cyprus, CYTA is the official hosting broadcaster, while in Spain Telefonica is the broadcaster.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
This is the first meeting between these two sides.
To go with that, this is the first time Pafos are playing a Spanish club.
Villarreal have only played a Cypriot club once before in the 2014-15 UEFA Europa League group stage when they met Apollon Limassol. They won 4-0 at home and 2-0 away from home in those fixtures.
Let’s start with Pafos FC. They will next face – in that order – Monaco (home), Juventus (away), Chelsea (away), and Slavia Prague (home).
Villarreal will play Borussia Dortmund (away), Copenhagen (home), Ajax (home), and Bayer Leverkusen (away).
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
