Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
We could witness history being made on Tuesday night at the Alphamega Stadium, where Pafos FC will be hosting Red Star Belgrade in the second leg of the Champions League playoff round. The winner of this tie between the Light Brigade and the Red and Whites will enter the UCL main draw, while the losers will be transferred to the Europa League. Check out our match prediction below!
After claiming a stunning 2-1 victory in front of the Marakana faithful in Belgrade last week, Pafos are 90 minutes away from becoming the latest team to qualify for the Champions League for the first time. The club won their first domestic title last term, and their rise has been nothing short of remarkable - they were founded just 11 years ago and only made their European debut last season (Conference League).
Zvezda, meanwhile, now have it all to do in Kolossi this week in order to reach their third consecutive Champions League main draw. Can the Serbian giants turn the tide in this one? Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Pafos FC v Red Star Belgrade Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.75 | 2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.65 | 1.96 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Pafos FC and Red Star Belgrade?
Our prediction for the Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/08/2025 between Pafos FC and Red Star Belgrade in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.43% for a win of Pafos FC against Red Star Belgrade with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade is 17.12% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Red Star Belgrade vs Pafos FC with odds of 2.36 at BC Game.
Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade Form
Pafos FC and Red Star Belgrade Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Cyta Championship
4 May 2025 - Cyta Championship
30 Apr 2025 - Cyprus Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Cyprus Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
15 Aug 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
9 Aug 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
29 Jul 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
9 Aug 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
29 Jul 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
19 Jul 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
10 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
Pafos FC - Red Star Belgrade: Form Analysis
After clinching their first-ever Cypriot league title last term, Pafos have carried their stellar form into this competition, taking down Maccabi Tel Aviv and Dynamo Kyiv in rounds two and three, respectively.
The Light Brigade then stunned Red Star by scoring inside the first minute last week in Belgrade before doubling their advantage from the penalty spot moments into the second half.
This week's hosts have now avoided defeat in their last 15 matches across all competitions (W10 D5 L0) in regulation time and have scored two or more goals in eight games during that period.
Pafos have kept three clean sheets in their last four matches in this competition!
Meanwhile, after winning the SuperLiga by a whopping 27 points last season, last week’s defeat saw Red Star Belgrade’s 15-match unbeaten run (excluding friendlies) brought to a shuddering halt.
However, they did pull one goal back in the first leg, which could prove vital. Zvezda had little trouble reaching the playoffs, dispatching Lincoln Red Imps 6-1 and Lech Poznan 4-2 in the preceding rounds.
The visitors have won all three of their away games across all competitions this season. Like Pafos, the Red and Whites were given the past weekend off domestically to prepare for this decider.
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Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Pafos FC & Red Star Belgrade Squad Analysis
Given their performance in Belgrade, Juan Carlos Carcedo is expected to send out an unchanged 11 this week. However, the Pafos boss can now call on Domingos Quina, who is back from suspension.
Muamer Tankovic has picked up assists in the last two matches in this competition, but he was withdrawn after just 17 minutes in the first leg and is unlikely to be involved in this match.
Ken Sema or Jaja are likely to replace Tankovic off the left flank. High-profile summer signing David Luiz is ineligible to feature in this competition yet.
Bruno Duarte has scored four goals in five matches in this competition!
The Brazilian missed a penalty but stuck home the rebound last week to keep his side in this tie. He will likely be given a starting role this week after Peter Olayinka only managed 30 minutes before picking up a knock in Belgrade.
Given their need for goals, Vladan Milojevic may consider recalling Aleksandar Katai to run-on team. The Serbian has nine goal involvements in nine games across all competitions this season (7 goals, 2 assists).
Summer signing Marko Arnautovic is expected to return to the squad, while Radu Krunic is back from a UEFA ban.
Pafos FC - Red Star Belgrade Key Points
- Pafos have scored in every Champions League qualifier match this season.
- Pafos have scored two or more goals in four of their last five competitive home games.
- Six of Red Star’s last seven matches across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Six of Red Star’s last seven competitive away games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Red Star have scored in each of their last five UCL matches.
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Our Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction
Pafos defied the odds in Belgrade last week and are now one match away from making club history. However, they will know better than anyone that this could turn into the longest 90 minutes they’ve played if they’re not at their absolute best.
Expect Red Star to throw everything into getting the first goal here. The Serbian outfit has scored in 11 consecutive UCL matches and only failed to find the net against Inter Milan in last season’s League Phase. Our Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade prediction is both teams to score.
Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Pafos have scored two or more goals in four of their last five competitive home games. Seven of Red Star’s last 10 Champions League matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Pafos FC vs Red Star Belgrade match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Pafos FC and Red Star Belgrade will take place on August 26 at 19:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Pafos FC and Red Star Belgrade will be played at the Alphamega Stadium in Cyprus.
The Champions League match between Pafos FC and Red Star Belgrade will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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