Oxford United vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Oxford United
11/04/2026 10:00
Watford

Prediction :

 

Draw or Watford

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

Watford are holding onto slim top-six hopes as they travel to Oxford United for their next Championship game. While 10th-placed Watford are pushing for a playoff place, Oxford, second from bottom, are looking to stay up. Let’s have a look at our match prediction.

Oxford have had a few positive results in their recent outings. However, they’ll not really like the point earned in a 2-2 draw with fellow strugglers Portsmouth last time out.

In that game, they came from behind to score twice but conceded late when they seemed to be winning. The U’s haven't been at their best at home but carry here a four-game unbeaten run, drawing twice.

Watford haven't been very progressive away from home, yet they can’t afford to drop many points from now on. Out of their 20 away matches this season, the Hornets have only won four times.

Meanwhile, their recent run hasn’t been inspiring either, as they carry into this encounter a run of three matches without a win. The latest of two draws in that streak saw them rally from a goal down to draw 1-1 with Charlton.

With 18 points still to play for, Watford haven't given up hope of rising into the top six. They are 11 points adrift, having garnered 57 so far. 

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Oxford United v Watford Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.33 3.25 3.1
Melbet
2.33 3.22 3.05
Betwinner
2.33 3.22 3.05
Bet365
2.25 3.2 3.2
Roobet
2.32 3.25 3.05
Check all Oxford United vs Watford odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Watford?

Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Watford match is: draw or Watford.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Oxford United and Watford in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.17% for a win of Oxford United against Watford with odds of 2.38 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Watford is 31.22% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Oxford United with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.

Oxford United - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Oxford United Watford Prediction Probability Odds
Oxford United wins 37.17% 2.38 at Tonybet
Under 2.5 51.84% 2.03 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 62.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Oxford United 16.96% 6 at LSbet

Oxford United vs Watford Form

Oxford United and Watford's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16 Watford
57 46 14 15 17 -12
22 Oxford United
47 46 11 14 21 -14

Oxford United and Watford Last Matches

Oxford United
Oxford United Last matches
W W D L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Oxford United

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Hull

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  0
Oxford United

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Blackburn

6 Mar 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  3
Oxford United
L L W W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Hull

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Blackburn

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
West Brom

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Oxford United
0 :  1
Sunderland

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  3
Norwich
D D L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Oxford United

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  0
Oxford United

6 Mar 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  3
Oxford United

25 Feb 2026 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Oxford United

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Oxford United

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
0 :  0
Oxford United
Watford
Watford Last matches
D L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Watford

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Leicester

17 Mar 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  1
Wrexham

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Watford

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Watford
L W L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Leicester

17 Mar 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  1
Wrexham

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Ipswich Town

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Derby County

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Swansea
L D W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Watford

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Watford

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Watford

27 Feb 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  2
Watford

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  2
Watford

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Watford

Oxford United vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Oxford United

33 %

Draw

0 %

Watford

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Oxford United

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Watford

8 Nov 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Oxford United

Oxford United against Watford Lineups: Starting 11

Oxford United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Cumming
2
S. Long
6
M. Helik
3
C. Brown
15
B. Spencer
5
Y. Konak
8
C. Brannagan
17
S. Mills
33
J. Donley
44
M. Peart-Harris
27
W. Lankshear
10
I. Louza
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
8
G. Chakvetadze
23
N. Mendy
39
E. Kayembe
66
N. Irankunda
29
J. Petris
3
S. Goglichidze
6
M. Pollock
25
J. Abankwah
1
E. Selvik

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Watford

Substitutes

Oxford United
Oxford United
Goalkeeper

M. Ingram

Defender

C. Makosso

H. Ter Avest

M. Peart-Harris 78'

Midfielder

J. McDonnell

P. Placheta

W. Vaulks

Y. Konak 90'

Forward

J. Jeon

O. Romeny

W. Lankshear 90'

M. Harris

J. Donley 87'

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

N. Baxter

Defender

J. Mullins

K. Keben

J. Petris 61'

Midfielder

T. Ince

S. Goglichidze 89'

P. Ekwah

Forward

K. Baah

N. Mendy 60'

M. Doumbia

L. Kjerrumgaard 61'

O. Maamma

G. Chakvetadze 68'

A. Nabizada

Missing players

Oxford United
Oxford United
Defender

G. Leigh

J. Currie

Midfielder

B. De Keersmaecker

T. Goodhram

Watford
Watford
Defender

S. Mfuni

Midfielder

H. Kyprianou

P. Dwomoh

R. Vata

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Oxford United
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
England W. Lankshear (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark L. Kjerrumgaard (10 Goals)
Best assists
Poland M. Helik (4 Assists)
England S. Mills (4 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (9 Assists)

Oxford United - Watford Key Points

  1. Watford have five more wins than Oxford in the Championship.
  2. Watford have drawn the joint most games in the Championship.
  3. Oxford United have drawn 14 times in the Championship.
  4. Oxford lost twice in the last three meetings with Watford.
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Our Oxford United vs Watford Prediction

Oxford United haven't won any of their last four matches, with three of them ending in draws. They’ve so far failed to build on their earlier run of three straight wins between February and March. Watford are also not on a very consistent run, coming into this game with just one win in the last six.

Having had a better season, though, Watford will step into this game as the favorites. They also have the head-to-head advantage in recent meetings. Our prediction for Oxford United v Watford is a draw or Watford.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Watford

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Watford

Oxford United vs Watford Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Oxford United wins 3 2.38 -20.7%
Draw 3.3 3.4 +3.0%
Watford wins 2.31 3.2 +38.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Oxford United is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 42.0% (8.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Oxford United vs Watford Prediction