Oxford United vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Watford are holding onto slim top-six hopes as they travel to Oxford United for their next Championship game. While 10th-placed Watford are pushing for a playoff place, Oxford, second from bottom, are looking to stay up. Let’s have a look at our match prediction.
Oxford have had a few positive results in their recent outings. However, they’ll not really like the point earned in a 2-2 draw with fellow strugglers Portsmouth last time out.
In that game, they came from behind to score twice but conceded late when they seemed to be winning. The U’s haven't been at their best at home but carry here a four-game unbeaten run, drawing twice.
Watford haven't been very progressive away from home, yet they can’t afford to drop many points from now on. Out of their 20 away matches this season, the Hornets have only won four times.
Meanwhile, their recent run hasn’t been inspiring either, as they carry into this encounter a run of three matches without a win. The latest of two draws in that streak saw them rally from a goal down to draw 1-1 with Charlton.
With 18 points still to play for, Watford haven't given up hope of rising into the top six. They are 11 points adrift, having garnered 57 so far.
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Oxford United v Watford Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.33 | 3.25 | 3.1 |
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|
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2.33 | 3.22 | 3.05 |
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|
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2.33 | 3.22 | 3.05 |
|
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
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|
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2.32 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Watford?
Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Watford match is: draw or Watford.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Oxford United and Watford in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.17% for a win of Oxford United against Watford with odds of 2.38 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Watford is 31.22% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Oxford United with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
Oxford United - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Oxford United Watford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 37.17% | 2.38 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.84% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Oxford United | 16.96% | 6 at LSbet |
Oxford United vs Watford Form
Oxford United and Watford's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
57 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | -12 |
|
22
|
47 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -14 |
Oxford United and Watford Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
6 Mar 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
6 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
17 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
17 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
27 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
Oxford United vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2024 - Championship
Oxford United against Watford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
M. Ingram
DefenderC. Makosso
H. Ter Avest
J. McDonnell
P. Placheta
W. Vaulks
J. Jeon
O. Romeny
M. Harris
N. Baxter
DefenderJ. Mullins
K. Keben
T. Ince
P. Ekwah
ForwardK. Baah
M. Doumbia
O. Maamma
A. Nabizada
Missing players
G. Leigh
J. Currie
MidfielderB. De Keersmaecker
T. Goodhram
S. Mfuni
MidfielderH. Kyprianou
P. Dwomoh
R. Vata
Most goals and assists
Oxford United - Watford Key Points
- Watford have five more wins than Oxford in the Championship.
- Watford have drawn the joint most games in the Championship.
- Oxford United have drawn 14 times in the Championship.
- Oxford lost twice in the last three meetings with Watford.
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Our Oxford United vs Watford Prediction
Oxford United haven't won any of their last four matches, with three of them ending in draws. They’ve so far failed to build on their earlier run of three straight wins between February and March. Watford are also not on a very consistent run, coming into this game with just one win in the last six.
Having had a better season, though, Watford will step into this game as the favorites. They also have the head-to-head advantage in recent meetings. Our prediction for Oxford United v Watford is a draw or Watford.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Watford
| Oxford United vs Watford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 3 | 2.38 | -20.7% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.4 | +3.0% |
| Watford wins | 2.31 | 3.2 | +38.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Oxford United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 42.0% (8.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.