Oxford United vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in FA Cup Predictions
The fourth round of the FA Cup sees EFL Championship side Oxford United take on Premier League outfit Sunderland at Kassam Stadium. This marks the fourth meeting between these two sides in this competition. Here's our match prediction.
For the first time since the 2019-20 season, Oxford United have set foot in the fourth round of the FA Cup following disappointment in the previous four editions.
The U's recent match in this competition was a 4-3 penalty shootout win against Milton Keynes Dons in the third round. That result put an end to a three-match third-round hoodoo.
Matt Bloomfield men's objective heading into the fourth round is simple secure a win. However, that'll be easier said than done considering they come into this match winless in their last four matches, including a 3-0 home league thrashing at the hands of Norwich City.
Sunderland succumbed to their first home defeat in the Premier League when they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against Liverpool last time out.
That result extended their losing streak in the league to two games without scoring a goal.
The Black Cats turn to the FA Cup in search of redemption. The Premier League outfit began their campaign in the third round against a stubborn Everton side. In the end, they won 3-0 on penalties.
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Oxford United v Sunderland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.6 | 3.75 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.55 | 3.94 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.46 | 3.7 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.9 | 1.56 |
|
|
6.2 | 3.95 | 1.54 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Sunderland match is: Sunderland wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Oxford United and Sunderland in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.24% for a win of Oxford United against Sunderland with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Sunderland is 35.43% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Oxford United with odds of 1.65 at LSbet.
Oxford United - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Oxford United Sunderland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35.43% | 4.3 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.49% | 1.89 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 12.57% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Oxford United vs Sunderland Form
Oxford United and Sunderland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Oxford United vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
29 Oct 2019 - Carabao Cup
Oxford United against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Cumming
DefenderR. Roosken
S. Long
MidfielderJ. McDonnell
Y. Konak
P. Placheta
A. Emakhu
O. Romeny
M. Harris
M. Ellborg
DefenderJ. Jones
MidfielderJ. Bi
N. Sadiki
C. Rigg
J. Whittaker
ForwardN. Angulo
E. Mayenda
B. Brobbey
Missing players
G. Xhaka
ForwardB. Traore
Oxford United - Sunderland Key Points
- Oxford United have lost three of their last four home games.
- Sunderland have won two of their last three matches against Oxford United.
- Oxford United are winless in their last five home games.
- Oxford United had a two-match winless run against Sunderland in the FA.
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Our Oxford United vs Sunderland Prediction
Oxford United have been unfortunate in this round of the FA Cup. They have suffered four consecutive eliminations in the fourth round. Their last progression beyond this stage was in 1993-94. The indicators are there, meaning they could struggle to cope in this fixture.
Sunderland are strong when playing at home. However, they should be able to secure a win in this one. Away from home, they've won three of their last four matches against Oxford United. With that being said, a home win is on the cards. Our Oxford United vs Sunderland prediction: Sunderland wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Sunderland
| Oxford United vs Sunderland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 5.4 | 6.6 | +22.2% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.3 | +13.2% |
| Sunderland wins | 1.61 | 1.65 | +2.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 23.3% (-3.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
