Oxford United vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions
A desperate Oxford United will welcome Southampton to Kassam Stadium and hopefully send them packing without a defeat. At 22nd in the Championship, Oxford sits in the relegation zone but can overtake Portsmouth at 21st should they take all three points. The question is, can The U’s upset The Saints? Find out in this match prediction.
After recording only one win in their last ten games, Oxford United are now on course to return to the First Division after their one-season stint in the Championship. Round 23 marks half of the season, and after two back-to-back losses to Preston and Charlton, they need to turn things around quickly if they hope to remain a Championship team next year.
The problem is their next obstacle, Southampton. The Saints are still salty after failing to beat the league leaders, Coventry, who played the entire second half with 10 men. Southampton drew that game and remained winless in back-to-back outings, both at home and away.
Still, The Saints are miles ahead of Oxford United in terms of performance. Southampton has won six of its last nine games, thanks to its sharp attack that’s recorded the 4th-most goals. See key stats and our best bet below.
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Oxford United v Southampton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.85 | 3.8 | 1.87 |
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4.06 | 3.8 | 1.84 |
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4.06 | 3.8 | 1.84 |
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|
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3.8 | 3.75 | 1.81 |
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3.8 | 3.75 | 1.86 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Southampton match is: Southampton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/12/2025 between Oxford United and Southampton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.81% for a win of Oxford United against Southampton with odds of 4.06 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Southampton is 18.4% with odds of 3.95 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Oxford United with odds of 1.88 at LSbet.
Oxford United - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Oxford United Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 44.81% | 4.06 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.51% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Oxford United | 15.56% | 9.5 at LSbet |
Oxford United vs Southampton Form
Oxford United and Southampton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
|
22
|
47 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -14 |
Oxford United and Southampton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
28 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
28 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
Oxford United vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Oxford United against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Ingram
DefenderG. Leigh
S. Long
S. Dembele
F. Krastev
W. Vaulks
ForwardO. Romeny
W. Lankshear
M. Harris
A. McCarthy
DefenderWelington
J. Quarshie
MidfielderC. Bragg
J. Aribo
O. Romeu
C. Archer
J. Robinson
R. Fraser
Missing players
M. Roerslev
Most goals and assists
Oxford United - Southampton Key Points
- Oxford United are the joint fourth-lowest goal scorers this season (22).
- Southampton has six wins in its last nine games.
- Southampton have scored 19 away goals (2nd), and have scored in every single away game so far.
- Oxford United have lost three of their last four games, failing to net a goal in two games.
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Our Oxford United vs Southampton Prediction
Oxford's low output in terms of goals scored and high input regarding the numbers conceded is just what a struggling Southampton ordered. The Saints have been lethal in front of goal and are poised to net multiple goals against an Oxford side that's let in the joint fourth-most goals this season (31).
And while Southampton has allowed the same number of goals, Oxford's attack has been relatively dull. So if it's a question of who outscores who, then Oxford should be in for their fourth defeat in five games. Hence, our Oxford United vs Southampton prediction is that Southampton wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Southampton
| Oxford United vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 4.03 | 4.06 | +0.7% |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.95 | +8.5% |
| Southampton wins | 1.84 | 1.88 | +2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Oxford United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 24.8% and is now 24.6% (-0.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Oxford United vs. Southampton game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.