Oxford United vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Oxford United
26/12/2025 10:00
Southampton

Prediction :

 

Southampton wins

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions

A desperate Oxford United will welcome Southampton to Kassam Stadium and hopefully send them packing without a defeat. At 22nd in the Championship, Oxford sits in the relegation zone but can overtake Portsmouth at 21st should they take all three points. The question is, can The U’s upset The Saints? Find out in this match prediction.

After recording only one win in their last ten games, Oxford United are now on course to return to the First Division after their one-season stint in the Championship. Round 23 marks half of the season, and after two back-to-back losses to Preston and Charlton, they need to turn things around quickly if they hope to remain a Championship team next year.

The problem is their next obstacle, Southampton. The Saints are still salty after failing to beat the league leaders, Coventry, who played the entire second half with 10 men. Southampton drew that game and remained winless in back-to-back outings, both at home and away.

Still, The Saints are miles ahead of Oxford United in terms of performance. Southampton has won six of its last nine games, thanks to its sharp attack that’s recorded the 4th-most goals. See key stats and our best bet below.

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Oxford United v Southampton Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.85 3.8 1.87
Melbet
4.06 3.8 1.84
Betwinner
4.06 3.8 1.84
Bet365
3.8 3.75 1.81
Roobet
3.8 3.75 1.86
Check all Oxford United vs Southampton odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Southampton?

Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Southampton match is: Southampton wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/12/2025 between Oxford United and Southampton in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.81% for a win of Oxford United against Southampton with odds of 4.06 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Southampton is 18.4% with odds of 3.95 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Oxford United with odds of 1.88 at LSbet.

Oxford United - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:

Oxford United Southampton Prediction Probability Odds
Oxford United wins 44.81% 4.06 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 63.51% 1.98 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 70.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Oxford United 15.56% 9.5 at LSbet

Oxford United vs Southampton Form

Oxford United and Southampton's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Southampton
80 46 22 14 10 +26
22 Oxford United
47 46 11 14 21 -14

Oxford United and Southampton Last Matches

Oxford United
Oxford United Last matches
D W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Oxford United

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  2
Preston North End

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Oxford United

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Oxford United

28 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
Ipswich Town

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Oxford United
W D L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  2
Preston North End

28 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
Ipswich Town

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  3
Stoke

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  2
Millwall

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Derby County
W L D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Oxford United

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Oxford United

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Oxford United

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Oxford United

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  1
Oxford United

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  2
Oxford United
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
W L W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Coventry City

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Southampton

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  2
West Brom

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  2
Southampton

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  0
Leicester
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Coventry City

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  2
West Brom

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  0
Leicester

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  2
Preston North End
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Southampton

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  2
Southampton

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Southampton

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Southampton

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Southampton

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  1
Southampton

Oxford United vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Oxford United

100 %

Draw

0 %

Southampton

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
0%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Oxford United
2 :  0
Southampton
Oxford United vs Southampton Prediction

Oxford United against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11

Oxford United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Cumming
15
B. Spencer
6
M. Helik
3
C. Brown
26
J. Currie
12
L. Harris
14
B. De Keersmaecker
7
P. Placheta
17
S. Mills
19
T. Goodrham
16
N. Prelec
9
A. Armstrong
13
L. Scienza
10
F. Azaz
3
R. Manning
20
C. Jander
4
F. Downes
18
T. Fellows
5
J. Stephens
15
N. Wood
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
31
G. Bazunu

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Southampton

Substitutes

Oxford United
Oxford United
Goalkeeper

M. Ingram

Defender

G. Leigh

S. Long

S. Mills 90'

Midfielder

S. Dembele

P. Placheta 75'

F. Krastev

L. Harris 66'

W. Vaulks

Forward

O. Romeny

W. Lankshear

N. Prelec 75'

M. Harris

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. McCarthy

Defender

Welington

J. Quarshie

Midfielder

C. Bragg

J. Aribo

O. Romeu

F. Downes 56'

Forward

C. Archer

F. Azaz 85'

J. Robinson

L. Scienza 56'

R. Fraser

T. Fellows 70'

Missing players

Oxford United
Oxford United
Southampton
Southampton
Defender

M. Roerslev

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Oxford United
CD Huachipato Southampton
Top Goalscorer
England W. Lankshear (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (11 Goals) England A. Armstrong (11 Goals)
Best assists
Poland M. Helik (4 Assists)
England S. Mills (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil L. Scienza (9 Assists)

Oxford United - Southampton Key Points

  1. Oxford United are the joint fourth-lowest goal scorers this season (22).
  2. Southampton has six wins in its last nine games.
  3. Southampton have scored 19 away goals (2nd), and have scored in every single away game so far.
  4. Oxford United have lost three of their last four games, failing to net a goal in two games.
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Our Oxford United vs Southampton Prediction

Oxford's low output in terms of goals scored and high input regarding the numbers conceded is just what a struggling Southampton ordered. The Saints have been lethal in front of goal and are poised to net multiple goals against an Oxford side that's let in the joint fourth-most goals this season (31).

And while Southampton has allowed the same number of goals, Oxford's attack has been relatively dull. So if it's a question of who outscores who, then Oxford should be in for their fourth defeat in five games. Hence, our Oxford United vs Southampton prediction is that Southampton wins.

Prediction :

 

Southampton wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Southampton

Oxford United vs Southampton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Oxford United wins 4.03 4.06 +0.7%
Draw 3.64 3.95 +8.5%
Southampton wins 1.84 1.88 +2.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Oxford United is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 24.8% and is now 24.6% (-0.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.