Oxford United vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
Oxford United are looking to give their survival chances another boost when they host Birmingham in their next Championship assignment. After 28 matches, Oxford are second from bottom, while Birmingham sit 13th. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Oxford United are in line to win back-to-back matches for the first time this season. The new year has been building up well since their opening 2-1 defeat to promotion-chasers Ipswich Town.
Here they are, unbeaten in four matches that came afterwards. The U’s capped it all by beating Leicester 2-1 last time after three straight draws. They are winless in the last three home matches, though.
Birmingham missed the chance to post back-to-back wins after Phil Neumann’s own goal saw them play to a 1-1 draw with Stoke City.
In three of the earlier four matches, Birmingham had posted wins, but they carry into this game only one clean sheet in the last 10 outings.
Away from home, Birmingham haven't really prevailed, but they are on a three-game undefeated streak. They won twice in the process.
The last time they played away against Oxford United was back in 1998, with Birmingham winning 7-1. This season, the reverse fixture was less emphatic, as the Blues only secured a 1-0 win.
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Oxford United v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.45 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.42 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.42 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.6 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.4 | 2.06 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Birmingham match is: Birmingham wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Oxford United and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.12% for a win of Oxford United against Birmingham with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Birmingham is 25.56% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Oxford United with odds of 2.12 at Tonybet.
Oxford United - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Oxford United Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 42.31% | 2.12 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.56% | 2.02 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Birmingham/Birmingham | 16.28% | 3.3 at LSbet |
Oxford United vs Birmingham Form
Oxford United and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
|
22
|
47 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -14 |
Oxford United and Birmingham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
28 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
Oxford United vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
Oxford United against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Ingram
DefenderM. Helik
G. Leigh
MidfielderW. Vaulks
Y. Konak
P. Placheta
M. Missanga
O. Romeny
W. Lankshear
R. Allsop
DefenderM. Mazwi
MidfielderB. Osayi-Samuel
K. Fujimoto
T. Doyle
S. Wright
K. Furuhashi
C. Vicente
A. Priske
Missing players
T. Goodhram
L. Buchanan
Most goals and assists
Oxford United
Birmingham
W. Lankshear
(11 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
M. Helik
(4 Assists)
,
S. Mills
(4 Assists)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
Oxford United - Birmingham Key Points
- Oxford have lost 13 of their 28 league matches so far.
- Birmingham won the latest competitive meeting with Oxford.
- Birmingham are unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins.
- Oxford are winless in four of their last five home matches, losing two.
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Our Oxford United vs Birmingham Prediction
Oxford United have had a torrid second season in the Championship and with each passing game, they look unlikely to survive. They had a massive boost in the win against Leicester City last time out, but this season they haven't won back-to-back matches.
We aren’t backing them to achieve that here either, as Birmingham looks to be in a stronger position. The visitors have posted three wins in the last five matches and also won their first meeting with Oxford this season. Our prediction for Oxford United v Birmingham is that Birmingham wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Birmingham
| Oxford United vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 3.6 | 3.7 | +2.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Birmingham wins | 1.96 | 2.12 | +8.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Birmingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.0% and is now 47.2% (-3.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
