Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will be looking to maintain their lead atop the Spanish La Liga table when they travel to play Osasuna this weekend. With 24 matches played thus far, the visitors lead the way in the Spanish topflight and have won double the points their hosts have. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Osasuna haven’t lost any of their last five outings. They have won three times in this positive stretch that has seen them remain in the running for a place in Europe.
Los Rojillos have amassed 30 points and lie five points adrift of the European places. They have won eight games and drawn a further six. Osasuna drew 2-2 at home to Villarreal last time out.
Real Madrid come into this match in far better form than their hosts. The Capital club has won seven of its last eight games and is on a four-match winning streak.
Alvaro Arbeloa has been a revelation for the team since being appointed over a month ago. In his stewardship, Los Blancos have been able to return to pole position in the race for La Liga and also continue in the Champions League.
Real, who have a two-point cushion atop the league table, are coming off midweek UCL action. The Capital club defeated Benfica 1-0 in a hotly charged affair, away from home in the first leg of their round of 16 playoff tie.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Osasuna v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.8 | 4.1 | 1.69 |
|
|
4.68 | 4.08 | 1.68 |
|
|
4.68 | 4.08 | 1.68 |
|
|
4.5 | 4 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.6 | 4 | 1.68 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Osasuna and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Osasuna vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Osasuna and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.16% for a win of Osasuna against Real Madrid with odds of 5 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Osasuna vs Real Madrid is 18.34% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Osasuna with odds of 1.75 at Shangrila.
Osasuna - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Osasuna Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 44.49% | 1.75 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.29% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 20.6% | 4.8 at LSbet |
Osasuna vs Real Madrid Form
Osasuna and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
17
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 |
Osasuna and Real Madrid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Osasuna vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
7 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
6 May 2023 - Copa del Rey
Osasuna against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
D. Stamatakis
A. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Cruz
MidfielderA. Bretones
R. Moro
A. Osambela
I. Munoz
M. Gomez
ForwardK. Barja
R. Garcia
I. Arguibide
A. Lunin
S. Mestre
DefenderT. Alexander-Arnold
F. Mendy
A. Rudiger
F. Garcia
MidfielderT. Pitarch Pinar
D. Ceballos
B. Diaz
F. Mastantuono
G. Garcia
Missing players
F. Boyomo
ForwardI. Benito
E. Militao
MidfielderJ. Bellingham
ForwardRodrygo
Endrick
Most goals and assists
Osasuna
Real Madrid
A. Budimir
(17 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
R. Garcia
(5 Assists)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
Osasuna - Real Madrid Key Points
- Osasuna have lost 10 times in the league this season.
- Madrid haven’t lost against Osasuna in 15 years.
- Madrid have won a La Liga high of 19 games.
- Real are on a four-match winning streak.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction
Our prediction for Osasuna v Real Madrid is that Real Madrid wins. Real have a strong record against Osasuna. They have not lost in this fixture since 2011 and have won 18 times in that period. The visitors, who have won the joint-most games in La Liga, are in fine form.
They have won seven of their last eight games and are on a four-match winning streak. Osasuna, on their part, though in strong form currently, have had an inconsistent season in the league and lost more games than they have won.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Osasuna Real Madrid
| Osasuna vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna wins | 5.2 | 5 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.3 | +2.4% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.56 | 1.75 | +12.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.1% and is now 57.1% (-7.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
