Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
Osasuna will look to move away from the La Liga relegation zone as they play a struggling Athletic Bilbao on matchday 18 of the competition. This match on Saturday in Pamplona between the 12th-placed Los Rojillos and the eighth-placed Lehoiak comes with our prediction of a home win.
Osasuna’s 18 points from 17 matches (W5, D3, L9) see them start this round three points above the relegation zone. Athletic have 23 points from 18 matches (W7, D2, L9) and are five points behind the top six.
A 3-0 home win over Deportivo Alaves saw Osasuna go into the winter break on a high. They won two of their last three matches and had seven points from the last four league games (W2, D1, L1).
Leading Osasuna’s charge is their impressive home form, as they won five of their eight home league games this season (D1, L2), including the last two in a row.
Athletic were beaten 2-1 at home by Espanyol before the winter break to make it consecutive league defeats. The drop in their form is evident, as the Lions were defeated in six of their last nine league fixtures (W3).
Their poor form is reflected on the road as well, with Athletic losing five of their last seven league trips (W1, D1) and seven of their last ten trips in all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Osasuna v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.15 | 3.05 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.03 | 2.9 | 2.65 |
|
|
3.09 | 2.94 | 2.58 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.88 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.05 | 2.92 | 2.52 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Osasuna wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.3% for a win of Osasuna against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.18 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao is 19.87% with odds of 3.05 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna with odds of 4.1 at BC Game.
Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Osasuna Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Osasuna wins | 45.3% | 3.18 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 55.07% | 2.03 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Osasuna | 23.01% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
|
17
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 |
Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
3 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - LaLiga
Osasuna against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Stamatakis
A. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Cruz
MidfielderI. Munoz
M. Gomez
A. Osambela
ForwardR. Garcia
I. Arguibide
S. Becker
K. Barja
A. Padilla
DefenderI. Lekue
J. Areso
I. Monreal
MidfielderM. Vesga
A. Rego Mora
U. Gomez
S. Sanchez
ForwardN. Serrano
R. Navarro
U. Izeta
A. Berenguer
Missing players
A. Bretones
ForwardI. Benito
A. Laporte
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardM. Sannadi
Most goals and assists
Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao
A. Budimir
(17 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
R. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Osasuna won two of their last three league matches.
- Osasuna won five of their eight home league matches this season.
- Athletic lost six of their last nine league games.
- Away from home, Athletic were beaten in five of their last seven league trips.
- In all competitions, Athletic lost seven of their last ten away games.
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Our Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Five points separate these sides, although Osasuna have a game in hand over Athletic. Osasuna start below their visitors ahead of this round, but their recent form is slightly better. Two wins out of their last three, plus their impressive run at home in the league, underline their strength when playing in Pamplona. Athletic have struggled on the road this season and have just one win from their last ten away competitive matches.
That poor run could continue here, and our Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is Osasuna wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Osasuna Athletic Bilbao
| Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna wins | 3.25 | 3.18 | -2.2% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.05 | -3.2% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.56 | 4.1 | +60.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Osasuna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 31.4% (0.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
