Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier Soccer League
South Africa - Premier Soccer League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Premier Soccer League Predictions
The first of Orlando Pirates' two demanding fixtures in the Betway Premiership comes this Wednesday as they welcome reigning champions Mamelodi Sundowns to the Orlando Stadium on matchday 17. The previous matchup between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw in November 2025. Here's our match prediction.
Orlando Pirates are enjoying a great run this season. Despite their CAF Champions League setback this season, which might have hurt their chances of a quintuple, the Soweto giants have a chance to conclude the 2025-26 season with a quadruple, having already been crowned Carling Knockout champions and MTN 8 champions. They are also in the Nedbank Cup last 16 and maintain a six-point cushion at the top of the Betway Premiership standings.
Mamelodi Sundowns are second in the league standings. They've accumulated 32 points from 15 games. One encouraging factor for the defending champions is that they have a game in hand over their rival in this clash. In essence, they are in contention for the title and must avoid any slip-ups.
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Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 2.65 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.46 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.46 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.84 | 2.54 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.84 | 2.54 | 2.84 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our prediction for the Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/02/2026 between Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns in Premier Soccer League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.78% for a win of Orlando Pirates against Mamelodi Sundowns with odds of 3 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns is 31.44% with odds of 2.65 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates with odds of 2.95 at Shangrila.
Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction and Best Odds:
| Orlando Pirates Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates wins | 46.78% | 3 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.65 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Orlando Pirates | 21.98% | 6 at LSbet |
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Form
Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns's standings in the Premier Soccer League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
69 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | +46 |
|
2
|
68 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | +36 |
Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
7 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
3 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
6 Dec 2025 - League Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
6 Dec 2025 - League Cup
25 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
28 Oct 2025 - League Cup
25 Oct 2025 - CAF Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
3 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
8 Nov 2025 - League Cup
5 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - CAF Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - CAF Champions League
4 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
30 Jan 2026 - CAF Champions League
27 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
23 Jan 2026 - CAF Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - CAF Champions League
4 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
23 Jan 2026 - CAF Champions League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
22 Nov 2025 - CAF Champions League
5 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - CAF Champions League
30 Jan 2026 - CAF Champions League
27 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier Soccer League
28 Nov 2025 - CAF Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - CAF Champions League
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
23 Aug 2025 - MTN 8
16 Aug 2025 - MTN 8
16 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
8 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Jun 2024 - FA Cup
Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns: Form Analysis
The Betway Premiership trophy has been frustratingly elusive for Orlando Pirates and company over the past few years. The last time they lifted the trophy was in the 2011-2012 season. Fast forward to the present, and they can now sense that now is the time to end their trophy drought.
Amabhakabhaka took big steps forward towards their title aspirations last time out against Marumo Gallants. Relebohile Mofokeng, who has now scored in three consecutive league games, scored the winning goal in the 85th minute to guide his team to a decisive 3-0 home victory.
In light of that result, they've now won three consecutive league games. Notably, they are unbeaten in their last 14 games.
Orlando Pirates were on a four-match losing streak at home in the Betway Premiership before their recent win in this fixture.
Mamelodi Sundowns are also high in spirits after securing qualification to the CAF Champions League quarter-finals. They beat MC Alger 2-0 at home to finish second in Group C with nine points.
Masandawana now turn their attention to the Betway Premiership. Their previous match in this competition was a slender 2-0 away victory over Sekhukhune United. Nuno Santos and Brayan Leon were on target in that match.
While that result marked their second consecutive league win, they remain unbeaten in their last six games (W4, D2). In unfamiliar territory, they are unbeaten in their last two outings.
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Players list
S. Chaine
DefenderL. Seema
N. Sibisi
MidfielderP. Maswanganyi
M. Nemtajela
M. Makhaula
ForwardK. Sebelebele
Y. Mbuthuma
R. Mofokeng
O. Appollis
D. Hotto
R. Williams
DefenderK. Ndamane
A. Modiba
T. Morena
K. Mudau
G. Kekana
MidfielderJ. Adams
N. Santos
T. Mokoena
ForwardB. Muniz
T. Matthews
Substitutes
M. Buthelezi
DefenderM. Chabatsane
N. Ndaba
MidfielderA. De Jong
S. Mbule
A. Mariko
ForwardT. Moremi
D. Van Rooyen
D. Msendami
D. Onyango
DefenderK. Johannes
D. Lunga
M. Allende
T. Zwane
Reisinho
ForwardK. Letlhaku
L. Mothiba
P. Shalulile
Orlando Pirates & Mamelodi Sundowns Squad Analysis
Orlando Pirates have no serious injury worries heading into this blockbuster clash, with Thabiso Sesane being the only player in the treatment room. The 25-year-old is recovering from an Achilles tendon rupture.
At the pace Relebohile Mofokeng is moving, he may as well be in contention for the player of the season awards. Mofokeng has been in red-hot form after a poor, difficult start to the 2025-26 season. However, the rising star has managed to pick himself up in the past few weeks.
The 23-year-old has been involved in five goal involvements in his last three league games, scoring three and providing two assists. In fact, he has scored in three consecutive matches and was awarded the man of the match award three times in a row.
Relebohile Mofokeng has been awarded the man of the match award three times in a row.
Mamelodi Sundowns have found a constant threat within their ranks in the final third. Brayan Leon, who is expected to lead the attack this Wednesday, hopes to score his third goal for the season in the Betway Premiership.
He recently guided the team to their eighth consecutive quarter-final appearance in the CAF Champions League after bagging a brace in a decisive 2-0 home victory over MC Alger. With Iqraam Rayners, the team's top scorer with six goals, doubtful for this upcoming encounter, the Colombian will be expected to lead the attack.
Most goals and assists
Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
R. Mofokeng
(10 Goals)
I. Rayners
(12 Goals)
Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns Key Points
- Orlando Pirates have seen both teams score in their last two home matches against Mamelodi Sundowns.
- Both teams scored in each of the last seven meetings between Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns.
- Mamelodi Sundowns have seen both teams score in three of their last four away matches across all competitions.
- Orlando Pirates have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last five home league games against Mamelodi Sundowns.
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Our Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction
Orlando Pirates' success this season has been built on a solid defence. In front of their home crowd, they've conceded just one goal and maintained seven shutouts in eight games. It will be impossible for them to keep a clean sheet this time, as they face a side that ranks second in attack this season.
Mamelodi Sundowns shouldn't be ruled out from causing an upset, having won four of their last five league away games in this fixture. The previous fixture between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting a similar outcome. Our Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction: BTTS.
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Alternative Predictions
Draw no bet - Orlando Pirates
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Orlando Pirates Mamelodi Sundowns
| Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates wins | 2.95 | 3 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 2.42 | 2.65 | +9.5% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns wins | 3.05 | 2.95 | -3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Orlando Pirates is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.9% and is now 33.3% (-0.6%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Orlando Pirates vs. Mamelodi Sundowns game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
