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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Orlando Magic and Miami Heat will face off at the Kia Center in the NBA on Friday night. The Magic (13-9) are sixth in the Eastern Conference standings, while the Heat (14-8) are fourth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After a poor start to the season, the Orlando Magic have now won 10 of their last 13 games, but their three-game win streak was ended in midweek when they were beaten 114-112 by the Spurs.
In their last 10 games, the Magic have been the seventh-best offence and fifth-best defence in the league. They’ve done this without Paolo Banchero, which is a major positive.
The one area that Orlando does need improvement in is their shooting from deep, as they rank 24th for three-point conversion across their last 10 games. Moritz Wagner is out, and Banchero is a doubt for the hosts.
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have also been enjoying a nice run of form lately, but they conceded their second loss in their last nine games on Wednesday, going down 118-108 to the Mavericks.
The most notable improvement by the Heat this season is the pace at which they are playing. They rank top in pace this term, and second in points and assists per game to date.
While Miami are guilty of committing too many turnovers, they are elite in defence, currently holding the fifth-best defensive rating. Terry Rozier is ruled out through injury.
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The Best Betting Odds for Orlando Magic v Miami Heat Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.48 | 2.75 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.48 | 2.75 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.47 | 2.75 |
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Who will win the Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat match is: under 242.0.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat game on 05/12/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Orlando Magic has a 57.89% chance to pick up the win against Miami Heat according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.5.
- There is a probability of 42.11% ⭐ for Miami Heat to win vs Orlando Magic with odds of 2.8 at Bwin.
Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Form
Orlando Magic and Miami Heat's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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4
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0.636 | 22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
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5
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0.591 | 22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
Orlando Magic and Miami Heat Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
28 Nov 2025 - NBA
25 Nov 2025 - NBA
23 Nov 2025 - NBA
22 Nov 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
22 Nov 2025 - NBA
20 Nov 2025 - NBA
18 Nov 2025 - NBA
14 Nov 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
28 Nov 2025 - NBA
25 Nov 2025 - NBA
23 Nov 2025 - NBA
16 Nov 2025 - NBA
12 Nov 2025 - NBA
4 Nov 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
29 Nov 2025 - NBA
26 Nov 2025 - NBA
24 Nov 2025 - NBA
23 Nov 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
29 Nov 2025 - NBA
26 Nov 2025 - NBA
24 Nov 2025 - NBA
19 Nov 2025 - NBA
17 Nov 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
23 Nov 2025 - NBA
21 Nov 2025 - NBA
14 Nov 2025 - NBA
5 Nov 2025 - NBA
3 Nov 2025 - NBA
Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
22 Oct 2025 - NBA
27 Jan 2025 - NBA
26 Dec 2024 - NBA
21 Dec 2024 - NBA
23 Oct 2024 - NBA
6 Feb 2024 - NBA
Orlando Magic - Miami Heat Key Points
- The Miami Heat are allowing 118.4 PPG this season.
- The Miami Heat are allowing 118.4 PPG this season.
- Six of the Heat’s last nine games have gone under the total points line.
- Both teams are ranked inside the top six in defensive rating this season.
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Our Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Prediction
While the Orlando Magic are more than capable on offence, it’s their defence that has been impressive in recent games, having held the likes of the 76ers, Pistons and Spurs to fewer than 115 points.
The Heat is the second-highest scoring team in the league this season, but they’ve failed to score above 110 points in three of their last five games. Given these sides’ defensive profiles, we feel this one will go under the total points line. Our Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat prediction is under 242.0 points.
If your team in the Orlando Magic and Miami Heat game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.