AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Conference League Predictions
This 2025–26 UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Round Play-offs first leg will see Cypriot giants Omonia Nicosia play host to Rijeka on Thursday. The Queen rounded off their league-phase campaign at 18th in the standings with eight points, one below Rijeka at 16th. Check out our prediction for the match below.
Omonia ended their 2025–26 UEFA Europa Conference League league-phase campaign on a disappointing note, losing 1–0 at home to second-placed Rakow. However, an even 2–2–2 record was enough to secure their place in the Knockout Round Play-offs..
They have won nine of their 10 subsequent fixtures in regulation (D1) across all competitions after the Rakow loss, including a 3–0 victory over Paralimni in the Cyprus League last week. However, all of their six UECL league-phase matches this season ended with under 2.5 goals.
Rijeka put up a strong showing in their final 2025–26 UECL league-phase match, holding sixth-placed Shakhtar Donetsk to a goalless draw on the road. They have only lost once across their six matches in the competition, winning two and drawing three.
Notably, the Croatian champions’ defeated Varazdin 3–1 in their domestic league fixture at the weekend, but their UECL matches this season have been mostly low-scoring affairs. Five of those fixtures have produced no more than two goals.
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AC Omonia Nicosia v HNK Rijeka Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.04 | 3.35 | 3.95 |
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2.06 | 3.26 | 3.82 |
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2 | 3.3 | 4 |
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2.1 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
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2.06 | 3.3 | 3.8 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Omonia Nicosia and HNK Rijeka?
Our prediction for the AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2026 between AC Omonia Nicosia and HNK Rijeka in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.25% for a win of AC Omonia Nicosia against HNK Rijeka with odds of 2.1 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka is 21.21% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.54% chance ⭐ for a win of HNK Rijeka vs AC Omonia Nicosia with odds of 4 at Betwinner.
AC Omonia Nicosia - HNK Rijeka Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Omonia Nicosia HNK Rijeka Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Omonia Nicosia wins | 55.25% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.26% | 2.12 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.76% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : AC Omonia Nicosia/AC Omonia Nicosia | 29.16% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka Form
AC Omonia Nicosia and HNK Rijeka Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
8 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
4 Feb 2026 - Cyprus Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
25 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
18 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
4 Feb 2026 - Cyprus Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
18 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
14 Jan 2026 - Cyprus Cup
22 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
25 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
9 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
3 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
15 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
8 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
1 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
24 Jan 2026 - Prva HNL
14 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
8 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
24 Jan 2026 - Prva HNL
14 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
3 Dec 2025 - Croatia Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
9 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
AC Omonia Nicosia against HNK Rijeka Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
C. Kyriakidis
F. Uzoho
DefenderN. Panagiotou
A. Diounkou
S. Simic
MidfielderN. Erakovic
C. Evangelou
I. Kousoulos
ForwardK. Panagi
A. Chatzigiovannis
A. Neofytou
A. Todorovic
V. Kovac
DefenderA. Husic
MidfielderT. Morchiladze
S. Vignato
A. Gojak
D. Petrovic
G. Rukavina
D. Thaqi
D. Adu Adjei
Most goals and assists
AC Omonia Nicosia - HNK Rijeka Key Points
- All of Omonia’s six UECL matches this season ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Omonia’s last four home matches have ended with under 2.5 goals in regulation.
- Rijeka conceded just two goals across their six UECL league-phase matches this season.
- Five of Rijeka's six 2025–26 UECL matches have produced no more than two goals.
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Our AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka Prediction
Rijeka is the only team outside of the top eight in the UECL league-phase standings that has conceded just two goals across their six matches, five of those produced under 2.5 goals. Omonia boast a solid defensive record across their six matches in the competition, and all their fixtures produced no more than two goals.
Given both teams’ impressive defensive record in the competition, we anticipate a tight contest likely to result in a low-scoring affair, with no more than two goals scored. Our Omonia Nicosia vs Rijeka prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Omonia Nicosia HNK Rijeka
| AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Omonia Nicosia wins | 2.05 | 2.1 | +2.4% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.45 | +4.5% |
| HNK Rijeka wins | 3.7 | 4 | +8.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Omonia Nicosia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 47.6% (-1.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.