AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

AC Omonia Nicosia
19/02/2026 15:00
HNK Rijeka

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Conference League Predictions

This 2025–26 UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Round Play-offs first leg will see Cypriot giants Omonia Nicosia play host to Rijeka on Thursday. The Queen rounded off their league-phase campaign at 18th in the standings with eight points, one below Rijeka at 16th. Check out our prediction for the match below.

Omonia ended their 2025–26 UEFA Europa Conference League league-phase campaign on a disappointing note, losing 1–0 at home to second-placed Rakow. However, an even 2–2–2 record was enough to secure their place in the Knockout Round Play-offs..

They have won nine of their 10 subsequent fixtures in regulation (D1) across all competitions after the Rakow loss, including a 3–0 victory over Paralimni in the Cyprus League last week. However, all of their six UECL league-phase matches this season ended with under 2.5 goals. 

Rijeka put up a strong showing in their final 2025–26 UECL league-phase match, holding sixth-placed Shakhtar Donetsk to a goalless draw on the road. They have only lost once across their six matches in the competition, winning two and drawing three. 

Notably, the Croatian champions’ defeated Varazdin 3–1 in their domestic league fixture at the weekend, but their UECL matches this season have been mostly low-scoring affairs. Five of those fixtures have produced no more than two goals.

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AC Omonia Nicosia v HNK Rijeka Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.04 3.35 3.95
Melbet
2.06 3.26 3.82
Betwinner
2 3.3 4
Bet365
2.1 3.2 3.6
Roobet
2.06 3.3 3.8
Check all AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Omonia Nicosia and HNK Rijeka?

Our prediction for the AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2026 between AC Omonia Nicosia and HNK Rijeka in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.25% for a win of AC Omonia Nicosia against HNK Rijeka with odds of 2.1 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka is 21.21% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.54% chance ⭐ for a win of HNK Rijeka vs AC Omonia Nicosia with odds of 4 at Betwinner.

AC Omonia Nicosia - HNK Rijeka Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Omonia Nicosia HNK Rijeka Prediction Probability Odds
AC Omonia Nicosia wins 55.25% 2.1 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 52.26% 2.12 at Melbet
Both Team To Score: No 54.76%
Half-time / Full-time : AC Omonia Nicosia/AC Omonia Nicosia 29.16% 3.4 at Bet365

AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka Form

AC Omonia Nicosia and HNK Rijeka Last Matches

AC Omonia Nicosia
AC Omonia Nicosia Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AC Omonia Nicosia
3 :  0
Enosis Neon Paralimni

8 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
2 :  4
AC Omonia Nicosia

4 Feb 2026 - Cyprus Cup

AC Omonia Nicosia
1 :  2
AEL Limassol

1 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AC Omonia Nicosia
1 :  0
Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC

25 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Aris Limassol
3 :  5
AC Omonia Nicosia

18 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AC Omonia Nicosia
2 :  0
Anorthosis Famagusta
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AC Omonia Nicosia
3 :  0
Enosis Neon Paralimni

4 Feb 2026 - Cyprus Cup

AC Omonia Nicosia
1 :  2
AEL Limassol

1 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AC Omonia Nicosia
1 :  0
Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC

18 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AC Omonia Nicosia
2 :  0
Anorthosis Famagusta

14 Jan 2026 - Cyprus Cup

AC Omonia Nicosia
2 :  1
AEK Larnaca

22 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division

AC Omonia Nicosia
4 :  0
Ethnikos Achnas
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
2 :  4
AC Omonia Nicosia

25 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Aris Limassol
3 :  5
AC Omonia Nicosia

9 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AEL Limassol
0 :  2
AC Omonia Nicosia

3 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Akritas Chlorakas
0 :  4
AC Omonia Nicosia

15 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca
1 :  1
AC Omonia Nicosia

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Rapid Wien
0 :  1
AC Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka Last matches
W L D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
3 :  1
Vsnk Varazdin

8 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
0 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

1 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL

NK Osijek
1 :  0
HNK Rijeka

24 Jan 2026 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
2 :  2
NK Slaven Belupo

14 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
1 :  2
FC Koper

21 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
1 :  0
HNK Gorica
W W L D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
3 :  1
Vsnk Varazdin

8 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
0 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

24 Jan 2026 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
2 :  2
NK Slaven Belupo

14 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
1 :  2
FC Koper

21 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
1 :  0
HNK Gorica

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

HNK Rijeka
3 :  0
NK Celje
L D W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL

NK Osijek
1 :  0
HNK Rijeka

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Shakhtar Donetsk
0 :  0
HNK Rijeka

14 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL

NK Istra 1961
1 :  2
HNK Rijeka

3 Dec 2025 - Croatia Cup

NK Mladost Zdralovi
1 :  4
HNK Rijeka

30 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1 :  1
HNK Rijeka

9 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL

Vsnk Varazdin
1 :  0
HNK Rijeka
AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka Prediction

AC Omonia Nicosia against HNK Rijeka Lineups: Starting 11

AC Omonia Nicosia

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

40
Fabiano
21
G. Masouras
5
S. Coulibaly
29
J. Balkovec
82
A. Christou
28
M. Odubajo
74
P. Andreou
6
C. Eiting
7
W. Semedo
22
M. Tankovic
19
R. Mmaee
77
A. Juric
10
T. Fruk
23
J. Lasickas
55
A. Barco
26
T. Dantas
20
M. Ndockyt
34
M. Devetak
28
T. Barisic
45
A. Majstorovic
22
A. Orec
13
M. Zlomislic

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

HNK Rijeka

Substitutes

AC Omonia Nicosia
AC Omonia Nicosia
Goalkeeper

C. Kyriakidis

F. Uzoho

Defender

N. Panagiotou

A. Diounkou

M. Odubajo 63'

S. Simic

Midfielder

N. Erakovic

C. Evangelou

I. Kousoulos

Forward

K. Panagi

A. Chatzigiovannis

A. Christou 63'

A. Neofytou

C. Eiting 90'

HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
Goalkeeper

A. Todorovic

V. Kovac

Defender

A. Husic

Midfielder

T. Morchiladze

T. Barisic 74'

S. Vignato

A. Gojak

T. Fruk 66'

D. Petrovic

M. Ndockyt 74'

Forward

G. Rukavina

D. Thaqi

D. Adu Adjei

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Omonia Nicosia
CD Huachipato HNK Rijeka
Top Goalscorer
Cyprus A. Neofytou (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Croatia T. Fruk (5 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil E. Costa (1 Assists)
Senegal A. Diounkou (1 Assists)
Morocco R. Mmaee (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal T. Dantas (3 Assists)

AC Omonia Nicosia - HNK Rijeka Key Points

  1. All of Omonia’s six UECL matches this season ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Three of Omonia’s last four home matches have ended with under 2.5 goals in regulation.
  3. Rijeka conceded just two goals across their six UECL league-phase matches this season.
  4. Five of Rijeka's six 2025–26 UECL matches have produced no more than two goals.
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Our AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka Prediction

Rijeka is the only team outside of the top eight in the UECL league-phase standings that has conceded just two goals across their six matches, five of those produced under 2.5 goals. Omonia boast a solid defensive record across their six matches in the competition, and all their fixtures produced no more than two goals. 

Given both teams’ impressive defensive record in the competition, we anticipate a tight contest likely to result in a low-scoring affair, with no more than two goals scored. Our Omonia Nicosia vs Rijeka prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Omonia Nicosia HNK Rijeka

AC Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AC Omonia Nicosia wins 2.05 2.1 +2.4%
Draw 3.3 3.45 +4.5%
HNK Rijeka wins 3.7 4 +8.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AC Omonia Nicosia is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 47.6% (-1.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.