Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction & Betting Tips - Superleague

Greece - Superleague

Olympiacos
10/05/2026 12:30
PAOK Thessaloniki

Prediction :

 

Draw or PAOK Thessaloniki

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions

Sunday is promising us all the drama as Olympiacos and PAOK both fight for a chance to remain in the title race with just three games left in the Greek Super League. PAOK may be the heavy underdogs, but they boast a much better form and chance of winning this game than the betting odds suggest. See why we back PAOK in this match prediction below.

PAOK may not need to explain much after just thrashing this very Olympiacos side 3-1 in the last round. That makes it three wins for PAOK in four encounters against Olympiacos this season, without losing even a single game. Despite that sheer dominance, the Two-Headed Eagle of the North has a staggering 5.50 odds.

And unlike the visitors, who have only lost one championship round game, Olympiacos have already lost two to league leaders AEK (1-0) and PAOK. The latest loss now marks just two wins for Thrylos (The Legend) in their last six games; a poor run which now threatens Olympiacos’ chance to defend their league title.

You can still expect a fierce showing from an Olympiacos side that’s okay settling for the last direct Champions League spot, which PAOK currently occupies. But we still don’t see The Legend winning after failing to do so in four of their last five games.

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Olympiacos v PAOK Thessaloniki Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.61 3.55 5
Melbet
1.61 3.7 5.7
Betwinner
1.62 3.64 5.7
Bet365
1.56 4 5.25
Roobet
1.58 3.8 5.2
Check all Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Olympiacos and PAOK Thessaloniki?

Our prediction for the Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: Draw or PAOK Thessaloniki.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Olympiacos and PAOK Thessaloniki in Superleague :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.8% for a win of Olympiacos against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 1.68 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 28.56% with odds of 4.05 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.64% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Olympiacos with odds of 5.7 at Melbet.

Olympiacos - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:

Olympiacos PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction Probability Odds
Olympiacos wins 38.8% 1.68 at LSbet
Under 2.5 62.64% 1.88 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score: No 67.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Olympiacos 17.86% 4.5 at LSbet

Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form

Olympiacos and PAOK Thessaloniki's standings in the Superleague

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Olympiacos
66 32 19 9 4 +34
3 PAOK Thessaloniki
64 32 18 10 4 +34

Olympiacos and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches

Olympiacos
Olympiacos Last matches
D W D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Olympiacos

19 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
0 :  2
Olympiacos

5 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  1
AEK Athens

22 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
AE Larissa FC

14 Mar 2026 - Superleague

OFI Crete
0 :  3
Olympiacos

8 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki
L L W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  1
AEK Athens

22 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
AE Larissa FC

8 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

21 Feb 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
2 :  0
Panaitolikos Agrinio

18 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Olympiacos
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

8 Feb 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens
D D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Olympiacos

19 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
0 :  2
Olympiacos

14 Mar 2026 - Superleague

OFI Crete
0 :  3
Olympiacos

1 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Panserraikos FC
1 :  2
Olympiacos

24 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Olympiacos

14 Feb 2026 - Superleague

APO Levadiakos FC
0 :  0
Olympiacos
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAOK Thessaloniki Last matches
W L D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Olympiacos

25 Apr 2026 - Greece Cup

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  3
OFI Crete

19 Apr 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
3 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

5 Apr 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
0 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

22 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Volos NPS
2 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

15 Mar 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  0
APO Levadiakos FC
L W W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Olympiacos

25 Apr 2026 - Greece Cup

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  3
OFI Crete

5 Apr 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
0 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

15 Mar 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  0
APO Levadiakos FC

1 Mar 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  0
Asteras Tripolis

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

PAOK Thessaloniki
1 :  2
Celta Vigo
D L W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
3 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

22 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Volos NPS
2 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

8 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

4 Mar 2026 - Superleague

AE Kifisia FC
1 :  4
PAOK Thessaloniki

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

22 Feb 2026 - Superleague

AE Larissa FC
1 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Olympiacos

17 %

Draw

17 %

PAOK Thessaloniki

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Olympiacos

8 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

14 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup

Olympiacos
0 :  2
PAOK Thessaloniki

5 Oct 2025 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  1
Olympiacos

4 May 2025 - Superleague

Olympiacos
4 :  2
PAOK Thessaloniki

6 Apr 2025 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  1
Olympiacos
Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction

Olympiacos against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11

Olympiacos

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

88
K. Tzolakis
20
Costinha
45
P. Retsos
5
L. Pirola
70
O. Bruno
14
D. Garcia
32
S. Hezze
23
Rodinei
22
Chiquinho
56
D. Podence
9
A. El Kaabi
19
A. Jeremejeff
18
L. Ivanusec
65
G. Konstantelias
14
A. Zivkovic
20
C. Zafeiris
8
S. Meite
21
B. Rahman
16
T. Kedziora
5
G. Michailidis
3
J. Kenny
1
J. Pavlenka

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

PAOK Thessaloniki

Substitutes

Olympiacos
Olympiacos
Goalkeeper

G. Kouraklis

A. Paschalakis

Defender

G. Biancone

Costinha 78'

A. Kalogeropoulos

R. Vezo

Midfielder

D. Nascimento

L. Scipioni

C. Mouzakitis

Chiquinho 78'

A. Liatsikouras

Forward

Andre luiz

M. Taremi

A. El Kaabi 68'

G. Martins

D. Podence 31'

PAOK Thessaloniki
PAOK Thessaloniki
Goalkeeper

A. Tsiftsis

D. Monastirlis

Defender

D. Bataoulas

J. Sastre

G. Taylor

A. Vogliacco

Midfielder

A. Bianco

C. Zafeiris 83'

D. Pelkas

M. Ozdoev

S. Meite 64'

Forward

D. Chatsidis

A. Mythou

Taison

L. Ivanusec 64'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Olympiacos
CD Huachipato PAOK Thessaloniki
Top Goalscorer
Morocco A. El Kaabi (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
M. Ozdoev (8 Goals) Sweden A. Jeremejeff (8 Goals) Greece G. Konstantelias (8 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal Chiquinho (5 Assists)
Portugal D. Podence (5 Assists)
Best assists
Serbia A. Zivkovic (10 Assists)

Olympiacos - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points

  1. PAOK have played Olympiacos four times this season, winning three and drawing one.
  2. PAOK are unbeaten in two of three championship round games, unlike Olympiacos, who’ve lost two of three.
  3. PAOK have scored the 2nd-most goals this season (55), scoring 1.89 goals per game.
  4. Olympiacos are winless in four of their last five games.
  5. PAOK are unbeaten in 13 of their last 15 league games.
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Our Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction

After absolutely dominating Olympiacos with three wins in their four H2H games this season, it’s hard to make a case against PAOK winning this match. The Two-Headed Eagle of the North holds the psychological advantage, enters with better form and has scored far more goals than The Legend.

We’re quite confident PAOK can do the championship round double after just beating Olympiacos 3-1. However, we’re taking the “win or draw” bet, which won for PAOK in all four of their encounters with Thrylos this season. Hence, our Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki prediction is a Draw or PAOK Thessaloniki.

Prediction :

 

Draw or PAOK Thessaloniki

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Olympiacos PAOK Thessaloniki

Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Olympiacos wins 1.8 1.68 -6.7%
Draw 3.4 4.05 +19.1%
PAOK Thessaloniki wins 4.6 5.7 +23.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Olympiacos is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 59.5% (4.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.