Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction & Betting Tips - Superleague
Greece - Superleague
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Sunday is promising us all the drama as Olympiacos and PAOK both fight for a chance to remain in the title race with just three games left in the Greek Super League. PAOK may be the heavy underdogs, but they boast a much better form and chance of winning this game than the betting odds suggest. See why we back PAOK in this match prediction below.
PAOK may not need to explain much after just thrashing this very Olympiacos side 3-1 in the last round. That makes it three wins for PAOK in four encounters against Olympiacos this season, without losing even a single game. Despite that sheer dominance, the Two-Headed Eagle of the North has a staggering 5.50 odds.
And unlike the visitors, who have only lost one championship round game, Olympiacos have already lost two to league leaders AEK (1-0) and PAOK. The latest loss now marks just two wins for Thrylos (The Legend) in their last six games; a poor run which now threatens Olympiacos’ chance to defend their league title.
You can still expect a fierce showing from an Olympiacos side that’s okay settling for the last direct Champions League spot, which PAOK currently occupies. But we still don’t see The Legend winning after failing to do so in four of their last five games.
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Olympiacos v PAOK Thessaloniki Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.61 | 3.55 | 5 |
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1.61 | 3.7 | 5.7 |
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|
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1.62 | 3.64 | 5.7 |
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|
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1.56 | 4 | 5.25 |
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1.58 | 3.8 | 5.2 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Olympiacos and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: Draw or PAOK Thessaloniki.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Olympiacos and PAOK Thessaloniki in Superleague :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.8% for a win of Olympiacos against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 1.68 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 28.56% with odds of 4.05 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.64% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Olympiacos with odds of 5.7 at Melbet.
Olympiacos - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| Olympiacos PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos wins | 38.8% | 1.68 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.64% | 1.88 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 67.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Olympiacos | 17.86% | 4.5 at LSbet |
Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
Olympiacos and PAOK Thessaloniki's standings in the Superleague
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
66 | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | +34 |
|
3
|
64 | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | +34 |
Olympiacos and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
14 Mar 2026 - Superleague
8 Mar 2026 - Superleague
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
8 Mar 2026 - Superleague
21 Feb 2026 - Superleague
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
14 Mar 2026 - Superleague
1 Mar 2026 - Superleague
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Superleague
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Superleague
25 Apr 2026 - Greece Cup
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
15 Mar 2026 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Superleague
25 Apr 2026 - Greece Cup
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
15 Mar 2026 - Superleague
1 Mar 2026 - Superleague
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
8 Mar 2026 - Superleague
4 Mar 2026 - Superleague
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Superleague
Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2026 - Superleague
8 Mar 2026 - Superleague
14 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
5 Oct 2025 - Superleague
4 May 2025 - Superleague
6 Apr 2025 - Superleague
Olympiacos against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Kouraklis
A. Paschalakis
DefenderG. Biancone
A. Kalogeropoulos
R. Vezo
MidfielderD. Nascimento
L. Scipioni
C. Mouzakitis
A. Liatsikouras
ForwardAndre luiz
M. Taremi
G. Martins
A. Tsiftsis
D. Monastirlis
DefenderD. Bataoulas
J. Sastre
G. Taylor
A. Vogliacco
MidfielderA. Bianco
D. Pelkas
M. Ozdoev
D. Chatsidis
A. Mythou
Taison
Most goals and assists
Olympiacos - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- PAOK have played Olympiacos four times this season, winning three and drawing one.
- PAOK are unbeaten in two of three championship round games, unlike Olympiacos, who’ve lost two of three.
- PAOK have scored the 2nd-most goals this season (55), scoring 1.89 goals per game.
- Olympiacos are winless in four of their last five games.
- PAOK are unbeaten in 13 of their last 15 league games.
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Our Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
After absolutely dominating Olympiacos with three wins in their four H2H games this season, it’s hard to make a case against PAOK winning this match. The Two-Headed Eagle of the North holds the psychological advantage, enters with better form and has scored far more goals than The Legend.
We’re quite confident PAOK can do the championship round double after just beating Olympiacos 3-1. However, we’re taking the “win or draw” bet, which won for PAOK in all four of their encounters with Thrylos this season. Hence, our Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki prediction is a Draw or PAOK Thessaloniki.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Olympiacos PAOK Thessaloniki
| Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos wins | 1.8 | 1.68 | -6.7% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 4.05 | +19.1% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 4.6 | 5.7 | +23.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Olympiacos is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 59.5% (4.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.